Narrations of the “China Threat:” An analysis of the discursive roots of US-Western China perception from the beginning of the twenty-first century until the Trump presidency

2021 ◽  
Author(s):  
Jan-Boje Frauen
Keyword(s):  
First Century ◽  
Western China ◽  
Twenty First Century ◽  
China Threat

scholarly journals Extreme Precipitation Indices over China in CMIP5 Models. Part II: Probabilistic Projection

2016 ◽  
Vol 29 (24) ◽  
pp. 8989-9004 ◽  
Author(s):  
Wei Li ◽  
Zhihong Jiang ◽  
Jianjun Xu ◽  
Laurent Li
Keyword(s):  
Extreme Precipitation ◽  
High Reliability ◽  
First Century ◽  
Western China ◽  
Cmip5 Models ◽  
Huai River ◽  
Extreme Precipitation Indices ◽  
Precipitation Indices ◽  
Twenty First Century ◽  
Probabilistic Projection

Abstract The present article is the second part of a study on the extreme precipitation indices over China in CMIP5 models that perform a probabilistic projection of future precipitation indices with reference to the period 1986–2005. This is realized with a rank-based weighting method. The ranking of the 25 models is done according to their performance in simulating rainfall indices in present-day climate. Such weights are used to form a weighted ensemble for future climate projection. Results show that, compared to the unweighted raw ensemble, the projection with the weighted scheme is more credible, as the signal-to-noise ratio (SNR) of indices is larger from the weighted ensemble. From the beginning of the mid-twenty-first century, changes of wet indices with probability >0.5 increase significantly, especially over western China and the Yellow–Huai River basin, where the changes of all wet indices are in excess of 10%, the increase of total precipitation (PRCPTOT) can reach up to 20% over western China at the end of twenty-first century, and the SNR of PRCPTOT and precipitation intensity (SDII) is the highest at those two regions. This indicates that the precipitation in those regions has a high reliability to become more extreme. The maximum consecutive dry days (CDD) decreases throughout the north of 30°N, which shows that drought conditions in northern China would be reduced, and they are more likely to increase in southern China. However, the SNR for projection of CDD is less than 1.0 almost everywhere. Such a situation seems related to a strengthening of the East Asian summer monsoon and the associated northward shift of the monsoon front.

Managing Networks of Twenty-First Century Organisations

2006 ◽  
Author(s):  
Perri Six ◽  
Nick Goodwin ◽  
Edward Peck ◽  
Tim Freeman
Keyword(s):  
First Century ◽  
Twenty First Century

Freud, sex, and the soul: does Freud’s focus on sex obscure his relevance to the twenty-first century soul-searcher?

2020 ◽  
Vol 5 (1) ◽  
pp. 65-73
Author(s):  
Eliza Preston
Keyword(s):  
Sigmund Freud ◽  
Psychotherapy Training ◽  
Human Experience ◽  
First Century ◽  
Clinical Approach ◽  
Early Stages ◽  
Modern Reader ◽  
Human Psyche ◽  
Twenty First Century

This article explores what the work of Sigmund Freud has to offer those searching for a more spiritual and philosophical exploration of the human experience. At the early stages of my psychotherapy training, I shared with many peers an aversion to Freud’s work, driven by a perception of a mechanistic, clinical approach to the human psyche and of a persistent psychosexual focus. This article traces my own attempt to grapple with his work and to push through this resistance. Bettelheim’s (1991) treatise that Freud was searching for man’s soul provides a more sympathetic lens through which to explore Freud’s writing, one which enabled me to discover a rich depth which had not previously been obscured. This article is an account of my journey to a new appreciation of Freud’s work. It identifies a number of challenges to Bettelheim’s argument, whilst also indicating how his revised translation allowed a new understanding of the relevance of Freud’s work to the modern reader. This account may be of interest to those exploring classical psychotherapeutic literature as well as those guiding them through that process.

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