An echo state network with attention mechanism for production prediction in reservoirs

Author(s):  
Yanchang Liu ◽  
Liqun Shan ◽  
Dongbo Yu ◽  
Lili Zeng ◽  
Ming Yang
2020 ◽  
Vol 140 (12) ◽  
pp. 1393-1401
Author(s):  
Hiroki Chinen ◽  
Hidehiro Ohki ◽  
Keiji Gyohten ◽  
Toshiya Takami

Energies ◽  
2019 ◽  
Vol 12 (6) ◽  
pp. 982 ◽  
Author(s):  
Xin Wu ◽  
Hong Wang ◽  
Guoqian Jiang ◽  
Ping Xie ◽  
Xiaoli Li

Health monitoring of wind turbine gearboxes has gained considerable attention as wind turbines become larger in size and move to more inaccessible locations. To improve the reliability, extend the lifetime of the turbines, and reduce the operation and maintenance cost caused by the gearbox faults, data-driven condition motoring techniques have been widely investigated, where various sensor monitoring data (such as power, temperature, and pressure, etc.) have been modeled and analyzed. However, wind turbines often work in complex and dynamic operating conditions, such as variable speeds and loads, thus the traditional static monitoring method relying on a certain fixed threshold will lead to unsatisfactory monitoring performance, typically high false alarms and missed detections. To address this issue, this paper proposes a reliable monitoring model for wind turbine gearboxes based on echo state network (ESN) modeling and the dynamic threshold scheme, with a focus on supervisory control and data acquisition (SCADA) vibration data. The aim of the proposed approach is to build the turbine normal behavior model only using normal SCADA vibration data, and then to analyze the unseen SCADA vibration data to detect potential faults based on the model residual evaluation and the dynamic threshold setting. To better capture temporal information inherent in monitored sensor data, the echo state network (ESN) is used to model the complex vibration data due to its simple and fast training ability and powerful learning capability. Additionally, a dynamic threshold monitoring scheme with a sliding window technique is designed to determine dynamic control limits to address the issue of the low detection accuracy and poor adaptability caused by the traditional static monitoring methods. The effectiveness of the proposed monitoring method is verified using the collected SCADA vibration data from a wind farm located at Inner Mongolia in China. The results demonstrated that the proposed method can achieve improved detection accuracy and reliability compared with the traditional static threshold monitoring method.


2021 ◽  
Vol 11 (14) ◽  
pp. 6625
Author(s):  
Yan Su ◽  
Kailiang Weng ◽  
Chuan Lin ◽  
Zeqin Chen

An accurate dam deformation prediction model is vital to a dam safety monitoring system, as it helps assess and manage dam risks. Most traditional dam deformation prediction algorithms ignore the interpretation and evaluation of variables and lack qualitative measures. This paper proposes a data processing framework that uses a long short-term memory (LSTM) model coupled with an attention mechanism to predict the deformation response of a dam structure. First, the random forest (RF) model is introduced to assess the relative importance of impact factors and screen input variables. Secondly, the density-based spatial clustering of applications with noise (DBSCAN) method is used to identify and filter the equipment based abnormal values to reduce the random error in the measurements. Finally, the coupled model is used to focus on important factors in the time dimension in order to obtain more accurate nonlinear prediction results. The results of the case study show that, of all tested methods, the proposed coupled method performed best. In addition, it was found that temperature and water level both have significant impacts on dam deformation and can serve as reliable metrics for dam management.


2021 ◽  
Author(s):  
Zhaoyang Niu ◽  
Guoqiang Zhong ◽  
Hui Yu

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