scholarly journals Mean Climate and Tropical Rainfall Variability in Aquaplanet Simulations Using the Model for Prediction Across Scales‐Atmosphere

2020 ◽  
Vol 12 (10) ◽  
Author(s):  
R. Rios‐Berrios ◽  
B. Medeiros ◽  
G. H. Bryan
2019 ◽  
Vol 116 (35) ◽  
pp. 17201-17206 ◽  
Author(s):  
Liangcheng Tan ◽  
Chuan-Chou Shen ◽  
Ludvig Löwemark ◽  
Sakonvan Chawchai ◽  
R. Lawrence Edwards ◽  
...  

Tropical rainfall variability is closely linked to meridional shifts of the Intertropical Convergence Zone (ITCZ) and zonal movements of the Walker circulation. The characteristics and mechanisms of tropical rainfall variations on centennial to decadal scales are, however, still unclear. Here, we reconstruct a replicated stalagmite-based 2,700-y-long, continuous record of rainfall for the deeply convective northern central Indo-Pacific (NCIP) region. Our record reveals decreasing rainfall in the NCIP over the past 2,700 y, similar to other records from the northern tropics. Notable centennial- to decadal-scale dry climate episodes occurred in both the NCIP and the southern central Indo-Pacific (SCIP) during the 20th century [Current Warm Period (CWP)] and the Medieval Warm Period (MWP), resembling enhanced El Niño-like conditions. Further, we developed a 2,000-y-long ITCZ shift index record that supports an overall southward ITCZ shift in the central Indo-Pacific and indicates southward mean ITCZ positions during the early MWP and the CWP. As a result, the drying trend since the 20th century in the northern tropics is similar to that observed during the past warm period, suggesting that a possible anthropogenic forcing of rainfall remains indistinguishable from natural variability.


2009 ◽  
Vol 28 (27-28) ◽  
pp. 3348-3360 ◽  
Author(s):  
Matthew S. Lachniet ◽  
Leah Johnson ◽  
Yemane Asmerom ◽  
Stephen J. Burns ◽  
Victor Polyak ◽  
...  

2021 ◽  
Vol 5 (2) ◽  
pp. 56-71
Author(s):  
Anu David Raj ◽  
K. R. Sooryamol ◽  
Aju David Raj

Kerala is the gateway of the Indian southwest monsoon. The Tropical Rainfall Measurement Mission (TRMM) rainfall data is an efficient approach to rainfall measurement. This study explores the temporal variability in rainfall and trends over Kerala from 1998-2019 using TRMM data and observatory data procured from India Meteorological Department (IMD). Direct comparison with observatory data at various time scales proved the reliability of the TRMM data (monthly, seasonal and annual). The temporal rainfall converted by averaging the data on an annual, monthly and seasonal time scale, and the results have confirmed that the rainfall estimated based on satellite data is dependable. The station wise comparison of rainfall in monsoon season provides satisfactory results. However, estimation of rainfall in mountainous areas is challenging task using the TRMM. In the basins of humid tropical regions, TRMM data can be a valuable source of rainfall data for water resource management and monitoring with some vigilance. In Kerala, the study found an insignificant increase in the southwest monsoon and winter season rainfall during last two decades. The rainfall over Kerala showed uncertainty in the distribution of monthly, seasonal and yearly time scales. This study provides a preview of recent weather patterns that would enable us to make better decisions and improve public policy against climate change.


Water ◽  
2018 ◽  
Vol 10 (2) ◽  
pp. 213 ◽  
Author(s):  
Bolívar Erazo ◽  
Luc Bourrel ◽  
Frédéric Frappart ◽  
Oscar Chimborazo ◽  
David Labat ◽  
...  

