Drought severity classification based on threshold level method and drought effects on NPP

2020 ◽  
Vol 142 (1-2) ◽  
pp. 675-686
Author(s):  
Jianzhu Li ◽  
Keke Zhou ◽  
Fulong Chen
2014 ◽  
Vol 18 (9) ◽  
pp. 3341-3351 ◽  
Author(s):  
J. H. Sung ◽  
E.-S. Chung

Abstract. This study developed a streamflow drought severity–duration–frequency (SDF) curve that is analogous to the well-known depth–duration–frequency (DDF) curve used for rainfall. Severity was defined as the total water deficit volume to target threshold for a given drought duration. Furthermore, this study compared the SDF curves of four threshold level methods: fixed, monthly, daily, and desired yield for water use. The fixed threshold level in this study is the 70th percentile value (Q70) of the flow duration curve (FDC), which is compiled using all available daily streamflows. The monthly threshold level is the monthly varying Q70 values of the monthly FDC. The daily variable threshold is Q70 of the FDC that was obtained from the antecedent 365 daily streamflows. The desired-yield threshold that was determined by the central government consists of domestic, industrial, and agricultural water uses and environmental in-stream flow. As a result, the durations and severities from the desired-yield threshold level were completely different from those for the fixed, monthly and daily levels. In other words, the desired-yield threshold can identify streamflow droughts using the total water deficit to the hydrological and socioeconomic targets, whereas the fixed, monthly, and daily streamflow thresholds derive the deficiencies or anomalies from the average of the historical streamflow. Based on individual frequency analyses, the SDF curves for four thresholds were developed to quantify the relation among the severities, durations, and frequencies. The SDF curves from the fixed, daily, and monthly thresholds have comparatively short durations because the annual maximum durations vary from 30 to 96 days, whereas those from the desired-yield threshold have much longer durations of up to 270 days. For the additional analysis, the return-period–duration curve was also derived to quantify the extent of the drought duration. These curves can be an effective tool to identify streamflow droughts using severities, durations, and frequencies.


2013 ◽  
Vol 10 (12) ◽  
pp. 14675-14704 ◽  
Author(s):  
J. H. Sung ◽  
E.-S. Chung ◽  
K. S. Lee

Abstract. This study developed a comprehensive method to quantify streamflow drought severity and magnitude based on a traditional frequency analysis. Two types of curve were developed: the streamflow drought severity-duration-frequency (SDF) curve and the streamflow drought magnitude-duration-frequency (MDF) curve (e.g., a rainfall intensity-duration-frequency curve). Severity was represented as the total water deficit volume for the specific drought duration, and magnitude was defined as the daily average water deficit. The variable threshold level method was introduced to set the target instream flow requirement, which can significantly affect the streamflow drought severity and magnitude. The four threshold levels utilized were fixed, monthly, daily, and desired yield for water use. The threshold levels for the desired yield differed considerably from the other levels and represented more realistic conditions because real water demands were considered. The streamflow drought severities and magnitudes from the four threshold methods could be derived at any frequency and duration from the generated SDF and MDF curves. These SDF and MDF curves are useful in designing water resources systems for streamflow drought and water supply management.


2012 ◽  
Vol 9 (7) ◽  
pp. 8063-8103 ◽  
Author(s):  
J. Lorenzo-Lacruz ◽  
E. Morán-Tejeda ◽  
S. M. Vicente-Serrano ◽  
J. I. López-Moreno

Abstract. In this study we analyzed the spatio-temporal variability of streamflow droughts in the Iberian Peninsula from 1945 to 2005. Streamflow series (187) homogeneously distributed across the study area were used to develop a streamflow index (the Standardized Streamflow Index; SSI), which facilitated comparison among regimes and basins, regardless of streamflow magnitudes. A principal component analysis was performed to identify homogeneous hydrological regions having common features, based on the temporal evolution of streamflows. Identification of drought events was carried out using a threshold level approach. We assessed the duration and magnitude of drought episodes and the changes that occurred between two contrasting periods for each hydrological region. The results showed a trend to greater drought severity in the majority of regions. Drought duration, magnitude and spatial coverage was found to depend mainly on the climatic conditions and the water storage strategies in each basin. In some basins these strategies have altered river regimes, and in others created a high level of dependence on storage and water transfer rates.


