Near real-time predictions of tropical cyclone trajectory and intensity in the northwestern Pacific Ocean using echo state network

2021 ◽  
Author(s):  
Yongsu Na ◽  
Byoungjoon Na ◽  
Sangyoung Son
2019 ◽  
Vol 11 (6) ◽  
pp. 627 ◽  
Author(s):  
Kunsheng Xiang ◽  
Xiaofeng Yang ◽  
Miao Zhang ◽  
Ziwei Li ◽  
Fanping Kong

A method of estimating tropical cyclone (TC) intensity based on Haiyang-2A (HY-2A) scatterometer, and Special Sensor Microwave Imager and Sounder (SSMIS) observations over the northwestern Pacific Ocean is presented in this paper. Totally, 119 TCs from the 2012 to 2017 typhoon seasons were selected, based on satellite-observed data and China Meteorological Administration (CMA) TC best track data. We investigated the relationship among the TC maximum-sustained wind (MSW), the microwave brightness temperature (TB), and the sea surface wind speed (SSW). Then, a TC intensity estimation model was developed, based on a multivariate linear regression using the training data of 96 TCs. Finally, the proposed method was validated using testing data from 23 other TCs, and its root mean square error (RMSE), mean absolute error (MAE), and bias were 5.94 m/s, 4.62 m/s, and −0.43 m/s, respectively.


Eos ◽  
2017 ◽  
Author(s):  
Sen Jan ◽  
Yiing Yang ◽  
Hung-I Chang ◽  
Ming-Huei Chang ◽  
Ching-Ling Wei

Advanced real-time data buoys have observed nine strong typhoons in the northwestern Pacific Ocean since 2015, providing high-resolution data and reducing the uncertainty of numerical model forecasts.


2016 ◽  
Vol 50 (6) ◽  
pp. 527-537 ◽  
Author(s):  
Tatsuo Nozaki ◽  
Ayaka Tokumaru ◽  
Yutaro Takaya ◽  
Yasuhiro Kato ◽  
Katsuhiko Suzuki ◽  
...  

2019 ◽  
Vol 58 (4) ◽  
pp. 903-917 ◽  
Author(s):  
Manman Ma ◽  
Yu Zhen ◽  
Tiezhu Mi

AbstractStudies of the community structures of bacteria in marine aerosols of different particle sizes have not been reported. Aerosol samples were collected using a six-stage bioaerosol sampler over the Bohai Sea, the Yellow Sea, and northwestern Pacific Ocean in the spring of 2014. The diversity and composition of these samples were investigated by Illumina high-throughput sequencing, and 130 genera were detected in all of the samples; the most abundant bacterial genus was Bacteroides, followed by Prevotella and Megamonas. The Chao1 and Shannon diversity indices ranged from 193 to 1044 and from 5.44 to 8.33, respectively. The bacterial community structure in coarse particles (diameter larger than 2.1 μm) was more complex and diverse than that in fine particles (diameter less than 2.1 μm) in marine bioaerosols from over the Yellow Sea and northwestern Pacific Ocean, while the opposite trend was observed for samples collected over the Bohai Sea. Although we were sampling over marine regions, the sources of the bioaerosols were mostly continental. Temperature and wind speed significantly influenced the bacterial communities in marine aerosols of different particle sizes. There may be a bacterial background in the atmosphere in the form of several dominant taxa, and the bacterial communities are likely mixed constantly during transmission.


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