Abstract. The Yangtze River Delta (YRD) and the megacity of Shanghai are host to one of the busiest port
clusters in the world; the region also suffers from high levels of air
pollution. The goal of this study was to estimate the contributions of
shipping to regional emissions, air quality, and population exposure and to
characterize the importance of the geographic spatiality of shipping lanes
and different types of ship-related sources for the baseline year of 2015,
which was prior to the implementation of China's Domestic Emission Control
Areas (DECAs) in 2016. The WRF-CMAQ model, which combines the Weather
Research and Forecasting model (WRF) and the Community Multi-scale Air
Quality (CMAQ) model, was used to simulate the influence of coastal and
inland-water shipping, port emissions and ship-related cargo transport on air quality and on the
population-weighted concentrations (which is a measure of human
exposure). Our results showed that the impact of shipping on air quality in the YRD was
primarily attributable to shipping emissions within 12 NM (nautical miles)
of shore, but emissions coming from the coastal area between 24 and 96 NM
still contributed substantially to ship-related PM2.5 concentrations in
the YRD. The overall contribution of ships to the PM2.5 concentration in
the YRD could reach 4.62 µg m−3 in summer when monsoon winds
transport shipping emissions onshore. In Shanghai city, inland-water going
ships were major contributors (40 %–80 %) to the shipping impact on
urban air quality. Given the proximity of inland-water ships to the urban
populations of Shanghai, the emissions of inland-water ships contributed more
to population-weighted concentrations. These research results provide
scientific evidence to inform policies for controlling future shipping
emissions; in particular, in the YRD region, expanding the boundary of 12 NM
from shore in China's current DECA policy to around 100 NM from shore would
include most of shipping emissions affecting air pollutant exposure, and
stricter fuel standards could be considered for the ships on inland rivers
and other waterways close to residential regions.