Political connections and stock returns: evidence from the Boulangist campaign, 1888–1889

2018 ◽  
Vol 25 (3) ◽  
pp. 323-356
Author(s):  
Miguel Ángel Ortiz-Serrano
Keyword(s):  
Stock Returns ◽  
Stock Prices ◽  
Abnormal Returns ◽  
Third Republic ◽  
Political Connections ◽  
Coup D'etat ◽  
Cumulative Abnormal Returns ◽  
Original Dataset ◽  
Political Agitation ◽  
Paris Bourse

The decade of the 1880s was a turbulent period for the French Third Republic. Corruption scandals that discredited republican parties and a lacklustre economic performance after the Paris Bourse crash of 1882 gave rise to widespread public disenchantment with the republican political elites. The rise of the Boulangist movement was the most representative example of this disillusionment. In 1887, Georges Boulanger, an army general and former minister of war, began orchestrating a populist mass campaign against the ruling republicans and the parliamentary regime. His political agitation, supported by a heterogeneous coalition of socialists, radicals and royalists, reached a climax in January 1889, when, after winning a Paris by-election, he had an opportunity to stage acoup d’état, which did not materialise. To understand whether French investors perceived the Boulangist campaign as a real threat to their interests, I use an original dataset of daily stock prices to analyse the effect of the January 1889 by-election on the value of politically connected firms listed on the Paris Bourse. The results show that firms with links to the republican parties experienced positive cumulative abnormal returns after Boulanger's refusal to stage the coup, while there was no effect on firms connected to the royalist parties or with no political ties. These findings suggest that French investors reacted positively to the prospective subsiding of the Boulangist movement.

Studying the Effect of Changing the Managing Director on the Abnormal Returns of Shares of Companies Listed on the Iraqi Stock Exchange

2021 ◽  
Vol 39 (11) ◽  
Author(s):  
Hussein Hasan ◽  
Hudaa Nadhim Khalbas ◽  
Farqad Mohammed Bakr AL Saadi
Keyword(s):  
Stock Returns ◽  
Significant Relationship ◽  
Stock Prices ◽  
Market Reaction ◽  
Stock Exchange ◽  
Hypothesis Test ◽  
Abnormal Returns ◽  
The Other ◽  
Other Hand ◽  
Abnormal Stock Returns

The aim of this research is to study the market reaction to the change of the managing director and how this change affects the abnormal returns of the shares. The research is based on the information published by the companies listed on the Iraq Stock Exchange, and 35 companies were selected for the period from 2015 to 2019. The results of the hypothesis test for this study show that there is a negative and significant relationship between the change of the managing director and abnormal stock returns. On the other hand, investors undervalue stock prices when changing CEOs. As a result, the stock returns are less than expected.

scholarly journals ANALISIS PERBEDAAN HARGA SAHAM, RETURN SAHAM, DAN ABNORMAL RETURN SEBELUM DAN SESUDAH STOCK SPLIT PADA PERUSAHAAN HIGH PROFILE DAN LOW PROFILE YANG TERDAFTAR DI BURSA EFEK INDONESIA

2021 ◽  
Vol 11 (1) ◽  
pp. 42
Author(s):  
Pita Rahmawati ◽  
Jawoto Nusantoro ◽  
Gustin Padwa Sari
Keyword(s):  
Stock Returns ◽  
Stock Prices ◽  
Abnormal Returns ◽  
T Test ◽  
Paired Sample ◽  
High Profile ◽  
Normality Test ◽  
Low Profile ◽  
Stock Split ◽  
Before And After

This research aims to determine whether there are differences in stock prices, stock returns and abnormal returns before and after a stock split in high profile and low profile companies. The research period used in this study was on 2016-2018. The research was analyzed in quantitative method by using a purposive sampling method. Based on the sampling criteria, 40 companies were selected as research samples. Kolmogorov Smirnov One Sample test was used for the normality test. After the normality test was carried out, the data was processed using the two paired-sample difference test. The t-test (paired sample t-test) was used if data were normally distributed but if it was not normally distributed the Wilcoxon Signed Rank test would be used. Hypothesis testing results showed that (1) there are differences in stock prices whether before and after a stock split in high profile companies (2) there are differences in stock prices whether before and after the stock split in low profile companies (3) there are differences in stock returns whether before and after a stock split in the company high profile (4) there is no difference in stock returns whether before and after the stock split in low profile companies (5) there is no difference in abnormal returns whether before and after the stock split in high profile companies (6) there is no difference in abnormal returns whether before and after the stock split in low profile companies (7) there are differences in stock prices after a stock split in high profile companies and low profile (8) there is no difference in stock returns whether before and after the stock split in high profile and low profile companies (9) there is no difference in abnormal stock returns whether before and after a stock split at high profile and low profile companies.

