scholarly journals The Impact of Hurricane Strikes on Short-Term Local Economic Activity: Evidence from Nightlight Images in the Dominican Republic

2019 ◽  
Vol 10 (3) ◽  
pp. 362-370 ◽  
Author(s):  
Oscar A. Ishizawa ◽  
Juan José Miranda ◽  
Eric Strobl
Keyword(s):  
Dominican Republic ◽  
Economic Activity ◽  
Short Term ◽  
The Impact

scholarly journals Risks and the influence of negative interest rates on economic activity: a case study of Sweden, Denmark, and Switzerland

2020 ◽  
Vol 15 (1) ◽  
pp. 30-41
Author(s):  
Liběna Černohorská ◽  
Darina Kubicová
Keyword(s):  
Time Series ◽  
Interest Rates ◽  
Granger Causality ◽  
Economic Activity ◽  
Central Banks ◽  
Time Interval ◽  
Short Term ◽  
Stock Indices ◽  
Negative Interest Rates ◽  
The Impact

The purpose of this paper is to analyze the impact of negative interest rates on economic activity in a selected group of countries, in particular Sweden, Denmark, and Switzerland, for the period 2009–2018. The central banks of these countries were among the first to implement negative interest rates to revive the economic growth. Therefore, this study analyzed long- and short-term relationships between interest rates announced by central banks and gross domestic product and blue chip stock indices. Time series analysis was conducted using Engle-Granger cointegration analysis and Granger causality testing to identify long- and short-term relationship. The first step, using the Akaike criteria, was to determine the optimal delay of the entire time interval for the analyzed periods. Time series that seem to be stationary were excluded based on the results of the Dickey-Fuller test. Further testing continued with the Engle-Granger test if the conditions were met. It was designed to identify co-integration relationships that would show correlation between the selected variables. These tests showed that at a significance level of 0.05, there is no co-integration between any time series in the countries analyzed. On the basis of these analyses, it was determined that there were no long-term relationships between interest rates and GDP or stock indices for these countries during the monitored time period. Using Granger causality, the study only confirmed short-term relationship between interest rates and GDP for all examined countries, though not between interest rates and the stock indices. Acknowledgment The paper has been created with the financial support of The Czech Science Foundation GACR 18-05244S – Innovative Approaches to Credit Risk Management.

The assessment of budget expenditures impact on economic activity

2018 ◽  
pp. 28-45
Author(s):  
I. V. Belyakov
Keyword(s):  
Government Spending ◽  
Economic Activity ◽  
Private Consumption ◽  
Negative Impact ◽  
Positive Impact ◽  
Private Investment ◽  
Short Term ◽  
Government Investment ◽  
Macroeconomic Conditions ◽  
The Impact

The article explores the impact of government spending on the key components of economic activity in Russia, such as private consumption and investment. The author pays serious attention to the theoretical justifications of the possible impact of fiscal policy on economic growth and its components, as well as reviews the empirical results obtained in this area. In the empirical part of the article, government expenditures are represented by the “GDP by expenditure” items — government consumption and government investment. The results, for Russian data covering the period of 1995—2017, indicate a short-term positive impact of government spending on private consumption and a negative impact on private investment. It also proves important to take into consideration the changes in macroeconomic conditions that occurred approximately in the middle of the observed period.

scholarly journals Цифровая синергетика взаимодействия внутригодовой активности экономической деятельности и годовой динамики валового внутреннего продукта

2020 ◽  
pp. 118-131
Author(s):  
Michail Novikov
Keyword(s):  
Gross Domestic Product ◽  
Economic Activity ◽  
Domestic Product ◽  
Short Term ◽  
Dynamic Component ◽  
Cyclic Component ◽  
The Republic ◽  
The Impact ◽  
Activity Energy

According to the results of the decomposition of the observed levels of quarterly GDP indicators statistically relevant components of its dynamics are identified: the dynamic component of seasonal cyclic nature, the trend-cyclic component, and that of short-term fluctuations. A methodology is suggested for studying the impact of within-year economic activity energy on the dynamics of annual GDP indicators. The research analytics was tested on the actual materials of annual and quarterly indicators of the Gross Domestic Product of the Republic of Belarus over the period of 2009–2017.

