scholarly journals Coseismic and postseismic deformation estimation of the 2011 Tohoku earthquake in Kanto Region, Japan, using InSAR time series analysis and GPS

2015 ◽  
Vol 168 ◽  
pp. 374-387 ◽  
Author(s):  
Tamer ElGharbawi ◽  
Masayuki Tamura
Author(s):  
Xiaoxin Zhu ◽  
Yanyan Wang ◽  
David Regan ◽  
Baiqing Sun

Awareness of the requested quantity and characteristics of emergency supplies is crucial for facilitating an efficient relief operation. With the aim of focusing on the quantitative study of immediate food supplies, this article estimates the numerical autoregressive integrative moving average (ARIMA) model based on the actual data of 14 key commodities in the Sendai City of Japan during the 2011 Tohoku earthquake. Although the temporal patterns of key food commodity groups are qualitatively similar, the results show that they follow different ARIMA processes, with different autoregressive moving averages and difference order patterns. A key finding is that 3 of the 14 items are significantly related to the number of temporary residents in shelters, revealing that the relatively low number of different items makes it easier to deploy these key supplies or develop regional purchase agreements so as to promptly obtain them from distributors.


2019 ◽  
Vol 36 (1) ◽  
pp. 232-249 ◽  
Author(s):  
Tomoaki Nishino ◽  
Akihiko Hokugo

This article presents the development of a stochastic model for time series prediction of the number of post-earthquake fire ignitions in buildings for use in post-earthquake fire risk assessment. Two kinds of Poisson regression models with an explanatory variable of JMA instrumental seismic intensity were applied to 126 ignitions affected by ground motion, which were extracted from the ignition record for the 2011 Tohoku Earthquake: (1) a time-dependent occurrence model for the ignitions from electricity-related sources, which is coupled with a statistical model for electrical supply rate after an earthquake, and (2) a time-independent occurrence model for the ignitions from gas-related sources, oil-related sources, and others. In order to verify the models, time series prediction of the number of ignitions in the 2011 Tohoku Earthquake was conducted using Monte Carlo simulation. From the calculated results, we concluded that the models could reasonably explain the occurrence tendency of ignitions in the 2011 Tohoku Earthquake.


2018 ◽  
Vol 3 (82) ◽  
Author(s):  
Eurelija Venskaitytė ◽  
Jonas Poderys ◽  
Tadas Česnaitis

Research  background  and  hypothesis.  Traditional  time  series  analysis  techniques,  which  are  also  used  for the analysis of cardiovascular signals, do not reveal the relationship between the  changes in the indices recorded associated with the multiscale and chaotic structure of the tested object, which allows establishing short-and long-term structural and functional changes.Research aim was to reveal the dynamical peculiarities of interactions of cardiovascular system indices while evaluating the functional state of track-and-field athletes and Greco-Roman wrestlers.Research methods. Twenty two subjects participated in the study, their average age of 23.5 ± 1.7 years. During the study standard 12 lead electrocardiograms (ECG) were recorded. The following ECG parameters were used in the study: duration of RR interval taken from the II standard lead, duration of QRS complex, duration of JT interval and amplitude of ST segment taken from the V standard lead.Research  results.  Significant  differences  were  found  between  inter-parametric  connections  of  ST  segment amplitude and JT interval duration at the pre and post-training testing. Observed changes at different hierarchical levels of the body systems revealed inadequate cardiac metabolic processes, leading to changes in the metabolic rate of the myocardium and reflected in the dynamics of all investigated interactions.Discussion and conclusions. It has been found that peculiarities of the interactions of ECG indices interactions show the exposure of the  functional changes in the body at the onset of the workload. The alterations of the functional state of the body and the signs of fatigue, after athletes performed two high intensity training sessions per day, can be assessed using the approach of the evaluation of interactions between functional variables. Therefore the evaluation of the interactions of physiological signals by using time series analysis methods is suitable for the observation of these processes and the functional state of the body.Keywords: electrocardiogram, time series, functional state.


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