Improving the operational efficiency (OE) of thermal power plants is one of the most important problems of electric power systems (EPS). According to modern concepts, efficiency is the simultaneous consideration of three properties of objects, viz. economy, reliability and safety. The methodology of their joint assessment assumes that the service life of the main equipment does not exceed the standard value, but this condition is now met by less than half of the production enterprises of a lot of EPS. In order to increase OE, it is necessary, first of all, to learn how to objectively compare the performance of objects both of the same type – in a given time interval, and unique ones – in adjacent intervals. Existing methods for calculating integrated performance indicators do not fully take into account the random nature of technical and economic indicators (TEI). The article presents a new method for comparing the OE of EPS objects, the essence of which is to switch from joint consideration of TEI to analysis of their relative changes in comparison with the factory default value (nominal value). Relative values of indicators characterize the amount of wear or residual life. In this case, for example, the arithmetic mean of the relative values of the TEI determines the average wear of the object. This physical representation enlivens integral indicators, and their comparison and ranking ceases to be science-intensive. It is proposed to take into account also the degree of variation of relative deviations (wear), which is adequate to the object’s misalignment. It manifests itself in a significant change (deterioration) of one or (less often) two relative values of the TEI in the calculated time interval (month) and is characterized by such statistical indicators as the geometric mean and the coefficient of variation of relative deviations. Herewith, if the arithmetic mean value of the object’s wear is restored during major repairs, then the misalignment is eliminated much faster – during current repairs. A necessary condition for the feasibility of using these or those integral indicators is their functional and statistical independence. The results of the studies performed using the simulation method made it possible to establish that the smallest correlation occurs between the integral indicator calculated as the arithmetic mean of random variables and the integral indicator calculated as the coefficient of variation of the same random variables. Comparison of correlation fields clearly confirms these conclusions.
Low-Power Nuclear Power Plants in the Context of Electric Power Systems Transformation
