Recent investigations involving stochastic population models

1984 ◽  
Vol 16 (01) ◽  
pp. 4-5
Author(s):  
M. S. Bartlett

After some introductory general remarks on recent investigations involving population models, two broad classes of stochastic model are discussed, further, viz., spatial nearest-neighbour lattice models, and doubly stochastic models.

1984 ◽  
Vol 16 (1) ◽  
pp. 4-5
Author(s):  
M. S. Bartlett

After some introductory general remarks on recent investigations involving population models, two broad classes of stochastic model are discussed, further, viz., spatial nearest-neighbour lattice models, and doubly stochastic models.


1984 ◽  
Vol 16 (3) ◽  
pp. 449-470 ◽  
Author(s):  
M. S. Bartlett

After some introductory general remarks on recent investigations involving population models, two broad classes of stochastic model are discussed further, viz. spatial nearest-neighbour lattice models and doubly stochastic models.In Section 1 of the paper, the first type of model is considered primarily for its relevance to recent work by the author and others affecting the practical design and analysis of replicated field experiments.In Section 2, doubly stochastic processes are discussed more theoretically, particularly models investigated recently by the author involving infinitesimal transition operators in continuous time linear in the (variable) parameters.Some new numerical results on extinction and other ‘absorption' probabilities are presented; these are intended to throw further light on the extent to which the assumption of ‘white-noise' variability of the parameters can be a useful approximation to more realistic models.


1984 ◽  
Vol 16 (03) ◽  
pp. 449-470 ◽  
Author(s):  
M. S. Bartlett

After some introductory general remarks on recent investigations involving population models, two broad classes of stochastic model are discussed further, viz. spatial nearest-neighbour lattice models and doubly stochastic models.In Section 1 of the paper, the first type of model is considered primarily for its relevance to recent work by the author and others affecting the practical design and analysis of replicated field experiments.In Section 2, doubly stochastic processes are discussed more theoretically, particularly models investigated recently by the author involving infinitesimal transition operators in continuous time linear in the (variable) parameters.Some new numerical results on extinction and other ‘absorption' probabilities are presented; these are intended to throw further light on the extent to which the assumption of ‘white-noise' variability of the parameters can be a useful approximation to more realistic models.


2021 ◽  
pp. 85-102
Author(s):  
Timothy E. Essington

The chapter “Stochastic Population Models” introduces the concept of stochasticity, why it is sometimes incorporated into models, the consequences of stochasticity for population models, and how these types of models are used to evaluate extinction risk. Ecological systems are (seemingly) governed by randomness, or “stochasticity.” A stochastic model is one that explicitly includes randomness in the prediction of state variable dynamics. Because these models have a random component, each model run will be unique and will rarely look like a deterministic simulation. In this chapter, simple unstructured and density-dependent models are presented to show core concepts, and extensions to structured and density-dependent models are given.


2019 ◽  
Vol 30 ◽  
pp. 04014
Author(s):  
Nikita Andriyanov ◽  
Vladislav Sonin

The possibilities of constructing an effective forecast of the number of taxi service orders based on mathematical models are considered. A comparative analysis of the variances of forecasting errors for various stochastic models and models based on fuzzy logic is carried out. It is shown that the best estimates are provided by the doubly stochastic model, as well as by the fuzzy Sugeno model.


2021 ◽  
pp. 1-16
Author(s):  
Hong Hu ◽  
Xuefeng Xie ◽  
Jingxiang Gao ◽  
Shuanggen Jin ◽  
Peng Jiang

Abstract Stochastic models are essential for precise navigation and positioning of the global navigation satellite system (GNSS). A stochastic model can influence the resolution of ambiguity, which is a key step in GNSS positioning. Most of the existing multi-GNSS stochastic models are based on the GPS empirical model, while differences in the precision of observations among different systems are not considered. In this paper, three refined stochastic models, namely the variance components between systems (RSM1), the variances of different types of observations (RSM2) and the variances of observations for each satellite (RSM3) are proposed based on the least-squares variance component estimation (LS-VCE). Zero-baseline and short-baseline GNSS experimental data were used to verify the proposed three refined stochastic models. The results show that, compared with the traditional elevation-dependent model (EDM), though the proposed models do not significantly improve the ambiguity resolution success rate, the positioning precision of the three proposed models has been improved. RSM3, which is more realistic for the data itself, performs the best, and the precision at elevation mask angles 20°, 30°, 40°, 50° can be improved by 4⋅6%, 7⋅6%, 13⋅2%, 73⋅0% for L1-B1-E1 and 1⋅1%, 4⋅8%, 16⋅3%, 64⋅5% for L2-B2-E5a, respectively.


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