Wind speed deterministic forecasting and probabilistic interval forecasting approach based on deep learning, modified tunicate swarm algorithm, and quantile regression

Author(s):  
Jianzhou Wang ◽  
Shuai Wang ◽  
Zhiwu Li
Atmosphere ◽  
2021 ◽  
Vol 12 (7) ◽  
pp. 924
Author(s):  
Moslem Imani ◽  
Hoda Fakour ◽  
Wen-Hau Lan ◽  
Huan-Chin Kao ◽  
Chi Ming Lee ◽  
...  

Despite the great significance of precisely forecasting the wind speed for development of the new and clean energy technology and stable grid operators, the stochasticity of wind speed makes the prediction a complex and challenging task. For improving the security and economic performance of power grids, accurate short-term wind power forecasting is crucial. In this paper, a deep learning model (Long Short-term Memory (LSTM)) has been proposed for wind speed prediction. Knowing that wind speed time series is nonlinear stochastic, the mutual information (MI) approach was used to find the best subset from the data by maximizing the joint MI between subset and target output. To enhance the accuracy and reduce input characteristics and data uncertainties, rough set and interval type-2 fuzzy set theory are combined in the proposed deep learning model. Wind speed data from an international airport station in the southern coast of Iran Bandar-Abbas City was used as the original input dataset for the optimized deep learning model. Based on the statistical results, the rough set LSTM (RST-LSTM) model showed better prediction accuracy than fuzzy and original LSTM, as well as traditional neural networks, with the lowest error for training and testing datasets in different time horizons. The suggested model can support the optimization of the control approach and the smooth procedure of power system. The results confirm the superior capabilities of deep learning techniques for wind speed forecasting, which could also inspire new applications in meteorology assessment.


Author(s):  
Ronaldo R. B. de Aquino ◽  
Helen Barboza da Silva ◽  
Jonata C. de Albuquerque ◽  
Manuel Herrera ◽  
Aida A. Ferreira ◽  
...  

Energy ◽  
2021 ◽  
pp. 121808
Author(s):  
Xi Chen ◽  
Ruyi Yu ◽  
Sajid Ullah ◽  
Dianming Wu ◽  
Zhiqiang Li ◽  
...  

2022 ◽  
Vol 269 ◽  
pp. 112801
Author(s):  
Milad Asgarimehr ◽  
Caroline Arnold ◽  
Tobias Weigel ◽  
Chris Ruf ◽  
Jens Wickert

Author(s):  
Paulo S. G. de Mattos Neto ◽  
Joao F. L. de Oliveira ◽  
Domingos S. de O. Santos Junior ◽  
Hugo Valadares Siqueira ◽  
Francisco Madeiro

2021 ◽  
pp. 91-99
Author(s):  
Bharat Kumar Saxena ◽  
Sanjeev Mishra ◽  
Komaragiri Venkata Subba Rao
Keyword(s):  

Sign in / Sign up

Export Citation Format

Share Document