Aims: Observational studies have found an increased risk of latent autoimmune diabetes in adults (LADA) associated with low birth weight and adult overweight/obesity. We aimed to investigate whether these associations are causal, using a two-sample Mendelian randomization (MR) design. In addition, we wanted to compare results for LADA and type 2 diabetes.
Methods: We identified 129 SNPs as instrumental variables (IVs) for birth weight from a genome-wide association study (GWAS) of the Early Growth Genetics Consortium (EGG) and the UK Biobank. We identified 820 SNPs as IVs for adult BMI from a GWAS of the UK Biobank and the Genetic Investigation of ANthropometric Traits consortium (GIANT). Summary statistics for the associations between IVs and LADA were extracted from the only GWAS involving 2,634 cases and 5,947 population controls. We used the inverse-variance weighted (IVW) estimator as our primary analysis, supplemented by a series of sensitivity analyses.
Results: Genetically determined birth weight was inversely associated with LADA (OR per SD [~500 g] decrease in birth weight: 2.02, 95% CI: 1.37-2.97). In contrast, genetically predicted BMI in adulthood was positively associated with LADA (OR per SD [~4.8 kg/m2] increase in BMI: 1.40, 95% CI: 1.14-1.71). Results persisted in a range of sensitivity analyses using other MR estimators or excluding some IVs. With respect to type 2 diabetes, the association with birth weight was not stronger than in LADA while the association with adult BMI was stronger than in LADA.
Conclusions/ interpretation: This study provides genetic support for a causal link between low birth weight, adult overweight/obesity, and LADA.