Feature selection for daily peak load forecasting using a neuro-fuzzy system

2014 ◽  
Vol 74 (7) ◽  
pp. 2321-2336 ◽  
Author(s):  
Sung-Yong Son ◽  
Sang-Hong Lee ◽  
Kyungyong Chung ◽  
Joon S. Lim
2020 ◽  
Vol 9 (2) ◽  
pp. 59-79
Author(s):  
Heisnam Rohen Singh ◽  
Saroj Kr Biswas

Recent trends in data mining and machine learning focus on knowledge extraction and explanation, to make crucial decisions from data, but data is virtually enormous in size and mostly associated with noise. Neuro-fuzzy systems are most suitable for representing knowledge in a data-driven environment. Many neuro-fuzzy systems were proposed for feature selection and classification; however, they focus on quantitative (accuracy) than qualitative (transparency). Such neuro-fuzzy systems for feature selection and classification include Enhance Neuro-Fuzzy (ENF) and Adaptive Dynamic Clustering Neuro-Fuzzy (ADCNF). Here a neuro-fuzzy system is proposed for feature selection and classification with improved accuracy and transparency. The novelty of the proposed system lies in determining a significant number of linguistic features for each input and in suggesting a compelling order of classification rules using the importance of input feature and the certainty of the rules. The performance of the proposed system is tested with 8 benchmark datasets. 10-fold cross-validation is used to compare the accuracy of the systems. Other performance measures such as false positive rate, precision, recall, f-measure, Matthews correlation coefficient and Nauck's index are also used for comparing the systems. It is observed from the experimental results that the proposed system is superior to the existing neuro-fuzzy systems.


Energies ◽  
2018 ◽  
Vol 11 (7) ◽  
pp. 1899 ◽  
Author(s):  
Lin Lin ◽  
Lin Xue ◽  
Zhiqiang Hu ◽  
Nantian Huang

To improve the accuracy of the day-ahead load forecasting predictions of a single model, a novel modular parallel forecasting model with feature selection was proposed. First, load features were extracted from a historic load with a horizon from the previous 24 h to the previous 168 h considering the calendar feature. Second, a feature selection combined with a predictor process was carried out to select the optimal feature for building a reliable predictor with respect to each hour. The final modular model consisted of 24 predictors with a respective optimal feature subset for day-ahead load forecasting. New England and Singapore load data were used to evaluate the effectiveness of the proposed method. The results indicated that the accuracy of the proposed modular model was higher than that of the traditional method. Furthermore, conducting a feature selection step when building a predictor improved the accuracy of load forecasting.


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