scholarly journals The effect of Wolbachia on dengue dynamics in the presence of two serotypes of dengue: symmetric and asymmetric epidemiological characteristics

2016 ◽  
Vol 144 (13) ◽  
pp. 2874-2882 ◽  
Author(s):  
M. Z. NDII ◽  
D. ALLINGHAM ◽  
R. I. HICKSON ◽  
K. GLASS

SUMMARYAn innovative strategy to reduce dengue transmission uses the bacterium Wolbachia. We analysed the effects of Wolbachia on dengue transmission dynamics in the presence of two serotypes of dengue using a mathematical model, allowing for differences in the epidemiological characteristics of the serotypes. We found that Wolbachia has a greater effect on secondary infections than on primary infections across a range of epidemiological characteristics. If one serotype is more transmissible than the other, it will dominate primary infections and Wolbachia will be less effective at reducing secondary infections of either serotype. Differences in the antibody-dependent enhancement of the two serotypes have considerably less effect on the benefits of Wolbachia than differences in transmission probability. Even if the antibody-dependent enhancement rate is high, Wolbachia is still effective in reducing dengue. Our findings suggest that Wolbachia will be effective in the presence of more than one serotype of dengue; however, a better understanding of serotype-specific differences in transmission probability may be needed to optimize delivery of a Wolbachia intervention.

2020 ◽  
Vol 5 (2) ◽  
pp. 78 ◽  
Author(s):  
Meksianis Z. Ndii

The use of vaccine and Wolbachia has been proposed as strategies against dengue. Research showed that the Wolbachia intervention is highly effective in areas with low to moderate transmission levels. On the other hand, the use of vaccine is strongly effective when it is implemented on seropositive individuals and areas with high transmission levels. The question that arises is could the combination of both strategies result in higher reduction in the number of dengue cases? This paper seeks to answer the aforementioned question by the use of a mathematical model. A deterministic model in the presence of vaccine and Wolbachia has been developed and analysed. Numerical simulations were presented and public health implications were discussed. The results showed that the performance of Wolbachia in reducing the number of dengue cases is better than that of vaccination if the vaccine efficacy is low, otherwise, the use of vaccine is sufficient to reduce dengue incidence and hence the combination of Wolbachia and vaccine is not necessary.


2018 ◽  
Vol 36 (4) ◽  
pp. 411-438 ◽  
Author(s):  
Miller Cerón Gómez ◽  
Hyun Mo Yang

Abstract We develop a mathematical model to describe the role of antibody-dependent enhancement (ADE) in heterologous secondary infections, assuming that antibodies specific to primary dengue virus (DENV) infection are being produced by immunological memory. The model has a virus-free equilibrium (VFE) and a unique virus-presence equilibrium (VPE). VFE is asymptotically stable when VPE is unstable; and unstable, otherwise. Additionally, there is an asymptotic attractor (not a fixed point) due to the fact that the model assumes unbounded increase in memory cells. In the analysis of the model, ADE must be accounted in the initial stage of infection (a window of time of few days), period of time elapsed from the heterologous infection until the immune system mounting an effective response against the secondary infection. We apply the results yielded by model to evaluate ADE phenomonon in heterologous DENV infection. We also associate the possible occurrence of severe dengue with huge viremia mediated by ADE phenomenon.


SAINTIFIK ◽  
2021 ◽  
Vol 7 (1) ◽  
pp. 15-20
Author(s):  
Darmawati Darmawati

In this paper, mathematical model of measles transmission dynamics considering vaccination and herd immunity is discussed. The solution of the model is investigated using euler, atangana, dan nonstandard finite difference method. After comparing the solutions of the model, we observe that the solutions obtained by using euler and atangana method diverge for certain step. On the other hand, the solutions obtained by using nonstandard finite difference always converge.


Symmetry ◽  
2021 ◽  
Vol 13 (7) ◽  
pp. 1272
Author(s):  
Fengsheng Chien ◽  
Stanford Shateyi

This paper studies the global stability analysis of a mathematical model on Babesiosis transmission dynamics on bovines and ticks populations as proposed by Dang et al. First, the global stability analysis of disease-free equilibrium (DFE) is presented. Furthermore, using the properties of Volterra–Lyapunov matrices, we show that it is possible to prove the global stability of the endemic equilibrium. The property of symmetry in the structure of Volterra–Lyapunov matrices plays an important role in achieving this goal. Furthermore, numerical simulations are used to verify the result presented.


2014 ◽  
Vol 541-542 ◽  
pp. 658-662
Author(s):  
Jian Li ◽  
Yuan Chen ◽  
Yang Chun Yu ◽  
Zhu Xin Tian ◽  
Yu Huang

To study the velocity and pressure distribution of the oil film in a heavy hydrostatic thrust bearing, a mathematical model of the velocity is proposed and the finite volume method (FVM) has been used to simulate the flow field under different working conditions. Some pressure experiments were carried out and the results verified the correctness of the simulation. It is concluded that the pressure distribution varies small under different rotation speed when the surface load on the workbench is constant. But the velocity of the oil film is influenced greatly by the rotation speed. When the rotation speed of the workbench is as quick as enough, the velocity of the oil film on one radial side of the pad will be zero, that is to say the lubrication oil will be drained from the other three sides of the recess.


