Survival of caribou (Rangifer tarandus) calves until 4 months of age was monitored for 8 years in four herds in northern British Columbia, Canada. The chief cause of mortality was predation by wolves (Canis lupus) and grizzly bears (Ursus arctos) and this mortality was correlated within years between all herds. More calves died in years with late springs when extensive snow patches remained during calving in June than in early springs when larger snow-free areas existed. Before calving and after birth, caribou cows sought to space themselves out on snow-free areas in small aggregations at high elevations above treeline. By placing themselves at high elevations, the females increased the distance between themselves and wolves and bears travelling in the valley bottoms, as well as the main alternate prey, moose (Alces alces), which calved only in forest cover at lower elevations. In addition, the reduced snow in early springs meant that there was more space for dispersion. The variation in calf survival for three herds was negatively correlated with the heterogeneity of the calving area. Snow cover disappeared in smaller patches in more rugged mountains regardless of spring phenology, thereby providing a more constant search area for predators from year to year. More uniform mountains had either extensive areas of snow cover (late years) or brown substrates (early years), thus greatly varying the space that predators had to search between years. As stochastic variation in snow cover at calving time alters the searching ability of predators, the aggregation responses of prey, and the spatial overlap between predators and prey, it promotes short-term stability of the prey and lessens the probability of extinction.
Responses of vegetation spring phenology to climatic factors in Xinjiang, China