How Sports Sponsorship Influences a Sponsor’s Financial Performance: A Case Study from the Korea Baseball Organization

2021 ◽  
Vol 30 (4) ◽  
Author(s):  
Hyun-Min Kim ◽  
Woon-Kyung Song ◽  
Sanghak Lee
Keyword(s):  
Financial Performance ◽  
Stock Returns ◽  
Abnormal Returns ◽  
Positive Influence ◽  
Cumulative Abnormal Returns ◽  
Abnormal Stock Returns ◽  
Korea Baseball Organization ◽  
Positive Effect ◽  
Insight Into

This study aims to examine the effects of sponsorship on the sponsor’s financial performance. Th is study investigates return on sponsorship (ROS) with a quantitative analysis. Nexen Tire’s title sponsorship agreement with the Heroes baseball club in the Korea Baseball Organization (KBO) in 2010 is studied. The positive effect of sponsorship on the sponsor’s Tobin’s q is confirmed by comparing the non-sponsorship period (2000‒2009) with the sponsorship period (2010‒2018). It is also shown from an event study that the sponsor experiences negative abnormal stock returns on the news of the sponsorship agreement, though this was not found to be statistically significant. Still, when the sponsee enters the postseason, positive cumulative abnormal returns are observed, particularly significant 10 days before the postseason games. Th is study confirms the positive influence of sponsorship on the sponsor’s financial performance and, with evidence from South Korea, provides insight into Asian markets in need of research. Th e results suggest that 10 days before a postseason game would be an ideal time to leverage marketing and activate a sponsorship strategy.

Do firms harvest from political connections during general elections? Case of Pakistan

2020 ◽  
Vol 27 (1) ◽  
pp. 258-273
Author(s):  
Ayesha Ashraf ◽  
M. Kabir Hassan ◽  
Khurram Abbas ◽  
Qamar Uz Zaman
Keyword(s):  
Stock Returns ◽  
Abnormal Returns ◽  
Share Price ◽  
Market Model ◽  
Political Connections ◽  
Content Type ◽  
Connected Group ◽  
Playing Field ◽  
General Elections ◽  
The Impact

Purpose This paper aims to examine the impact of general elections on the stock returns of the politically connected group affiliated firms of Pakistan. Design/methodology/approach This study uses the market model to assess the impact of political connections (PCs) on abnormal stock returns, before and after election events. We have used share price data of non-financial firms of Pakistan for the years 2008-2013. Findings It has been found that behavior of cumulative average abnormal returns (CAAR) is significantly different for standalone and politically connected group affiliated firms. The results reveal that CAARs of politically connected group affiliated firms have experienced less deviation as compared to stand alone firms. Therefore, it is argued that politically connected group firms may reduce the impact of political uncertainty on stock returns in comparison to stand alone firms. Practical implications This study is helpful for policy regulators of Pakistan to devise appropriate policies to maintain a level playing field for politically connected and standalone firms. Originality/value This study provides a new dimension to understand the role and association of PCs and general elections with stock markets returns.