2019 ◽  
Vol 2019 (1) ◽  
Author(s):  
Phithakdet Phoo-ngurn ◽  
Chanakarn Kiataramkul ◽  
Farida Chamchod

Abstract Porcine reproductive and respiratory syndrome (PRRS) is an important swine disease that affects many swine industries worldwide. The disease can cause reproductive failure and respiratory problems in a swine population. As vaccination is an important tool to control the spread of PRRS virus (PRRSV), we employ a mathematical model to investigate the transmission dynamics of PRRSV and the effects of immunity information, as well as vaccination control strategies. We also explore optimal vaccination coverage and vaccination rate to minimize the number of infected swines and vaccination efforts. Our results suggest that: (i) higher vaccination coverage and vaccination rate together with prior knowledge about immunity may help reduce the prevalence of PRRSV, and (ii) longer maximum vaccination efforts are required when swines stay longer in a population and it takes them longer time to recover from PRRS infections.


1984 ◽  
Vol 24 (06) ◽  
pp. 606-616 ◽  
Author(s):  
Charles P. Thomas ◽  
Paul D. Fleming ◽  
William K. Winter

Abstract A mathematical model describing one-dimensional (1D), isothermal flow of a ternary, two-phase surfactant system in isotropic porous media is presented along with numerical solutions of special cases. These solutions exhibit oil recovery profiles similar to those observed in laboratory tests of oil displacement by surfactant systems in cores. The model includes the effects of surfactant transfer between aqueous and hydrocarbon phases and both reversible and irreversible surfactant adsorption by the porous medium. The effects of capillary pressure and diffusion are ignored, however. The model is based on relative permeability concepts and employs a family of relative permeability curves that incorporate the effects of surfactant concentration on interfacial tension (IFT), the viscosity of the phases, and the volumetric flow rate. A numerical procedure was developed that results in two finite difference equations that are accurate to second order in the timestep size and first order in the spacestep size and allows explicit calculation of phase saturations and surfactant concentrations as a function of space and time variables. Numerical dispersion (truncation error) present in the two equations tends to mimic the neglected present in the two equations tends to mimic the neglected effects of capillary pressure and diffusion. The effective diffusion constants associated with this effect are proportional to the spacestep size. proportional to the spacestep size. Introduction In a previous paper we presented a system of differential equations that can be used to model oil recovery by chemical flooding. The general system allows for an arbitrary number of components as well as an arbitrary number of phases in an isothermal system. For a binary, two-phase system, the equations reduced to those of the Buckley-Leverett theory under the usual assumptions of incompressibility and each phase containing only a single component, as well as in the more general case where both phases have significant concentrations of both components, but the phases are incompressible and the concentration in one phase is a very weak function of the pressure of the other phase at a given temperature. pressure of the other phase at a given temperature. For a ternary, two-phase system a set of three differential equations was obtained. These equations are applicable to chemical flooding with surfactant, polymer, etc. In this paper, we present a numerical solution to these equations paper, we present a numerical solution to these equations for I D flow in the absence of gravity. Our purpose is to develop a model that includes the physical phenomena influencing oil displacement by surfactant systems and bridges the gap between laboratory displacement tests and reservoir simulation. It also should be of value in defining experiments to elucidate the mechanisms involved in oil displacement by surfactant systems and ultimately reduce the number of experiments necessary to optimize a given surfactant system.


2018 ◽  
Vol 2018 ◽  
pp. 1-14 ◽  
Author(s):  
Caroline W. Kanyiri ◽  
Kimathi Mark ◽  
Livingstone Luboobi

Every year, influenza causes high morbidity and mortality especially among the immunocompromised persons worldwide. The emergence of drug resistance has been a major challenge in curbing the spread of influenza. In this paper, a mathematical model is formulated and used to analyze the transmission dynamics of influenza A virus having incorporated the aspect of drug resistance. The qualitative analysis of the model is given in terms of the control reproduction number,Rc. The model equilibria are computed and stability analysis carried out. The model is found to exhibit backward bifurcation prompting the need to lowerRcto a critical valueRc∗for effective disease control. Sensitivity analysis results reveal that vaccine efficacy is the parameter with the most control over the spread of influenza. Numerical simulations reveal that despite vaccination reducing the reproduction number below unity, influenza still persists in the population. Hence, it is essential, in addition to vaccination, to apply other strategies to curb the spread of influenza.


1928 ◽  
Vol 47 (6) ◽  
pp. 945-956 ◽  
Author(s):  
F. S. Jones ◽  
Ralph B. Little

The clinical and bacteriological findings in two cows the udders of which became infected under natural conditions with hemolytic streptococci of the scarlet fever type are discussed. One of the cows was found in a herd supplying raw milk to a small town where a milkborne outbreak of scarlet fever had occurred a short time before. When small numbers of the streptococcus obtained from this case were injected into the udder of a normal cow severe mastitis accompanied by a well marked general reaction resulted. Evidence leads to the conclusion that a severe attack of mastitis due to this organism in one quarter does not sufficiently immunize the other quarters to protect them completely since the streptococcus can be readily implanted in them. The secondary infections were much milder than the original process.


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