Finite-sample inference and nonstandard asymptotics with Monte Carlo tests and R

Author(s):  
Jean-Marie Dufour ◽  
Julien Neves
Econometrics ◽  
2019 ◽  
Vol 7 (1) ◽  
pp. 16
Author(s):  
Taehoon Kim ◽  
Jacob Schwartz ◽  
Kyungchul Song ◽  
Yoon-Jae Whang

This paper considers two-sided matching models with nontransferable utilities, with one side having homogeneous preferences over the other side. When one observes only one or several large matchings, despite the large number of agents involved, asymptotic inference is difficult because the observed matching involves the preferences of all the agents on both sides in a complex way, and creates a complicated form of cross-sectional dependence across observed matches. When we assume that the observed matching is a consequence of a stable matching mechanism with homogeneous preferences on one side, and the preferences are drawn from a parametric distribution conditional on observables, the large observed matching follows a parametric distribution. This paper shows in such a situation how the method of Monte Carlo inference can be a viable option. Being a finite sample inference method, it does not require independence or local dependence among the observations which are often used to obtain asymptotic validity. Results from a Monte Carlo simulation study are presented and discussed.


1987 ◽  
Vol 3 (3) ◽  
pp. 387-408 ◽  
Author(s):  
J.C. Nankervis ◽  
N.E. Savin

The distributions of the test statistics are investigated in the context of an AR(1) model where the root is unity or near unity and where the exogenous process is a stable process, a random walk or a time trend. The finite sample distributions are estimated by Monte Carlo methods assuming normal disturbances. The sensitivity of the distributions to both the values of the parameters of the AR(1) model and the process generating the exogenous time series is examined. The Monte Carlo results motivate several theorems which describe the exact sampling behavior of the test statistics. The analytical and empirical results present a mixed picture with respect to the accuracy of the relevant asymptotic approximations.


2011 ◽  
Vol 28 (3) ◽  
pp. 570-589 ◽  
Author(s):  
Dominik Wied ◽  
Walter Krämer ◽  
Herold Dehling

We propose a new test against a change in correlation at an unknown point in time based on cumulated sums of empirical correlations. The test does not require that inputs are independent and identically distributed under the null. We derive its limiting null distribution using a new functional delta method argument, provide a formula for its local power for particular types of structural changes, give some Monte Carlo evidence on its finite-sample behavior, and apply it to recent stock returns.


Econometrics ◽  
2020 ◽  
Vol 8 (3) ◽  
pp. 34
Author(s):  
Yong Bao ◽  
Xiaotian Liu ◽  
Lihong Yang

The ordinary least squares (OLS) estimator for spatial autoregressions may be consistent as pointed out by Lee (2002), provided that each spatial unit is influenced aggregately by a significant portion of the total units. This paper presents a unified asymptotic distribution result of the properly recentered OLS estimator and proposes a new estimator that is based on the indirect inference (II) procedure. The resulting estimator can always be used regardless of the degree of aggregate influence on each spatial unit from other units and is consistent and asymptotically normal. The new estimator does not rely on distributional assumptions and is robust to unknown heteroscedasticity. Its good finite-sample performance, in comparison with existing estimators that are also robust to heteroscedasticity, is demonstrated by a Monte Carlo study.


2012 ◽  
Vol 28 (2) ◽  
pp. 249-273 ◽  
Author(s):  
Cecilia Mancini ◽  
Fabio Gobbi

When the covariance between the risk factors of asset prices is due to both Brownian and jump components, the realized covariation (RC) approaches the sum of the integrated covariation (IC) with the sum of the co-jumps, as the observation frequency increases to infinity, in a finite and fixed time horizon. In this paper the two components are consistently separately estimated within a semimartingale framework with possibly infinite activity jumps. The threshold (or truncated) estimator $I\hat C_n $ is used, which substantially excludes from RC all terms containing jumps. Unlike in Jacod (2007, Universite de Paris-6) and Jacod (2008, Stochastic Processes and Their Applications 118, 517–559), no assumptions on the volatilities’ dynamics are required. In the presence of only finite activity jumps: 1) central limit theorems (CLTs) for $I\hat C_n $ and for further measures of dependence between the two Brownian parts are obtained; the estimation error asymptotic variance is shown to be smaller than for the alternative estimators of IC in the literature; 2) by also selecting the observations as in Hayashi and Yoshida (2005, Bernoulli 11, 359–379), robustness to nonsynchronous data is obtained. The proposed estimators are shown to have good finite sample performances in Monte Carlo simulations even with an observation frequency low enough to make microstructure noises’ impact on data negligible.


1997 ◽  
Vol 13 (6) ◽  
pp. 850-876 ◽  
Author(s):  
In Choi ◽  
Joon Y. Park ◽  
Byungchul Yu

This paper introduces tests for the null of cointegration in the presence of I(1) and I(2) variables. These tests use residuals from Park's (1992, Econometrica 60,119–143) canonical cointegrating regression (CCR) and the leads-and-lags regression of Saikkonen (1991, Econometric Theory 9,1–21) and Stock and Watson (1993, Econometrica 61, 783–820). Asymptotic theory for CCR in the presence of I(1) and I(2) variables is also introduced. The distributions of the cointegration tests are nonstandard, and hence their percentiles are tabulated by using simulation. Monte Carlo simulation results to study the finite sample performance of the CCR estimates and the cointegration tests are also reported.


Sign in / Sign up

Export Citation Format

Share Document