Fuzzy and robust approach for decision-making in disaster situations

Author(s):  
Tereza Sedlářová Nehézová ◽  
Michal Škoda ◽  
Robert Hlavatý ◽  
Helena Brožová
2011 ◽  
Vol 250-253 ◽  
pp. 2792-2795
Author(s):  
Qiang Du ◽  
Jian Yang ◽  
Tian Hua Zhou

Glass is widely used for its properties of transparency. It has been favoured by architects for the last two decades and used to deliver a distinct style of architecture. However, the conflicting performance requirements make the decision making on glass selection in building envelopes a complex process. This paper investigates the factors affecting the selection of glass used in building facade, and proposes a hierarchy of decision making to facilitate the information flow. This may provide an integrated and robust approach to reach an informed decision.


2020 ◽  
Vol 36 (3) ◽  
pp. 429-440
Author(s):  
Mark Campbell

Abstract The Singapore Court of Appeal in CMNC v Jaguar Energy has offered clarification on what it identified as an ‘important area of arbitration law’: ie the correct approach to alleged violations of due process by tribunals in their management of the arbitral procedure. The case involved setting aside proceedings in the context of a complex dispute further complicated by the parties’ prior agreement for an expedited procedure. The Court of Appeal judgment takes a robust approach towards alleged due process violations. It emphasizes that the matter must be assessed according to a test of reasonableness and fairness with careful reference to the circumstances, and that courts should be cautious about interfering with a tribunal’s decision-making where there is a rational basis for those decisions. But CMNC v Jaguar Energy is notable for another reason: the presumption by the judge at first instance that there was implied into the arbitration agreement an obligation to arbitrate in good faith. That point may be of particular interest to those from common law jurisdictions where a more general debate over the role of good faith obligations in commercial contracts persists.


2019 ◽  
Vol 9 (21) ◽  
pp. 4653 ◽  
Author(s):  
Sean Grimes ◽  
David E. Breen

We present a flexible, robust approach to predictive decision-making using simple, modular agents (WoC-Bots) that interact with each other socially and share information about the features they are trained on. Our agents form a knowledge-diverse crowd, allowing us to use Wisdom of the Crowd (WoC) theories to aggregate their opinions and come to a collective conclusion. Compared to traditional multi-layer perceptron (MLP) networks, WoC-Bots can be trained more quickly, more easily incorporate new features, and make it easier to determine why the network gives the prediction that it does. We compare our predictive accuracy with MLP networks to show that WoC-Bots can attain similar results when predicting the box office success of Hollywood movies, while requiring significantly less training time.


2018 ◽  
Vol 41 ◽  
Author(s):  
Patrick Simen ◽  
Fuat Balcı

AbstractRahnev & Denison (R&D) argue against normative theories and in favor of a more descriptive “standard observer model” of perceptual decision making. We agree with the authors in many respects, but we argue that optimality (specifically, reward-rate maximization) has proved demonstrably useful as a hypothesis, contrary to the authors’ claims.


2018 ◽  
Vol 41 ◽  
Author(s):  
David Danks

AbstractThe target article uses a mathematical framework derived from Bayesian decision making to demonstrate suboptimal decision making but then attributes psychological reality to the framework components. Rahnev & Denison's (R&D) positive proposal thus risks ignoring plausible psychological theories that could implement complex perceptual decision making. We must be careful not to slide from success with an analytical tool to the reality of the tool components.


2018 ◽  
Vol 41 ◽  
Author(s):  
Kevin Arceneaux

AbstractIntuitions guide decision-making, and looking to the evolutionary history of humans illuminates why some behavioral responses are more intuitive than others. Yet a place remains for cognitive processes to second-guess intuitive responses – that is, to be reflective – and individual differences abound in automatic, intuitive processing as well.


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