scholarly journals Assessment of the long-lead probabilistic prediction for the Asian summer monsoon precipitation (1983-2011) based on the APCC multimodel system and a statistical model

2012 ◽  
Vol 117 (D4) ◽  
pp. n/a-n/a ◽  
Author(s):  
Soo-Jin Sohn ◽  
Young-Mi Min ◽  
June-Yi Lee ◽  
Chi-Yung Tam ◽  
In-Sik Kang ◽  
...  
Keyword(s):  
Statistical Model ◽  
Summer Monsoon ◽  
Asian Summer Monsoon ◽  
Monsoon Precipitation ◽  
Probabilistic Prediction ◽  
Asian Summer

scholarly journals Remote and local drivers of Pleistocene South Asian summer monsoon precipitation: A test for future predictions

2021 ◽  
Vol 7 (23) ◽  
pp. eabg3848
Author(s):  
Steven C. Clemens ◽  
Masanobu Yamamoto ◽  
Kaustubh Thirumalai ◽  
Liviu Giosan ◽  
Julie N. Richey ◽  
...  
Keyword(s):  
Carbon Dioxide ◽  
South Asian ◽  
Summer Monsoon ◽  
Large Scale ◽  
Asian Summer Monsoon ◽  
Precipitation Amount ◽  
Monsoon Precipitation ◽  
Orbital Eccentricity ◽  
South Asian Summer Monsoon ◽  
Asian Summer

South Asian precipitation amount and extreme variability are predicted to increase due to thermodynamic effects of increased 21st-century greenhouse gases, accompanied by an increased supply of moisture from the southern hemisphere Indian Ocean. We reconstructed South Asian summer monsoon precipitation and runoff into the Bay of Bengal to assess the extent to which these factors also operated in the Pleistocene, a time of large-scale natural changes in carbon dioxide and ice volume. South Asian precipitation and runoff are strongly coherent with, and lag, atmospheric carbon dioxide changes at Earth’s orbital eccentricity, obliquity, and precession bands and are closely tied to cross-equatorial wind strength at the precession band. We find that the projected monsoon response to ongoing, rapid high-latitude ice melt and rising carbon dioxide levels is fully consistent with dynamics of the past 0.9 million years.

scholarly journals Nonlinear Response of Asian Summer Monsoon Precipitation to Emission Reductions in India and China

2021 ◽  
Author(s):  
Ross Herbert ◽  
Laura J Wilcox ◽  
Manoj Joshi ◽  
Ellie Highwood ◽  
Dave Frame
Keyword(s):  
Summer Monsoon ◽  
Nonlinear Response ◽  
Asian Summer Monsoon ◽  
Monsoon Precipitation ◽  
Emission Reductions ◽  
Asian Summer ◽  
India And China

scholarly journals Understanding the Interdecadal Variability of East Asian Summer Monsoon Precipitation: Joint Influence of Three Oceanic Signals

2018 ◽  
Vol 31 (14) ◽  
pp. 5485-5506 ◽  
Author(s):  
Zhiqi Zhang ◽  
Xuguang Sun ◽  
Xiu-Qun Yang
Keyword(s):  
Summer Monsoon ◽  
North Atlantic ◽  
Asian Summer Monsoon ◽  
Wave Train ◽  
Eastern China ◽  
Monsoon Precipitation ◽  
The North ◽  
Joint Influence ◽  
Asian Summer ◽  
Precipitation Anomalies

Abstract East Asian summer monsoon precipitation (EASMP) features complicated interdecadal variability with multiple time periods and spatial patterns. Using century-long datasets of HadISST, CRU precipitation, and the ECMWF twentieth-century reanalysis (ERA-20C), this study examines the joint influence of three oceanic interdecadal signals [i.e., Pacific decadal oscillation (PDO), Atlantic multidecadal oscillation (AMO), and Indian Ocean Basin mode (IOBM)] on the EASMP, which, however, is found not to be simply a linear combination of their individual effects. When PDO and AMO are out of phase, the same-sign SST anomalies occur in the North Pacific and North Atlantic, and a zonally orientated teleconnection wave train appears across the Eurasian mid-to-high latitudes, propagating from the North Atlantic to northern East Asia along the Asian westerly jet waveguide. Correspondingly, the interdecadal precipitation anomalies are characterized by a meridional tripole mode over eastern China. When PDO and AMO are in phase, with opposite sign SST anomalies in the North Pacific and North Atlantic, the sandwich pattern of anomalous stationary Rossby wavenumber tends to reduce the effect of the waveguide in the eastern Mediterranean region, and the teleconnection wave train from the North Atlantic travels only to western central Asia along a great circle route, causing Indian summer monsoon precipitation (ISMP) anomalies. The ISMP anomalies, in turn, interact with the teleconnection wave train induced by the PDO and AMO, leading to a meridional dipole mode of interdecadal precipitation anomalies over eastern China. Through the impact on the ISMP, the IOBM exerts significantly linear modulation on the combined impacts of PDO and AMO, especially over northern East Asia.

