The Antarctic ice sheet, its history and response to sea level and climatic changes over the past 100 million years

Predictions of global changes in relative sea level caused by retreat of the Antarctic Ice Sheet from its 18,000 yr B.P. maximum to its present size are calculated numerically. When combined with the global predictions of relative sea-level change resulting from retreat of the Northern Hemisphere ice sheets, the results may be compared directly to observations of sea-level change on the Antarctic continent as well as at distant localities. The comparison of predictions to the few observations of sea-level change on Antarctica supports the view that the Antarctic Ice Sheet was larger 18,000 years ago than at present. The contribution of the Antarctic Ice Sheet to the total eustatic sea-level rise is assumed to be 25 m (25% of the assumed total eustatic rise). If as little as 0.7 m of this 25-m rise occurred between 5000 yr B.P. and the present, few mid-oceanic islands would emerge. If the Antarctic Ice Sheet attained its present dimensions by 6000 yr B.P., however, and if the volume of the ocean has remained constant for the past 5000 years, numerous islands throughout the Southern Hemisphere would emerge. It is suggested that a thorough study of Pacific islands, believed by some to have slightly emerged shorelines of Holocene age, would yield useful information about ocean volume changes during the past 5000 years, and hence on the glacial history of the Antarctic Ice Sheet.

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Antarctic ice sheet response to upper-bound scenarios

10.5194/egusphere-egu21-11823 ◽

2021 ◽

Author(s):

Sainan Sun ◽

Frank Pattyn

Keyword(s):

Sea Level Rise ◽

Sea Level ◽

Upper Bound ◽

Ice Sheet ◽

Climate Forcing ◽

Ice Shelf ◽

Antarctic Ice Sheet ◽

Ice Shelves ◽

Basal Sliding ◽

The Antarctic

<p>Mass loss of the Antarctic ice sheet contributes the largest uncertainty of future sea-level rise projections. Ice-sheet model predictions are limited by uncertainties in climate forcing and poor understanding of processes such as ice viscosity. The Antarctic BUttressing Model Intercomparison Project (ABUMIP) has investigated the 'end-member' scenario, i.e., a total and sustained removal of buttressing from all Antarctic ice shelves, which can be regarded as the upper-bound physical possible, but implausible contribution of sea-level rise due to ice-shelf loss. In this study, we add successive layers of &#8216;realism&#8217; to the ABUMIP scenario by considering sustained regional ice-shelf collapse and by introducing ice-shelf regrowth after collapse with the inclusion of ice-sheet and ice-shelf damage (Sun et al., 2017). Ice shelf regrowth has the ability to stabilize grounding lines, while ice shelf damage may reinforce ice loss. In combination with uncertainties from basal sliding and ice rheology, a more realistic physical upperbound to ice loss is sought. Results are compared in the light of other proposed mechanisms, such as MICI due to ice cliff collapse.</p>

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Late Neogene Sirius Group strata in Reedy Valley, Antarctica: a multiple-resolution record of climate, ice-sheet and sea-level events

Journal of Glaciology ◽

10.1017/s0022143000001957 ◽

1998 ◽

Vol 44 (148) ◽

pp. 437-447 ◽

Cited By ~ 23

Author(s):

Gary S. Wilson ◽

David M. Harwood ◽

Rosemary A. Askin ◽

Richard H. Levy

Keyword(s):

Sea Level ◽

Ice Sheet ◽

Glacier Area ◽

Antarctic Ice Sheet ◽

Western Margin ◽

Type Section ◽

Late Neogene ◽

Formation Type ◽

Spur Formation ◽

The Antarctic

AbstractLate Neogene Sirius Group strata from Tillite Spur and Quartz Hills in the Reedy Glacier area, Antarctica, demonstrate the variability in Sirius Group facies and contrasts Sirius Group strata deposited at high and low paleo-elevation, respectively. The Tillite Spur and Quartz Hills Formations (Pliocene) are formally defined here.The Tillite Spur Formation type section crops out on the edge of the Wisconsin Plateau overlooking Tillite Spur. It comprises 32m of alternating coarse gray conglomerate and muddy olive-brown diamictites. The Quartz Hills Formation type section crops out above the western margin of Reedy Glacier in a pre-existing cirque towards the southern end of the Quartz Hills. It comprises c.100m of alternating massive diamictites and rhythmically interbedded sandstone and laminated mudstones which were deposited close to sea level and subsequently rapidly uplifted (>500 m Myr−1) to their present elevation at c. 1500 m. Three orders of paleoclimatic variability are recorded in the Sirius Group strata from Reedy Valley: (1) recycled marine microfloras in glacial diamictites indicate intervals of marine incursion into the Antarctic cratonic interior co-occurring with reductions in the East Antarctic ice sheet; (2) an advancing and retreating paleo-Reedy Glacier deposited a glacial/interglacial sequence alternating on a 10-100 kyr scale; 3) Centimeter and millimeter stratification in strata of the Quartz Hills Formation record annual kyr scale variability.