2012 ◽  
Vol 16 (8) ◽  
pp. 2437-2451 ◽  
Author(s):  
M. H. J. van Huijgevoort ◽  
P. Hazenberg ◽  
H. A. J. van Lanen ◽  
R. Uijlenhoet

Abstract. The identification of hydrological drought at global scale has received considerable attention during the last decade. However, climate-induced variation in runoff across the world makes such analyses rather complicated. This especially holds for the drier regions of the world (both cold and warm), where, for a considerable period of time, zero runoff can be observed. In the current paper, we present a method that enables to identify drought at global scale across climate regimes in a consistent manner. The method combines the characteristics of the classical variable threshold level method that is best applicable in regions with non-zero runoff most of the time, and the consecutive dry days (period) method that is better suited for areas where zero runoff occurs. The newly presented method allows a drought in periods with runoff to continue in the following period without runoff. The method is demonstrated by identifying droughts from discharge observations of four rivers situated within different climate regimes, as well as from simulated runoff data at global scale obtained from an ensemble of five different land surface models. The identified drought events obtained by the new approach are compared to those resulting from application of the variable threshold level method or the consecutive dry period method separately. Results show that, in general, for drier regions, the threshold level method overestimates drought duration, because zero runoff periods are included in a drought, according to the definition used within this method. The consecutive dry period method underestimates drought occurrence, since it cannot identify droughts for periods with runoff. The developed method especially shows its relevance in transitional areas, because, in wetter regions, results are identical to the classical threshold level method. By combining both methods, the new method is able to identify single drought events that occur during positive and zero runoff periods, leading to a more realistic global drought characterization, especially within drier environments.


Author(s):  
Kerstin Stahl ◽  
Jean-Philippe Vidal ◽  
Jamie Hannaford ◽  
Erik Tijdeman ◽  
Gregor Laaha ◽  
...  

Abstract. Numerous indices exist for the description of hydrological drought. The EURO FRIEND-Water Low flow and Drought Group has repeatedly discussed changing paradigms in the perception and use of existing and emerging new indices for hydrological drought identification and characterization. Group members have also tested the communication of different indices to stakeholders in several national and international transdisciplinary research projects. This contribution presents the experience gained with regard to the purpose and applicability of different classes of drought indices. A recent paradigm shift is the use of anomalies, traditionally from climatology, in hydrology. For instance, anomaly-based indices, such as the Standardized Streamflow Index (SSI) and the variable threshold level method to define streamflow deficiencies, are used increasingly for real-time monitoring. How these indices relate to low flows and their impacts may have become less clear as a result. Assessments of the severity of a particular drought may also differ depending on whether return periods based on traditional low flow or drought frequency analyses or whether SSI time series index values are used. These experiences call for a systematic comparison, classification and evaluation of different low flow and drought indices and their usages.


2018 ◽  
Vol 33 (2) ◽  
pp. 545-562 ◽  
Author(s):  
Celso Augusto Guimarães Santos ◽  
Reginaldo Moura Brasil Neto ◽  
Richarde Marques da Silva ◽  
Daris Correia dos Santos

2016 ◽  
Vol 48 (5) ◽  
pp. 1311-1326 ◽  
Author(s):  
B. Heudorfer ◽  
K. Stahl

The Threshold Level Method is an approach that enables comparability across all hydrological levels. This advantage is used especially in studies on drought propagation. There are different calculation procedures for this method. The effect that the choice of a variable versus a constant threshold level method has on drought characteristics and drought propagation patterns has not been fully explored yet. Also, most drought propagation studies have analyzed modelled data, suggesting that applicability to observations be tested. We tested the Constant and the Variable Threshold Level Method for the 10th, 20th and 30th percentile on observed precipitation, streamflow, and groundwater data from Germany, and compared drought characteristics and drought propagation patterns by means of statistical analysis and synoptic assessment. The characteristic effects of choosing a variable versus a constant threshold are: (1) a substantial increase in short droughts, (2) a moderate decrease in intermediate droughts and (3) a minor increase in long droughts. Furthermore, in slow-reacting lowland catchments, theoretical propagation characteristics could mostly be confirmed. In faster-reacting upland catchments, this was not always the case and considerable differences arose. Sources of ambiguity were predominantly groundwater in lowlands and streamflow in the mountainous catchments. In conclusion, there is potential of diverging inference from the same data, depending on the chosen methodology.


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