Author(s):  
Takatoshi Sakazaki

AbstractUsing global precipitation datasets (GSMaP, TRMM) and the latest reanalysis data (ERA5) we performed a comprehensive analysis of the tropical rainfall variability that accompanies global-scale, low-frequency normal modes: Rossby, Rossby-gravity and Kelvin modes. Cross spectral analysis and lag-regression analysis both showed that coherent rainfall variations accompany not only the wavenumber 1 gravest Rossby mode (“5 day” wave) but other low-frequency modes. The normal mode rainfall variations are enhanced in regions such as the Amazon basin, but also include circumglobally travelling structures with substantial amplitude over the open ocean. These results are remarkably consistent among the three datasets including even ERA5 rainfall data. The circumglobal rainfall signals may be considered primarily as a response to the normal mode dynamical variations. We found that the phase relationship between rainfall and dynamical field variability is strongly dependent on the type of mode and even on the zonal wavenumber. We suggest that this is explained by the difference in relative importance of two underlying processes: (1) moisture-flux convergence and (2) rainfall enhancement associated with adiabatic cooling. Our determined rainfall signals are the response to quasi-monochromatic, periodic waves that have a simple vertical structure and represent one special case of tropospheric wave-rainfall coupling. Implications for the mechanism of 12-hr rainfall oscillations believed to be forced by the atmospheric tide are also considered.


2021 ◽  
Author(s):  
David Fereday ◽  
Rob Chadwick ◽  
Jeff Knight ◽  
Adam Scaife

<p>The El Niño-Southern Oscillation (ENSO) has previously been shown to influence the winter North Atlantic Oscillation (NAO).  In this presentation we investigate the ENSO-NAO teleconnection in historical and RCP8.5 scenario CMIP5 simulations, and show a future strengthening of the teleconnection under RCP8.5.  The teleconnection strength is associated with increased tropical east Pacific rainfall variability.  Stratospheric and tropospheric teleconnection pathways are examined, with both pathways having stronger links in future.  The stratospheric pathway involves the Aleutian Low and the stratospheric polar vortex, with a downward influence on the NAO.  This pathway is clearest in the high-top models that better resolve the stratosphere.  The tropospheric pathway is driven by the Pacific subtropical jet strengthening and extending further into the Atlantic in future, generating increased baroclinicity in the Caribbean and influencing the Atlantic storm track.  Our results suggest increasing influence of tropical rainfall on extratropical circulation in future.</p>


2006 ◽  
Vol 19 (20) ◽  
pp. 5190-5226 ◽  
Author(s):  
Song Yang ◽  
Eric A. Smith

Abstract The behavior and various controls of diurnal variability in tropical–subtropical rainfall are investigated using Tropical Rainfall Measuring Mission (TRMM) precipitation measurements retrieved from the three level-2 TRMM standard profile algorithms for the 1998 annual cycle. Results show that diurnal variability characteristics of precipitation are consistent for all three algorithms, providing assurance that TRMM retrievals are producing consistent estimates of rainfall variability. As anticipated, most ocean areas exhibit more rainfall at night, while over most land areas, rainfall peaks during daytime; however, important exceptions are noted. The dominant feature of the oceanic diurnal cycle is a rainfall maximum in late-evening–early-morning (LE–EM) hours, while over land the dominant maximum occurs in the mid- to late afternoon (MLA). In conjunction with these maxima are pronounced seasonal variations of the diurnal amplitudes. Amplitude analysis shows that the diurnal pattern and its seasonal evolution are closely related to the rainfall accumulation pattern and its seasonal evolution. In addition, the horizontal distribution of diurnal variability indicates that for oceanic rainfall, there is a secondary MLA maximum coexisting with the LE–EM maximum at latitudes dominated by large-scale convergence and deep convection. Analogously, there is a preponderancy for an LE–EM maximum over land coexisting with the stronger MLA maximum, although it is not evident that this secondary continental feature is closely associated with the large-scale circulation. Neither of the secondary maxima exhibit phase behavior that can be considered semidiurnal in nature. Diurnal rainfall variability over the ocean associated with large-scale convection is clearly an integral component of the general circulation. Phase analysis reveals differences in regional and seasonal features of the diurnal cycle, indicating that underlying forcing mechanisms differ from place to place. This is underscored by the appearance of secondary ocean maxima in the presence of large-scale convection, along with other important features. Among these, there are clear-cut differences between the diurnal variability of seasonal rainfall over the mid-Pacific and Indian Ocean Basins. The mid-Pacific exhibits double maxima in spring and winter but only LE–EM maxima in summer and autumn, while the Indian Ocean exhibits double maxima in spring and summer and only an LE–EM maximum in autumn and winter. There are also evident daytime maxima within the major large-scale marine stratocumulus regions off the west coasts of continents. The study concludes with a discussion concerning how the observational evidence either supports or repudiates possible forcing mechanisms that have been suggested to explain diurnal rainfall variability.


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