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Antarctic Ice-Sheet Volume at 18000 Years B.P. and Holocene Sea-Level Changes at the West Antarctic Margin

Journal of Glaciology ◽

10.3189/s0022143000014751 ◽

1979 ◽

Vol 24 (90) ◽

pp. 213-230 ◽

Cited By ~ 1

Author(s):

Craig S. Lingle ◽

James A. Clark

Keyword(s):

Sea Level Rise ◽

Sea Level ◽

Ice Sheet ◽

Sea Level Changes ◽

Ice Shelf ◽

Relative Sea Level ◽

Antarctic Ice Sheet ◽

West Antarctic Ice Sheet ◽

West Antarctic ◽

The Antarctic

AbstractThe Antarctic ice sheet has been reconstructed at 18000 years b.p. by Hughes and others (in press) using an ice-flow model. The volume of the portion of this reconstruction which contributed to a rise of post-glacial eustatic sea-level has been calculated and found to be (9.8±1.5) × 106 km3. This volume is equivalent to 25±4 m of eustatic sea-level rise, defined as the volume of water added to the ocean divided by ocean area. The total volume of the reconstructed Antarctic ice sheet was found to be (37±6) × 106 km3. If the results of Hughes and others are correct, Antarctica was the second largest contributor to post-glacial eustatic sea-level rise after the Laurentide ice sheet. The Farrell and Clark (1976) model for computation of the relative sea-level changes caused by changes in ice and water loading on a visco-elastic Earth has been applied to the ice-sheet reconstruction, and the results have been combined with the changes in relative sea-level caused by Northern Hemisphere deglaciation as previously calculated by Clark and others (1978). Three families of curves have been compiled, showing calculated relative sea-level change at different times near the margin of the possibly unstable West Antarctic ice sheet in the Ross Sea, Pine Island Bay, and the Weddell Sea. The curves suggest that the West Antarctic ice sheet remained grounded to the edge of the continental shelf until c. 13000 years b.p., when the rate of sea-level rise due to northern ice disintegration became sufficient to dominate emergence near the margin predicted otherwise to have been caused by shrinkage of the Antarctic ice mass. In addition, the curves suggest that falling relative sea-levels played a significant role in slowing and, perhaps, reversing retreat when grounding lines approached their present positions in the Ross and Weddell Seas. A predicted fall of relative sea-level beneath the central Ross Ice Shelf of as much as 23 m during the past 2000 years is found to be compatible with recent field evidence that the ice shelf is thickening in the south-east quadrant.

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Ice-sheet surges and the geological record

Canadian Journal of Earth Sciences ◽

10.1139/e69-094 ◽

1969 ◽

Vol 6 (4) ◽

pp. 903-910 ◽

Cited By ~ 16

Author(s):

John T. Hollin

Keyword(s):

United States ◽

Sea Level ◽

Ice Sheet ◽

The United States ◽

Tectonic Activity ◽

Ice Ages ◽

Antarctic Ice Sheet ◽

Geological Record ◽

Glacial Time ◽

The Antarctic

If they had occurred, ice-sheet surges would have caused sea-level rises of up to 50 m from Gondwanaland and say 20 m from Antarctica. The rises would have taken 100 years or much less, and the sub sequent falls would have taken 50 000 years or so, as the ice built up again. Such rises may explain the extensive (hundreds of miles ?) and sharp (submergence time 4 years ?) coal – marine shale contacts in the Carboniferous cyclothems. The chief rival explanation for these contacts is sudden subsidence. Tests should show (1) if such contacts are better correlated with periods of glaciation or with areas of tectonic activity, (2) how extensive the contacts really are, (3) if there is any evidence of erosion during sea-level falls, (4) if the amplitudes and periods of the cycles fit surges or subsidence, (5) how fast the submergences were, and (6) if any coolings began at the contacts. Wilson suggests that in the Pleistocene the surge coolings were sufficient to trigger the northern ice ages. If so, interglacial pollen profiles should show rapid but temporary marine transgressions beginning at the break of climate. Evidence suggesting such transgressions occurs in England and the United States, but is still insufficient to disprove explanations such as local downwarping. There is no evidence yet for surges in Wisconsin or Post-glacial time. There is some evidence that the Antarctic Ice Sheet is currently building up, but this could be a response to a Post-glacial accumulation increase rather than the prelude to a surge.

