A perspective on model-data surface temperature comparison at the Last Glacial Maximum

2015 ◽  
Vol 107 ◽  
pp. 1-10 ◽  
Author(s):  
J.D. Annan ◽  
J.C. Hargreaves
2018 ◽  
Author(s):  
Akil Hossain ◽  
Xu Zhang ◽  
Gerrit Lohmann

Abstract. Over the Last Glacial Maximum (LGM, ~ 21 ka BP), the presence of vast Northern Hemisphere ice-sheets caused abrupt changes in surface topography and background climatic state. While the ice-sheet extent is well known, several conflicting ice-sheet topography reconstructions suggest that there is uncertainty in this boundary condition. The terrestrial and sea surface temperature (SST) of the LGM as simulated with six different Laurentide Ice Sheet (LIS) reconstructions in a fully coupled Earth System Model (COSMOS) have been compared with the subfossil pollen and plant macrofossil based and marine temperature proxies reconstruction. The terrestrial reconstruction shows a similar pattern and in good agreement with model data. The SST proxy dataset comprises a global compilation of planktonic foraminifera, diatoms, radiolarian, dinocyst, alkenones and planktonic foraminifera Mg / Ca-derived SST estimates. Significant mismatches between modeled and reconstructed SST have been observed. Among the six LIS reconstructions, Tarasov’s LIS reconstruction shows the highest correlation with reconstructed terrestrial and SST. In the case of radiolarian, Mg / Ca, diatoms and foraminifera show a positive correlation while dinocyst and alkenones show very low and negative correlation with the model. Dinocyst-based SST records are much warmer than reconstructed by other proxies as well as Pre-industrial (PI) temperature. However, there are large discrepancies between model temperatures and temperature recorded by different proxies. Eight different PMIP3 models also compared with temperature proxies reconstruction which show mismatches with the proxy records might be due to misinterpreted and/or biased proxy records. Therefore, it has been speculated that considering different habitat depths and growing seasons of the planktonic organisms used for SST reconstruction could provide a better agreement of proxy data with model results on a regional scale. Moreover, it can reduce model-data misfits. It is found that shifting in the habitat depth and living season can remove parts of the observed model-data mismatches in SST anomalies.


2005 ◽  
Vol 337 (10-11) ◽  
pp. 983-992 ◽  
Author(s):  
Masa Kageyama ◽  
Nathalie Combourieu Nebout ◽  
Pierre Sepulchre ◽  
Odile Peyron ◽  
Gerhard Krinner ◽  
...  

2007 ◽  
Vol 3 (2) ◽  
pp. 331-339 ◽  
Author(s):  
G. Ramstein ◽  
M. Kageyama ◽  
J. Guiot ◽  
H. Wu ◽  
C. Hély ◽  
...  

Abstract. The Last Glacial Maximum has been one of the first foci of the Paleoclimate Modelling Intercomparison Project (PMIP). During its first phase, the results of 17 atmosphere general circulation models were compared to paleoclimate reconstructions. One of the largest discrepancies in the simulations was the systematic underestimation, by at least 10°C, of the winter cooling over Europe and the Mediterranean region observed in the pollen-based reconstructions. In this paper, we investigate the progress achieved to reduce this inconsistency through a large modelling effort and improved temperature reconstructions. We show that increased model spatial resolution does not significantly increase the simulated LGM winter cooling. Further, neither the inclusion of a vegetation cover compatible with the LGM climate, nor the interactions with the oceans simulated by the atmosphere-ocean general circulation models run in the second phase of PMIP result in a better agreement between models and data. Accounting for changes in interannual variability in the interpretation of the pollen data does not result in a reduction of the reconstructed cooling. The largest recent improvement in the model-data comparison has instead arisen from a new climate reconstruction based on inverse vegetation modelling, which explicitly accounts for the CO2 decrease at LGM and which substantially reduces the LGM winter cooling reconstructed from pollen assemblages. As a result, the simulated and observed LGM winter cooling over Western Europe and the Mediterranean area are now in much better agreement.


2004 ◽  
Vol 218 (3-4) ◽  
pp. 379-388 ◽  
Author(s):  
Thomas Blunier ◽  
Jakob Schwander ◽  
Jérôme Chappellaz ◽  
Frédéric Parrenin ◽  
Jean Marc Barnola

2000 ◽  
Vol 37 (5) ◽  
pp. 725-750 ◽  
Author(s):  
Anne de Vernal ◽  
Claude Hillaire-Marcel ◽  
Jean-Louis Turon ◽  
Jens Matthiessen

Past sea-surface conditions over the northern North Atlantic during the last glacial maximum were examined from the study of 61 deep-sea cores. The last glacial maximum time slice studied here corresponds to an interval between Heinrich layers H2 and H1, and spanning about 20-16 ka on a 14C time scale. Transfer functions based on dinocyst assemblages were used to reconstruct sea-surface temperature, salinity, and sea-ice cover. The results illustrate extensive sea-ice cover along the eastern Canadian margins and sea-ice spreading, only during winter, over most of the northern North Atlantic. On the whole, much colder winter prevailed, despite relatively mild conditions in August (10-15°C at most offshore sites), thus suggesting a larger seasonal contrast of temperatures than today. Lower salinity than at present is reconstructed, especially along the eastern Canadian and Scandinavian margins, likely because of meltwater supply from the surrounding ice sheets. These reconstructions contrast with those established by CLIMAP on the basis of planktonic foraminifera. These differences are discussed with reference to the stratigraphical frame of the last glacial maximum, which was not the coldest phase of the last glacial stage. The respective significance of dinocyst and foraminifer records is also examined in terms of the thermohaline characteristics of surface waters and the vertical structure of upper water masses, which was apparently much more stratified than at present in the northern North Atlantic, thus preventing deep-water formation.


2013 ◽  
Vol 64 ◽  
pp. 104-120 ◽  
Author(s):  
Louise C. Sime ◽  
Karen E. Kohfeld ◽  
Corinne Le Quéré ◽  
Eric W. Wolff ◽  
Agatha M. de Boer ◽  
...  

2020 ◽  
Author(s):  
Allan Ashworth ◽  
et al.

Age-depth model data, images of fossil insect and plant macroscopic remains, lists of skeletal elements for fossil insects, and locality and derived climate data for Olophrum boreale and Olophrum consimile<br>


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