Agreement between hospital discharge diagnosis codes and medical records to identify metastatic colorectal cancer and associated comorbidities in elderly patients

Adjuvant treatment for patients with early stage colorectal cancer (eCRC) is currently based on suboptimal risk stratification, especially for elderly patients. Metabolomics may improve the identification of patients with residual micrometastases after surgery. In this retrospective study, we hypothesized that metabolomic fingerprinting could improve risk stratification in patients with eCRC. Serum samples obtained after surgery from 94 elderly patients with eCRC (65 relapse free and 29 relapsed, after 5-years median follow up), and from 75 elderly patients with metastatic colorectal cancer (mCRC) obtained before a new line of chemotherapy, were retrospectively analyzed via proton nuclear magnetic resonance spectroscopy. The prognostic role of metabolomics in patients with eCRC was assessed using Kaplan–Meier curves. PCA-CA-kNN could discriminate the metabolomic fingerprint of patients with relapse-free eCRC and mCRC (70.0% accuracy using NOESY spectra). This model was used to classify the samples of patients with relapsed eCRC: 69% of eCRC patients with relapse were predicted as metastatic. The metabolomic classification was strongly associated with prognosis (p-value 0.0005, HR 3.64), independently of tumor stage. In conclusion, metabolomics could be an innovative tool to refine risk stratification in elderly patients with eCRC. Based on these results, a prospective trial aimed at improving risk stratification by metabolomic fingerprinting (LIBIMET) is ongoing.

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Clinical and therapeutic features and prognostic factors of metastatic colorectal cancer over age 80: a retrospective study

BMC Gastroenterology ◽

10.1186/s12876-021-01791-9 ◽

2021 ◽

Vol 21 (1) ◽

Author(s):

Hiroyuki Hisada ◽

Yu Takahashi ◽

Manabu Kubota ◽

Haruhisa Shimura ◽

Ei Itobayashi ◽

...

Keyword(s):

Colorectal Cancer ◽

Prognostic Factors ◽

Elderly Patients ◽

Metastatic Colorectal Cancer ◽

Carcinoembryonic Antigen ◽

Prognostic Nutritional Index ◽

Hazard Ratio ◽

Elderly Group ◽

Younger Patients ◽

Nutritional Index

Abstract Background Colorectal cancer (CRC) is one of the most common cancers in the world. The number of elderly patients with CRC increases due to aging of the population. There are few studies that examined chemotherapy and prognostic factors in metastatic colorectal cancer (mCRC) patients aged ≥ 80 years. We assessed the efficacy of chemotherapy and prognostic factors among patients with mCRC aged ≥ 80 years. Methods We retrospectively analyzed clinical and laboratory findings of 987 patients newly diagnosed with CRC at Asahi General Hospital (Chiba, Japan) between January 2012 and December 2016. The Kaplan–Meier method was used for the overall survival (OS) and the log-rank test was used to identify difference between patients. A multivariate Cox proportional hazard regression analysis was performed to determine the hazard ratios and 95% confidence intervals (CIs) of prognostic factors among super-elderly patients. Results In total, 260 patients were diagnosed with mCRC (super-elderly group: n = 43, aged ≥ 80 years and younger group, n = 217, aged < 80 years). The performance status and nutritional status were worse in the super-elderly group than in the younger group. The OS of super-elderly patients who received chemotherapy was worse than that of younger patients (18.5 vs. 28.8 months; P = 0.052), although the difference was not significant. The OS of patients who received chemotherapy tended to be longer than that of those who did not; however, there were no significant differences in OS in the super-elderly group (18.5 vs. 8.4 months P = 0.33). Multivariate analysis revealed that carcinoembryonic antigen levels ≥ 5 ng/mL (hazard ratio: 2.27; 95% CI 1.09–4.74; P = 0.03) and prognostic nutritional index ≤ 35 (hazard ratio: 8.57; 95% CI 2.63–27.9; P = 0.0003) were independently associated with poor OS in the super-elderly group. Conclusions Patients with mCRC aged ≥ 80 years had lower OS than younger patients even though they received chemotherapy. Carcinoembryonic antigen and prognostic nutritional index were independent prognostic factors in super-elderly patients with mCRC, but chemotherapy was not. Trial registration: retrospectively registered.

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