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Nonlinear response of the Antarctic Ice Sheet to late Quaternary sea level and climate forcing

The Cryosphere ◽

10.5194/tc-13-2615-2019 ◽

2019 ◽

Vol 13 (10) ◽

pp. 2615-2631 ◽

Cited By ~ 3

Author(s):

Michelle Tigchelaar ◽

Axel Timmermann ◽

Tobias Friedrich ◽

Malte Heinemann ◽

David Pollard

Keyword(s):

Sea Level ◽

Late Quaternary ◽

Ice Sheet ◽

Volume Changes ◽

Antarctic Ice Sheet ◽

Glacial Ice ◽

Ice Volume ◽

Global Sea Level ◽

The Individual ◽

The Antarctic

Abstract. Antarctic ice volume has varied substantially during the late Quaternary, with reconstructions suggesting a glacial ice sheet extending to the continental shelf break and interglacial sea level highstands of several meters. Throughout this period, changes in the Antarctic Ice Sheet were driven by changes in atmospheric and oceanic conditions and global sea level; yet, so far modeling studies have not addressed which of these environmental forcings dominate and how they interact in the dynamical ice sheet response. Here, we force an Antarctic Ice Sheet model with global sea level reconstructions and transient, spatially explicit boundary conditions from a 408 ka climate model simulation, not only in concert with each other but, for the first time, also separately. We find that together these forcings drive glacial–interglacial ice volume changes of 12–14 ms.l.e., in line with reconstructions and previous modeling studies. None of the individual drivers – atmospheric temperature and precipitation, ocean temperatures, or sea level – single-handedly explains the full ice sheet response. In fact, the sum of the individual ice volume changes amounts to less than half of the full ice volume response, indicating the existence of strong nonlinearities and forcing synergy. Both sea level and atmospheric forcing are necessary to create full glacial ice sheet growth, whereas the contribution of ocean melt changes is found to be more a function of ice sheet geometry than climatic change. Our results highlight the importance of accurately representing the relative timing of forcings of past ice sheet simulations and underscore the need for developing coupled climate–ice sheet modeling frameworks that properly capture key feedbacks.

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Impact of transient increases in atmospheric CO2 on the accumulation and mass balance of the Antarctic ice sheet

Annals of Glaciology ◽

10.1017/s0260305500013938 ◽

1997 ◽

Vol 25 ◽

pp. 137-144 ◽

Cited By ~ 6

Author(s):

Siobhan P. O’Farrell ◽

John L. McGregor ◽

Leon D. Rotstayn ◽

William F. Budd ◽

Christopher Zweck ◽

...

Keyword(s):

Sea Level Rise ◽

Sea Level ◽

Ice Sheet ◽

Coupled Model ◽

Negative Contribution ◽

Antarctic Ice Sheet ◽

Ice Shelves ◽

Basal Melting ◽

Main Effects ◽

The Antarctic

The response of the Antarctic ice sheet to climate change over the next 500 years is calculated using the output of a transient-coupled ocean-atmosphere simulation assuming the atmospheric CO2value increases up to three times present levels. The main effects on the ice sheet on this time-scale include increasing rates of accumulation, minimal surface melting, and basal melting of ice shelves. A semi-Lagrangian transport scheme for moisture was used to improve the model’s ability to represent realistic rates of accumulation under present-day conditions, and thereby increase confidence in the anomalies calculated under a warmer climate. The response of the Antarctic ice sheet to the warming is increased accumulation inland, offset by loss from basal melting from the floating ice, and increased ice flow near the grounding line. The preliminary results of this study show that the change to the ice-sheet balance for the transient-coupled model forcing amounted to a minimal sea-level contribution in the next century, but a net positive sea-level rise of 0.21 m by 500 years. This new result supercedes earlier results that showed the Antarctic ice sheet made a net negative contribution to sea-level rise over the next century. However, the amplitude of the sea-level rise is still dominated In the much larger contributions expected from thermal expansion of the ocean of 0.25 m for 100 years and 1.00 m for 500 years.

