scholarly journals Using a difference-in-differences and synthetic control approach to investigate the socioeconomic impacts of Oregon's marine reserves

2021 ◽  
Vol 215 ◽  
pp. 105965
Author(s):  
Haley K. Fox ◽  
Thomas C. Swearingen
Keyword(s):  
Marine Reserves ◽  
Synthetic Control ◽  
Difference In Differences ◽  
Socioeconomic Impacts ◽  
Control Approach

The Effect of Large-scale Performance-Based Funding in Higher Education

2021 ◽  
Vol 16 (1) ◽  
pp. 92-124 ◽  
Author(s):  
Jason Ward ◽  
Ben Ost
Keyword(s):  
Higher Education ◽  
Large Scale ◽  
Performance Metrics ◽  
State Funding ◽  
Synthetic Control ◽  
Difference In Differences ◽  
Control Approach ◽  
Performance Based Funding ◽  
State Higher Education ◽  
Identification Strategy

The use of performance-based funding that ties state higher education appropriations to performance metrics has increased dramatically in recent years, but most programs place at stake a small percent of overall funding. We analyze the effect of two notable exceptions—Ohio and Tennessee—where nearly all state funding is tied to performance measures. Using a difference-in-differences identification strategy along with a synthetic control approach, we find no evidence that these programs improve key academic outcomes.

scholarly journals Assessing economic impact of sovereignty transfer over Hong Kong: a synthetic control approach

2021 ◽  
pp. 1-16
Author(s):  
Jing Li ◽  
Sarina Sangal ◽  
Ling Shao
Keyword(s):  
Hong Kong ◽  
Economic Impact ◽  
Synthetic Control ◽  
Control Approach

scholarly journals Impact of drought on crime in California: A synthetic control approach

PLoS ONE ◽  
2017 ◽  
Vol 12 (10) ◽  
pp. e0185629
Author(s):  
Dana E. Goin ◽  
Kara E. Rudolph ◽  
Jennifer Ahern
Keyword(s):  
Synthetic Control ◽  
Control Approach

scholarly journals The effects of non-pharmaceutical interventions on COVID-19-related mortality: A generalized synthetic control approach across 169 countries

2021 ◽  
Author(s):  
Sebastian Mader ◽  
Tobias Rüttenauer
Keyword(s):  
Weather Conditions ◽  
Time Frame ◽  
Synthetic Control ◽  
Control Approach ◽  
Treatment Timing ◽  
Government Response ◽  
Treatment Variation ◽  
Per Capita ◽  
Analyse Data ◽  
Pharmaceutical Interventions

Background: Most governments have introduced various non-pharmaceutical interventions (NPIs) in response to the pandemic outbreak of Coronavirus disease (COVID-19) since early 2020. While NPIs aim at avoiding fatalities related to COVID-19, the previous literature on their efficacy has focused on infections and on data of the first half of 2020. Still, findings of early NPI studies may be subject to underreporting and missing timeliness of reporting of cases. Moreover, the low variation in treatment timing during the first wave makes identification of robust treatment effects difficult.Methods: To circumvent problems of reporting and treatment variation, we analyse data on daily confirmed COVID-19-related deaths per capita from Our World in Data, and on 10 different NPIs from the Oxford COVID-19 Government Response Tracker for 169 countries from 1st July 2020 to 31st May 2021. To identify the causal effects of introducing NPIs on COVID-19-related confirmed fatalities per capita, we apply the generalized synthetic control (GSC) method to each NPI, while controlling for the remaining NPIs, weather conditions, vaccinations, and NPI-residualized COVID-19 cases.Findings: We do not find substantial and consistent mitigating effects of any NPI under investigation on COVID-19-related deaths per capita. We see a tentative change in the trend of COVID-19-related deaths around 30 days after workplace closing, public transport closing, and stay at home rules have been implemented, but none of them exerts a statistically significant effect.Interpretation: The study enhances the literature on the effectivity of NPIs with respect to the time frame, the number of countries, and the analytical approach. The results provide further guidance to judge the proportionality of NPIs.

The Effect of Concealed-Carry and Handgun Restrictions on Gun-Related Deaths: Evidence from the Sullivan Act of 1911

2022 ◽  
Author(s):  
Briggs Depew ◽  
Isaac Swensen
Keyword(s):  
Strong Evidence ◽  
Historical Data ◽  
Mortality Rates ◽  
Synthetic Control ◽  
Difference In Differences ◽  
Homicide Rates ◽  
Suicide Rates ◽  
Concealed Carry

Abstract The 1911 NY State Sullivan Act (SA) outlawed carrying concealable firearms without a licence, established strict licencing rules, and regulated the sale and possession of handguns. We analyse the effects of the SA using historical data on mortality rates, pistol permits, and citations for illegal carrying. Our analysis of pistol permits and citations reveal clear initial effects of the SA on gun-related behaviours. Using synthetic control and difference-in-differences methodologies, our main analyses show no effects on overall homicide rates, evidence of a reduction in overall suicide rates, and strong evidence of a large and sustained decrease in gun-related suicide rates.

Do Targeted Business Subsidies Improve Income and Reduce Poverty? A Synthetic Control Approach

2019 ◽  
Vol 33 (4) ◽  
pp. 351-375
Author(s):  
Jacob Bundrick ◽  
Weici Yuan
Keyword(s):  
Economic Development ◽  
Local Economy ◽  
County Level ◽  
Synthetic Control ◽  
Policy Makers ◽  
Control Approach ◽  
Incentive Programs ◽  
Subsidy Program ◽  
Capita Personal Income

Interstate competition for economic development has led many states to adopt targeted economic development incentive programs known as deal-closing funds. Deal-closing funds allow state officials to provide discretionary cash grants to select businesses to attract and retain economic development projects. However, whether these targeted business subsidies increase prosperity in the local economy remains unclear. The authors use evidence from Arkansas’s Quick Action Closing Fund to analyze how effective deal-closing funds are at increasing incomes and decreasing poverty. Specifically, the causal effects of the Quick Action Closing Fund on Arkansas’s county-level per capita personal income and poverty rates are estimated using a synthetic control approach. The results largely suggest that the business subsidy program fails to increase incomes and lower poverty rates over the long term, at least at the county level. These findings should serve as a caution to policy makers who wish to improve incomes and poverty rates with targeted business subsidies.

The Cuban revolution and infant mortality: A synthetic control approach

2020 ◽  
pp. 101376 ◽  
Author(s):  
Vincent Geloso ◽  
Jamie Bologna Pavlik
Keyword(s):  
Infant Mortality ◽  
Cuban Revolution ◽  
Synthetic Control ◽  
Control Approach

scholarly journals The effect of bariatric surgery on health care costs: A synthetic control approach using Bayesian structural time series

2019 ◽  
Vol 28 (11) ◽  
pp. 1293-1307
Author(s):  
Christoph F. Kurz ◽  
Martin Rehm ◽  
Rolf Holle ◽  
Christina Teuner ◽  
Michael Laxy ◽  
...  
Keyword(s):  
Bariatric Surgery ◽  
Health Care ◽  
Time Series ◽  
Health Care Costs ◽  
Synthetic Control ◽  
Control Approach ◽  
Structural Time Series ◽  
Structural Time ◽  
Care Costs
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