Kidney Transplantation Outcome Predictions (KTOP): A Risk Prediction Tool for Kidney Transplants from Brain-dead Deceased Donors Based on a Large European Cohort

Author(s):  
Gregor Miller ◽  
Donna P. Ankerst ◽  
Michael W. Kattan ◽  
Norbert Hüser ◽  
Serge Vogelaar ◽  
...  
2020 ◽  
Vol 15 (9) ◽  
pp. 1320-1329
Author(s):  
Maria Ibrahim ◽  
George H.B. Greenhall ◽  
Dominic M. Summers ◽  
Lisa Mumford ◽  
Rachel Johnson ◽  
...  

Background and objectivesKidneys from elderly deceased donors are often discarded after procurement if the expected outcomes from single kidney transplantation are considered unacceptable. An alternative is to consider them for dual kidney transplantation. We aimed to examine the utilization of kidneys from donors aged ≥60 years in the United Kingdom and compare clinical outcomes of dual versus single kidney transplant recipients.Design, setting, participants, & measurementsData from the United Kingdom Transplant Registry from 2005 to 2017 were analyzed. We examined utilization rates of kidneys retrieved from deceased donors aged ≥60 years, and 5-year patient and death-censored graft survival of recipients of dual and single kidney transplants. Secondary outcomes included eGFR. Multivariable analyses and propensity score analysis were used to correct for differences between the groups.ResultsDuring the study period, 7841 kidneys were procured from deceased donors aged ≥60 years, of which 1338 (17%) were discarded; 356 dual and 5032 single kidneys were transplanted. Donors of dual transplants were older (median, 73 versus 66 years; P<0.001) and had higher United States Kidney Donor Risk Indices (2.48 versus 1.98; P<0.001). Recipients of dual transplants were also older (64 versus 61 years; P<0.001) and had less favorable human leukocyte antigen matching (P<0.001). After adjusting for confounders, dual and single transplants had similar 5-year graft survival (hazard ratio, 0.81; 95% CI, 0.59 to 1.12). No difference in patient survival was demonstrated. Similar findings were observed in a matched cohort with a propensity score analysis method. Median 12-month eGFR was significantly higher in the dual kidney transplant group (40 versus 36 ml/min per 1.73 m2; P<0.001).ConclusionsRecipients of kidneys from donors aged ≥60 years have similar 5-year graft survival and better graft function at 12 months with dual compared with single deceased donor kidney transplants.


Author(s):  
Laura Jahn ◽  
Christiane Rüster ◽  
Mandy Schlosser ◽  
Yvonne Winkler ◽  
Susan Foller ◽  
...  

2017 ◽  
Vol 10 (7) ◽  
pp. 421-430 ◽  
Author(s):  
Artitaya Lophatananon ◽  
Juliet Usher-Smith ◽  
Jackie Campbell ◽  
Joanne Warcaba ◽  
Barbora Silarova ◽  
...  

2020 ◽  
Vol 35 (4) ◽  
pp. 687-696
Author(s):  
Jimena Cabrera ◽  
Mario Fernández-Ruiz ◽  
Hernando Trujillo ◽  
Esther González ◽  
María Molina ◽  
...  

Abstract Background Advances in life expectancy have led to an increase in the number of elderly people with end-stage renal disease (ESRD). Scarce information is available on the outcomes of kidney transplantation (KT) in extremely elderly patients based on an allocation policy prioritizing donor–recipient age matching. Methods We included recipients ≥75 years that underwent KT from similarly aged deceased donors at our institution between 2002 and 2015. Determinants of death-censored graft and patient survival were assessed by Cox regression. Results We included 138 recipients with a median follow-up of 38.8 months. Median (interquartile range) age of recipients and donors was 77.5 (76.3–79.7) and 77.0 years (74.7–79.0), with 22.5% of donors ≥80 years. Primary graft non-function occurred in 8.0% (11/138) of patients. Cumulative incidence rates for post-transplant infection and biopsy-proven acute rejection (BPAR) were 70.3% (97/138) and 15.2% (21/138), respectively. One- and 5-year patient survival were 82.1 and 60.1%, respectively, whereas the corresponding rates for death-censored graft survival were 95.6 and 93.1%. Infection was the leading cause of death (46.0% of fatal cases). The occurrence of BPAR was associated with lower 1-year patient survival [hazard ratio (HR) = 4.21, 95% confidence interval (CI) 1.64–10.82; P = 0.003]. Diabetic nephropathy was the only factor predicting 5-year death-censored graft survival (HR = 4.82, 95% CI 1.08–21.56; P = 0.040). Conclusions ESRD patients ≥75 years can access KT and remain dialysis free for their remaining lifespan by using grafts from extremely aged deceased donors, yielding encouraging results in terms of recipient and graft survival.


2015 ◽  
Vol 21 (6) ◽  
pp. 363-366 ◽  
Author(s):  
Alex J. Mitchell

SummaryThe Mini-Mental State Examination (MMSE) is the most widely used bedside cognitive test. It has previously been shown to be poor as a case-finding tool for both dementia and mild cognitive impairment (MCI). This month's Cochrane Corner review examines whether the MMSE might be used as a risk prediction tool for later dementia in those with established MCI. From 11 studies of modest quality, it appears that the MMSE alone should not be relied on to predict later deterioration in people with MCI. As this is the case, it is likely that only a combination of predictors would be able to accurately predict progression from MCI to dementia.


2018 ◽  
Vol 11 (12) ◽  
pp. 841-848 ◽  
Author(s):  
Ying Liu ◽  
Graham A. Colditz ◽  
Bernard A. Rosner ◽  
Hank Dart ◽  
Esther Wei ◽  
...  

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