IMMEDIATE AND LONGER-TERM STOCK PRICE DYNAMICS FOLLOWING LARGE STOCK PRICE CHANGES

2020 ◽  
Vol 15 (01) ◽  
pp. 2050002
Author(s):  
ANDREY KUDRYAVTSEV
Keyword(s):  
Stock Returns ◽  
Stock Price ◽  
Trading Volume ◽  
Abnormal Returns ◽  
Market Model ◽  
Conditional Volatility ◽  
Short Term ◽  
Price Increases ◽  
Cumulative Abnormal Returns ◽  
Price Reversal

The study explores the correlation between the immediate and the longer-term stock returns following large daily price moves. Following the previous literature, which documents a tendency for price reversals after initial large price moves, I suggest that if a large stock price move is immediately followed by a short-term price drift, then it may indicate that the company-specific shock is more completely incorporated in the stock price, significantly increasing the probability of subsequent longer-term price reversal. Analyzing a vast sample of large stock price moves, I document that negative (positive) longer-term stock price reversals after large price increases (decreases) are significantly more pronounced if the latter are immediately followed by relatively high (low) short-term cumulative abnormal returns, that is, by short-term price drifts. The effect remains significant after accounting for additional company-specific (size, market model beta, historical, or conditional volatility) and event-specific (stock’s return and trading volume on the event day) factors.

EFFECT OF BONUS ISSUE ON STOCK PRICES OF COMPANIES QUOTED AT THE NAIROBI SECURITIES EXCHANGE

2017 ◽  
Vol 2 (1) ◽  
pp. 1
Author(s):  
Patrick Maina Gachuhi ◽  
Cyrus Iraya
Keyword(s):  
Stock Returns ◽  
Stock Prices ◽  
Abnormal Returns ◽  
Secondary Data ◽  
Market Model ◽  
Expected Returns ◽  
Policy Makers ◽  
Study Methodology ◽  
The Difference ◽  
Event Study Methodology

Purpose: The purpose of this study was to determine the effect of bonus issue on stock prices of companies quoted at the Nairobi securities exchangeMethodology: The study adopted an event study methodology since the study was concerned with the establishment of the information content of bonus issue announcement on share performance at the NSE. The population of this study was 61 companies listed in the NSE. A sample size of 10 listed companies was focused on as there were only 10 companies which had issued bonuses between 2009 and 2012. The study used secondary data to gather information. The collected secondary data was coded and entered into Statistical Package for Social Sciences (SPSS, Version 20) for analysisResults: The study findings revealed that there was a drastic incline from year 2009 to year 2010 followed by a slight decrease in abnormal returns in the following years, Abnormal returns present the difference between the actual returns and the expected returns over a certain period of time. Study findings from the market model indicated that the market return is a good predictor of stock returns.  ANOVA results indicated that abnormal returns after bonus issue were significantly higher than abnormal returns before bonus issue. ANOVA results also indicated that actual stock returns were significantly higher after bonus issue than before the bonus issuePolicy recommendation: The study recommends the NSE to establish and enhance policies for investing so as to attract and encourage large institutional and foreign investors to participate at the NSE. The study also recommends that policy makers and regulators at the NSE are encouraged to encourage more research on the NSE form of efficiency; this will provide a forum for investors to get the information on the form of efficiency of the market and boost their confidence when investing at the NSE

scholarly journals What Factors Affect Stocks’ Abnormal Return during the COVID-19 Pandemic: Data from the Indonesia Stock Exchange

2021 ◽  
Vol 6 (6) ◽  
pp. 1-11
Author(s):  
Yohanes Indrayono
Keyword(s):  
Financial Crisis ◽  
Stock Returns ◽  
Stock Prices ◽  
Trading Volume ◽  
Stock Exchange ◽  
Abnormal Returns ◽  
Early Period ◽  
World Health ◽  
Book Value ◽  
Market Capitalization

This study identifies Indonesian investors’ reactions to the drop in stock prices on the Indonesia Stock Exchange market, during the early months of the COVID-19 crisis, before and after the World Health Organization (WHO) announced that its global spread constitutes a pandemic. It also explores variables that influence stock returns on this market during the financial crisis caused by the COVID-19 pandemic. This study uses a regression analysis of 70 firms, listed on the Indonesia Stock Exchange to examine the pandemic’s influence on trading volume, market capitalization, profitability, and book value for the period December 31, 2019, to April 30, 2020. The results show that stock returns were lower in the early period of the financial crisis caused by the pandemic. Firms’ trading volumes, profitability and book values positively affected stock returns and their market capitalization negatively affected stock returns during the study period. This study contributes useful insights to the finance literature and stock-market participants in terms of dealing with stock markets during financial crises. This study recommends that in any crisis investors should begin buying stocks or increasing their stock purchases to achieve abnormal returns by choosing stocks that perform well in terms of firm profitability and book value by looking a number of financial factors.

