Plasma MCP-1 level and risk for peripheral arterial disease and incident coronary heart disease: Atherosclerosis Risk in Communities study

Introduction: Lower extremity peripheral arterial disease (PAD) affects between 12% and 20% of Americans over the age of 65. PAD compromises quality of life, contributes a high burden of disability and its related health care costs exceed $4 billion/year, yet this preventable CVD outcome remains understudied. Aims: Assess the incidence of hospitalized PAD, and of the most severe form of PAD, critical limb ischemia (CLI), in middle-aged men and women, and evaluate their risk factors in a bi-ethnic, population-based cohort. We hypothesized that incidence of hospitalized PAD and CLI are higher in African Americans, and that modifiable atherosclerosis risk factors in middle age predict these sequelae of PAD. Methods: We analyzed data from 13,865 participants from the Atherosclerosis Risk in Communities Study aged 45–64 without PAD at baseline (1987–89). Incident PAD and CLI events were identified using ICD-9 codes from active surveillance of all hospitalizations among cohort participants from 1987 through 2008. All estimates are incidence rates per 10,000 person-years; nominal statistical significance was achieved for all baseline characteristic comparisons reported. Results: There were 707 incident hospitalized PAD during a median of 18 years of follow-up (249,570 person-years). The overall age-adjusted incidence of PAD and limb-threatening CLI were 26.0 and 9.6 per 10,000 person-years, respectively. Incidence of hospitalized PAD was higher in African Americans than whites (34.7 vs. 23.2) and in men compared to women (32.4 vs. 26.7). Baseline characteristics associated with age-adjusted incident PAD (per 10,000 person-years) compared to their referent groups were diabetes (91.2 vs. 19.0), history of smoking (33.6 vs. 16.2), hypertension (42.6 vs. 18.6), coronary heart disease (81.4 vs. 24.1), and obesity (41.5 vs. 20.2). Incidence of CLI also was higher among African Americans (21.0 vs. 5.9) and in men (10.5 vs. 8.9 per 10,000 person-years). Baseline characteristics associated with incident CLI were similar to those for PAD. Conclusions: The absolute risk of hospitalized lower extremity PAD in this community-based cohort is of a magnitude similar to that of heart failure and of stroke. As modifiable factors are strongly predictive of the long-term risk of hospitalized PAD and CLI, particularly among African Americans, our results highlight the need for effective risk factor prevention and control.

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Abstract P247: Dietary Intake and Peripheral Arterial Disease Incidence in Middle Aged Adults: the Atherosclerosis Risk in Communities Study (ARIC)

Circulation ◽

10.1161/circ.135.suppl_1.p247 ◽

2017 ◽

Vol 135 (suppl_1) ◽

Author(s):

Rachel P Ogilvie ◽

Pamela L Lutsey ◽

Gerardo Heiss ◽

Aaron R Folsom ◽

Lyn M Steffen

Keyword(s):

Peripheral Arterial Disease ◽

Dietary Intake ◽

Lower Risk ◽

Meat Consumption ◽

Arterial Disease ◽

Food Groups ◽

Atherosclerosis Risk In Communities ◽

Atherosclerosis Risk ◽

Peripheral Arterial

Background: Peripheral arterial disease (PAD) is a costly source of morbidity and mortality among older persons in the United States. Dietary intake plays a role in the development of atherosclerotic cardiovascular disease; however, few studies have examined the relation of food intake or diet patterns with PAD. Objectives: We examined the relationship between habitual dietary intake at midlife and incident PAD over approximately 20 years of follow-up. Methods: Among 14,082 participants enrolled in the Atherosclerosis Risk in Communities (ARIC) study initially free of PAD, dietary intake was assessed at baseline in 1987-1989 using a Harvard food frequency questionnaire. Food groups were created and principal components analysis was used to develop “healthy” and “Western” dietary patterns; both were categorized into quintiles or quartiles. Incident PAD was defined by an ankle-brachial index (ABI) measure of < 0.90 at either of two subsequent exams (1993-1995, 1996-1998), or a hospital discharge diagnosis of PAD, leg amputation, or leg revascularization procedures through 2012. Cox proportional hazards models adjusted for relevant confounders assessed the relations of each food group or diet pattern with incident PAD. Results: During a mean follow up of 19.9 years, 1569 participants developed incident PAD. A total of 64.7% of cases had their incident event defined via ICD-9 codes, while 35.3% had incident PAD defined by ABI. In models adjusted for demographics, behaviors, and food groups, the hazard ratios for incident PAD increased across quintiles of meat consumption (Q2 vs. Q1 1.38 [95% CI 1.16, 1.64], Q3 vs. Q1 1.40 [1.18, 1.67], Q4 vs. Q1 1.47 [1.23, 1.77], Q5 vs. Q1 1.66 [1.36, 2.03], p for trend <0.001). Compared to those who drank no alcohol, those who had 1-6 drinks per week had a lower risk of incident PAD (HR=0.78 [95% CI 0.68, 0.89]). For coffee, there was a modest inverse association with incident PAD (Q5 vs. Q1 0.84 [0.75, 1.00], p for trend = 0.014). There was no association between other food groups or patterns and incident PAD. Conclusions: In this prospective population-based cohort study, greater meat consumption was associated with higher risk of incident PAD, while both moderate alcohol consumption and coffee consumption were associated with lower risk of incident PAD. Whether these associations are causal remains to be seen.

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