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Combustion of available fossil fuel resources sufficient to eliminate the Antarctic Ice Sheet

Science Advances ◽

10.1126/sciadv.1500589 ◽

2015 ◽

Vol 1 (8) ◽

pp. e1500589 ◽

Cited By ~ 59

Author(s):

Ricarda Winkelmann ◽

Anders Levermann ◽

Andy Ridgwell ◽

Ken Caldeira

Keyword(s):

Sea Level Rise ◽

Sea Level ◽

Carbon Emissions ◽

Fossil Fuel ◽

Ice Sheet ◽

Antarctic Ice Sheet ◽

West Antarctic Ice Sheet ◽

West Antarctic ◽

Global Sea Level ◽

The Antarctic

The Antarctic Ice Sheet stores water equivalent to 58 m in global sea-level rise. We show in simulations using the Parallel Ice Sheet Model that burning the currently attainable fossil fuel resources is sufficient to eliminate the ice sheet. With cumulative fossil fuel emissions of 10,000 gigatonnes of carbon (GtC), Antarctica is projected to become almost ice-free with an average contribution to sea-level rise exceeding 3 m per century during the first millennium. Consistent with recent observations and simulations, the West Antarctic Ice Sheet becomes unstable with 600 to 800 GtC of additional carbon emissions. Beyond this additional carbon release, the destabilization of ice basins in both West and East Antarctica results in a threshold increase in global sea level. Unabated carbon emissions thus threaten the Antarctic Ice Sheet in its entirety with associated sea-level rise that far exceeds that of all other possible sources.

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The glacial geomorphology of the Antarctic ice sheet bed

Antarctic Science ◽

10.1017/s0954102014000212 ◽

2014 ◽

Vol 26 (6) ◽

pp. 724-741 ◽

Cited By ~ 25

Author(s):

Stewart S.R. Jamieson ◽

Chris R. Stokes ◽

Neil Ross ◽

David M. Rippin ◽

Robert G. Bingham ◽

...

Keyword(s):

Large Scale ◽

Landscape Evolution ◽

Ice Sheets ◽

Ice Sheet ◽

Glacial Erosion ◽

Antarctic Ice Sheet ◽

The Past ◽

Valley Network ◽

The Antarctic ◽

Antarctic Ice Sheets

AbstractIn 1976, David Sugden and Brian John developed a classification for Antarctic landscapes of glacial erosion based upon exposed and eroded coastal topography, providing insight into the past glacial dynamics of the Antarctic ice sheets. We extend this classification to cover the continental interior of Antarctica by analysing the hypsometry of the subglacial landscape using a recently released dataset of bed topography (BEDMAP2). We used the existing classification as a basis for first developing a low-resolution description of landscape evolution under the ice sheet before building a more detailed classification of patterns of glacial erosion. Our key finding is that a more widespread distribution of ancient, preserved alpine landscapes may survive beneath the Antarctic ice sheets than has been previously recognized. Furthermore, the findings suggest that landscapes of selective erosion exist further inland than might be expected, and may reflect the presence of thinner, less extensive ice in the past. Much of the selective nature of erosion may be controlled by pre-glacial topography, and especially by the large-scale tectonic structure and fluvial valley network. The hypotheses of landscape evolution presented here can be tested by future surveys of the Antarctic ice sheet bed.

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PISM paleo simulations of the Antarctic Ice Sheet over the last two glacial cycles

10.5194/egusphere-egu2020-15081 ◽

2020 ◽

Author(s):

Torsten Albrecht ◽

Ricarda Winkelmann ◽

Anders Levermann

Keyword(s):

Boundary Conditions ◽

Sea Level ◽

Ice Sheet ◽

Sea Level Changes ◽

Glacial Cycles ◽

Antarctic Ice Sheet ◽

History Of ◽

Global Sea Level ◽

Glacial Time ◽

The Antarctic

<p>Simulations of the glacial-interglacial history of the Antarctic Ice Sheet provide insights into dynamic threshold behavior and estimates of the ice sheet's contributions to global sea-level changes, for the past, present and future. However, boundary conditions are weakly constrained, in particular at the interface of the ice-sheet and the bedrock. We use the Parallel Ice Sheet Model (PISM) to investigate the dynamic effects of different choices of input data and of various parameterizations on the sea-level relevant ice volume. We evaluate the model's transient sensitivity to corresponding parameter choices and to different boundary conditions over the last two glacial cycles and provide estimates of involved uncertainties. We also present isolated and combined effects of climate and sea-level forcing on glacial time scales.&#160;</p>

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