The Impact of Monetary Activity upon Regional Housing Markets: A Maximum Entropy Spectral Analysis

1985 ◽  
Vol 17 (7) ◽  
pp. 889-904 ◽  
Author(s):  
C Marchand
Keyword(s):  
Spectral Analysis ◽  
Interest Rates ◽  
Maximum Entropy ◽  
Economic Activity ◽  
Housing Markets ◽  
Residential Construction ◽  
Short Term ◽  
Maximum Entropy Spectral Analysis ◽  
Major Cycle ◽  
The Impact

The application of maximum entropy spectral analysis to time series measuring economic activity in Canada allows the identification of the time scales of cyclical variations specific to given sectors and to five diverse regions. Aggregate economic activity as measured by the unemployment rate is influenced by a major cycle and seasonal variations. In contrast, monetary activity is solely dominated by a [Formula: see text]-year cycle and can only be an efficient policy device for sectors which fluctuate around the same periodicity on the short term. Such is the case for residential construction which is shown to cohere moderately with interest rates as well as to lag changes in such rates by a significant time span.

scholarly journals The effect of short-term study abroad on second language Spanish phonetic development

2015 ◽  
Vol 8 (2) ◽  
Author(s):  
Silvina Bongiovanni ◽  
Avizia Y. Long ◽  
Megan Solon ◽  
Erik W. Willis
Keyword(s):  
Second Language ◽  
Study Abroad ◽  
Dominican Republic ◽  
Individual Variation ◽  
Short Term ◽  
Term Study ◽  
Short Term Study ◽  
English Speaking ◽  
A Minor ◽  
The Impact

AbstractThis study explores the impact of study abroad (SA) on second language Spanish phonetic development. Twenty-seven English-speaking learners of Spanish, 15 who were participating in a 4-week SA program in the Dominican Republic and 12 who were studying at their home (AH) institution, were recorded 5 weeks apart (at the approximate beginning and end of their respective programs). Recordings were analyzed acoustically, and four groups of segments were examined: word-initial /p t k/, intervocalic /b d ɡ/, intervocalic /ɾ/ and /r/, and word-final /l/. Productions at Time 1 and Time 2 as well as between the SA and AH groups were compared. Results suggested a minor benefit of the SA environment for phonetic development of some of the segments but with notable individual variation in both groups.

A Newspaper’s Effect on the Strength of Automatic Associations in Memory

2012 ◽  
Vol 24 (1) ◽  
pp. 1-8 ◽  
Author(s):  
Florian Arendt
Keyword(s):  
Treatment Group ◽  
Term Effect ◽  
Control Group ◽  
Implicit Measure ◽  
Short Term ◽  
Short Term Treatment ◽  
Short Term Effect ◽  
Automatic Associations ◽  
Foreign Nationality ◽  
The Impact

A test was done to see if reading a newspaper which consistently overrepresents foreigners as criminals strengthens the automatic association between foreign country and criminal in memory (i.e., implicit cultivation). Further, an investigation was done to find out if reading articles from the same newspaper produces a short-term effect on the same measure and if (1) emotionalization of the newspaper texts, (2) emotional reactions of the reader (indicated by arousal), and (3) attributed text credibility moderate the short-term treatment effect. Eighty-five participants were assigned to one of three experimental conditions. Participants in the control group received short factual crime texts, where the nationality of the offender was not mentioned. Participants in the factual treatment group received the same texts, but the foreign nationality was mentioned. Participants in the emotionalized treatment group received emotionalized articles (i.e., texts which are high in vividness and frequency) covering the same crimes, with the foreign nationality mentioned. Supporting empirical evidence for implicit cultivation and a short-term effect was found. However, only emotionalized articles produced a short-term effect on the strength of the automatic association, indicating that newspaper texts must have a minimum of stimulus intensity to overcome an effect threshold. There were no moderating effects of arousal or credibility pertaining to the impact on the implicit measure. However, credibility moderated the short-term effect on a first-order judgment (i.e., estimated frequency of foreigners of all criminals). This indicates that a newspaper’s effect on the strength of automatic associations is relatively independent from processes of propositional reasoning.

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