scholarly journals Stock price reaction to cash dividend announcements in Vietnam

2017 ◽  
Vol 24 (02) ◽  
pp. 74-89
Author(s):  
Truong Nguyen Xuan ◽  
Huong Dao Mai ◽  
Anh Nguyen Thi Van
Keyword(s):  
Stock Prices ◽  
Stock Price ◽  
Stock Exchange ◽  
Abnormal Returns ◽  
Cash Dividend ◽  
Share Prices ◽  
Price Reaction ◽  
Cumulative Abnormal Returns ◽  
Stock Price Reaction ◽  
The Uk

This study attempts to investigate the stock price reaction to divi-dend announcements using data of Vietnamese listed firms on Hochiminh Stock Exchange (HOSE). Standard event study meth-odology has been employed on a sample of 198 cash dividend an-nouncements made in 2011. The results show that stock prices react significantly and positively to the announcements of cash dividends, including both dividend increasing and dividend decreasing events. It is also plausible that cumulative abnormal returns exhibit an in-creasing trend before announcement yet a decreasing trend after announcement dates. More specifically, we find positively signifi-cant cumulative abnormal returns of around 1.03% on announce-ment dates; other larger windows also demonstrate positive abnor-mal returns of around 1.3%. In addition, cash dividends have differ-ent effects on share prices of firms from different industries. These results support the signaling hypothesis and are also consistent with prior findings of empirical research done on more developed mar-kets, i.e. the US and the UK.

scholarly journals Normal and reverse stock splits in the V4 countries

2016 ◽  
Vol 13 (4) ◽  
pp. 95-105 ◽  
Author(s):  
Manuela Raisová ◽  
Martin Užik ◽  
Christian M. Hoffmeister
Keyword(s):  
Stock Returns ◽  
Stock Prices ◽  
Stock Price ◽  
Abnormal Returns ◽  
Stock Splits ◽  
Announcement Date ◽  
Reverse Stock Splits ◽  
Stock Split ◽  
Reverse Stock Split ◽  
A Company

The economic crisis has forced managers of joint stock companies to look for short-term solutions for the sharp changes in stock prices of their companies. Even the companies of the V4 countries are not the exception. The authors have focused on those companies where have been used either reverse stock split or stock split. They analyzed the effects of the reverse stock split or stock splits on the abnormal returns of stocks. In this paper, the authors analyzed a dataset from 1993 until 2015 with 124 reverse stock splits and 184 stock splits in total focused on the stock market in V4. Based on their own research they conclude that when reverse stock splits were used stock returns significantly decreased one day around the announcement date. They conclude that managers of a company might use this instrument to move the stock price back to the optimal trading range outside of the penny stock area. In the case of stock splits, the authors concluded that the use of this tool results in a significant increase in the returns of a stock after the announcement date. However, the results are in contrast to some former studies which found no positive effect on the returns caused by stock splits. The authors conclude that managers of a company might use this instrument to transport information content of future (positive) performance of a company to the traders. Keywords: Vysegrad group countries, normal stock split, reverse stock split, abnormal returns. JEL Classification: G11, G23, G32

scholarly journals The Role of Monetary Policy Announcements on Turkish Banks' Stock Returns

2016 ◽  
Vol 6 (1) ◽  
pp. 63-69
Author(s):  
Nida Abdioğlu ◽  
Sinan Aytekin
Keyword(s):  
Monetary Policy ◽  
Central Bank ◽  
Stock Returns ◽  
Abnormal Returns ◽  
Cumulative Abnormal Returns ◽  
Monetary Policy Committee ◽  
The Republic ◽  
The Impact ◽  
Republic Of Turkey

This paper investigates the impact of monetary policy committee decisions of the Central Bank of the Republic of Turkey on the stock returns of the deposit banks listed in Borsa Istanbul Banks Index (XBANK). The cumulative abnormal returns of the banks are calculated for 2008 and 2012. We report that the monetary policy announcements affect cumulative abnormal returns of the deposits banks both in 2008 and 2012. Since the announcement of the monetary policy decisions created abnormal returns, we conclude that the market does not have semi-strong form efficiency.

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