Future changes in Asian summer monsoon precipitation extremes as inferred from 20-km AGCM simulations

2018 ◽  
Vol 52 (3-4) ◽  
pp. 1443-1459 ◽  
Author(s):  
Yuk Sing Lui ◽  
Chi-Yung Tam ◽  
Ngar-Cheung Lau
Keyword(s):  
Summer Monsoon ◽  
Asian Summer Monsoon ◽  
Precipitation Extremes ◽  
Monsoon Precipitation ◽  
Asian Summer

scholarly journals Atlantic meridional overturning circulation modulation of late Pleistocene to middle Holocene Asian summer monsoon variability and palaeoanthropological implications

2021 ◽  
Vol 1 (1) ◽  
Author(s):  
Xinxia Li ◽  
Guoqiao Xiao ◽  
Shan Lin ◽  
Xiaoke Qiang ◽  
Hong Ao
Keyword(s):  
Summer Monsoon ◽  
Asian Summer Monsoon ◽  
Atlantic Meridional Overturning Circulation ◽  
Meridional Overturning Circulation ◽  
Monsoon Precipitation ◽  
Middle Holocene ◽  
Nihewan Basin ◽  
Monsoon Variability ◽  
Meridional Overturning ◽  
Asian Summer

Abstract Asia contains more than half the world’s population, and their lives are significantly related to summer monsoon moisture supply. Here, we investigate features and dynamics of late Pleistocene–middle Holocene Asian summer monsoon variability in the Nihewan Basin, North China, which was a critical home for early humans in East Asia throughout the Quaternary. We present new mineral magnetic records between ∼16 and 6 ka from the Yujiagou archeological site in the northern Nihewan Basin, which contains >40 000 stone tools, 2 pottery pieces and 19 686 mammal fossils. Magnetic properties of the Yujiagou section are dominated by pedogenic fine-grained magnetite/maghemite concentration, which ranges from superparamagnetic/single domain up to fine pseudo-single domain sizes. We use multiple environmental magnetic proxies, which measure pedogenic magnetite/maghemite concentration, to document that summer monsoon precipitation was low before ∼14.5 ka and high during the Bölling–Allerød warm period (14.5–12.8 ka), and shifted to low values at the onset of the Young Dryas cold period ∼12.4 ka, followed by a sustained long-term increasing trend from 12.4 to 6 ka. We relate these monsoon precipitation changes to the consistent Atlantic Meridional Overturning Circulation variability, which modulated North Hemisphere temperatures and displacements of Inter-Tropical Convergence Zone and Walker circulation over the Pacific Ocean. The observed large-amplitude deglacial Asian monsoon changes may have played a role in several key evolutionary changes in Asia implicated by the Yujiagou archeological evidence, including Paleolithic to Neolithic culture transition, Asian pottery development, and early human dispersals from Asia to America.

scholarly journals Potential CO2 forcing and Asian summer monsoon precipitation trends during the last 2,000 years

2021 ◽  
Vol 13 (1) ◽  
pp. 1552-1560
Author(s):  
Weihe Ren ◽  
Quan Li ◽  
Feng Qin ◽  
Guitian Yi
Keyword(s):  
Summer Monsoon ◽  
Asian Summer Monsoon ◽  
Dominant Factor ◽  
Monsoon Precipitation ◽  
Monsoon Climate ◽  
Solar Insolation ◽  
Physical Mechanisms ◽  
Humid Condition ◽  
Climate Reconstructions ◽  
Asian Summer

Abstract Holocene records for the Asian Summer Monsoon (ASM) indicate that, apart for the last 2,000 years (“2 kyr shift”), solar insolation was the dominant factor controlling the monsoon climate. The aim of this review is to provide a synopsis of climate characteristics over the last 2 kyr, clarifying mechanisms for the diverse trend with Northern Hemisphere Summer Insolation (NHSI) records. Here, we initially review proxy-based climate reconstructions for the last 2 kyr, and then compare them with records from the last five interglacial periods. Finally, we examine potential physical mechanisms responsible for the “2 kyr shift.” Findings from this review indicate that the “2 kyr shift” is a representative pattern of Holocene climate change within the core area of the ASM, and the “2 kyr shift” could be mainly controlled by changes in atmospheric CO2 concentration. In addition, suggestions to address a more humid condition dominating the Asian monsoonal margin zones are offered.

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