Hysteresis of the intertropical convergence zone to CO2 forcing

Author(s):  
Jong-Seong Kug ◽  
Ji-Hoon Oh ◽  
Soon-Il An ◽  
Sang-Wook Yeh ◽  
Seung-Ki Min ◽  
...  
1987 ◽  
Vol 92 (D2) ◽  
pp. 2020 ◽  
Author(s):  
L. I. Davis ◽  
John V. James ◽  
Charles C. Wang ◽  
Chuan Guo ◽  
Peter T. Morris ◽  
...  

2006 ◽  
Vol 63 (2) ◽  
pp. 582-597 ◽  
Author(s):  
David J. Raymond ◽  
Christopher S. Bretherton ◽  
John Molinari

Abstract The dynamical factors controlling the mean state and variability of the east Pacific intertropical convergence zone (ITCZ) and the associated cross-equatorial boundary layer flow are investigated using observations from the East Pacific Investigation of Climate (EPIC2001) project. The tropical east Pacific exhibits a southerly boundary layer flow that terminates in the ITCZ. This flow is induced by the strong meridional sea surface temperature (SST) gradient in the region. Away from the equator and from deep convection, it is reasonably well described on a day-to-day basis by an extended Ekman balance model. Variability in the strength and northward extent of this flow is caused by variations in free-tropospheric pressure gradients that either reinforce or oppose the pressure gradient associated with the SST gradient. These free-tropospheric gradients are caused by easterly waves, tropical cyclones, and the Madden–Julian oscillation. Convergence in the boundary layer flow is often assumed to be responsible for destabilizing the atmosphere to deep convection. An alternative hypothesis is that enhanced total surface heat fluxes associated with high SSTs and strong winds act to produce the necessary destabilization. Analysis of the moist entropy budget of the planetary boundary layer shows that, on average, surface fluxes generate over twice the destabilization produced by boundary layer convergence in the east Pacific ITCZ.


Author(s):  
T. N. Krishnamurti ◽  
Lydia Stefanova ◽  
Vasubandhu Misra

2017 ◽  
Vol 13 (12) ◽  
pp. 1771-1790 ◽  
Author(s):  
Ny Riavo Gilbertinie Voarintsoa ◽  
Loren Bruce Railsback ◽  
George Albert Brook ◽  
Lixin Wang ◽  
Gayatri Kathayat ◽  
...  

Abstract. Petrographic features, mineralogy, and stable isotopes from two stalagmites, ANJB-2 and MAJ-5, respectively from Anjohibe and Anjokipoty caves, allow distinction of three intervals of the Holocene in NW Madagascar. The Malagasy early Holocene (between ca. 9.8 and 7.8 ka) and late Holocene (after ca. 1.6 ka) intervals (MEHI and MLHI, respectively) record evidence of stalagmite deposition. The Malagasy middle Holocene interval (MMHI, between ca. 7.8 and 1.6 ka) is marked by a depositional hiatus of ca. 6500 years. Deposition of these stalagmites indicates that the two caves were sufficiently supplied with water to allow stalagmite formation. This suggests that the MEHI and MLHI intervals may have been comparatively wet in NW Madagascar. In contrast, the long-term depositional hiatus during the MMHI implies it was relatively drier than the MEHI and the MLHI. The alternating wet–dry–wet conditions during the Holocene may have been linked to the long-term migrations of the Intertropical Convergence Zone (ITCZ). When the ITCZ's mean position is farther south, NW Madagascar experiences wetter conditions, such as during the MEHI and MLHI, and when it moves north, NW Madagascar climate becomes drier, such as during the MMHI. A similar wet–dry–wet succession during the Holocene has been reported in neighboring locations, such as southeastern Africa. Beyond these three subdivisions, the records also suggest wet conditions around the cold 8.2 ka event, suggesting a causal relationship. However, additional Southern Hemisphere high-resolution data will be needed to confirm this.


Author(s):  
Hudson Ellen Alencar Menezes ◽  
Raimundo Mainar de Medeiros ◽  
José Lucas Guilherme Santos

<p>As variações nas precipitações refletem claramente a dinâmica atmosférica da região, marcada pela intensa variabilidade, onde se observa a atuação da Zona de Convergência Intertropical (ZCIT) com sua atuação entre os meses de janeiro a março, sendo esse período mais chuvoso. As variabilidades espaço temporal no comportamento das chuvas tem sido analisadas e diagnosticadas por vários autores no Nordeste do Brasil (NEB), portanto objetivou-se diagnosticar a variabilidade dos índices pluviométricos em Teresina no Estado do Piauí no período de 1913 a 2010. A análise do comportamento da precipitação nas cidades de grande e médio porte é de extrema importância para o gerenciamento dos recursos hídricos, uma vez que se trata de áreas densamente urbanizadas. Muitas vezes, sem uma estruturação urbana adequada, estas cidades se encaixam perfeitamente nesse contexto. Foram utilizados dados mensais observados e anuais de precipitação pluviométrica no período de 1913 a 2010, com 97 anos de observações. Os resultados mostraram a recorrência de valores máximos de precipitação anual dentro de um intervalo de 18, 11 e 8 anos. Na análise dos desvios-padrões, os resultados mostraram predominância dos desvios negativos em relação aos desvios positivos.</p><p align="center"><strong><em>Climatology of rainfall in the Teresina city, Piauí state, Brazil</em></strong></p><p>Variations in precipitation clearly reflect the atmospheric dynamics of the region, marked by intense variability, where we observe the performance of the Intertropical Convergence Zone (ITCZ) with his performance in the months of January-March, this being more rain tem period. The timeline of rainfall variability in behavior has been analyzed and diagnosed by several authors in Northeast Brazil (NEB), so let's study this variability between the periods 1913 to 2010 of Teresina city.  The behavior of rainfall in cities large and medium sized is of utmost importance to the managerial of water resources, since it is densely urbanized areas. Often without adequate urban structures these cities fit perfectly in this context. We used observed monthly and annual rainfall data for the period 1913-2010, 97 years of observations. The results showed recurrence of maximum values of annual precipitation an interval of 18, 11 and 8 years. In the analysis of standard deviations, the results showed a predominance of negative deviations from the positive deviations.<strong></strong></p><p align="center"><strong><em><br /></em></strong></p>


2021 ◽  
Author(s):  
Ahmed Homoudi ◽  
Klemens Barfus ◽  
Gesa Bedbur ◽  
Dánnell Quesada-Chacón ◽  
Christian Bernhofer

&lt;p&gt;The Intertropical Convergence Zone (ITCZ) is recognised as the most crucial feature of the tropical climate producing more than 30% of the global precipitation. Its variability dramatically affects the people living in tropical areas. In the eastern Pacific, a pair of ITCZ, one at each side of the equator, during the boreal spring is evident. It is known as the Double Intertropical Convergence Zone (DITCZ). Generally, the ITCZ in the Pacific is located in the Northern Hemisphere (NH); however, during extreme El Ni&amp;#241;o events, it can cross the equator, or a wide band of deep convection extending over both hemispheres is to be observed. The DITCZ exists more frequently and with much more strength in General Circulation Models (GCMs), resulting in a spurious bias. The DITCZ bias has been a long-standing tropical bias in climate model simulations since the early beginning. Despite the intense research on the tropical climate and its features, fewer studies investigated the state of the ITCZs through an objective and automated algorithm. Also, much fewer studies have applied such an algorithm to the GCMs output. Unfortunately, far too little attention has been paid to examining how DITCZ bias is transmitted to Regional Climate Models (RCMs). Furthermore, the input variables to the RCM from GCM are prognostic such as wind, temperature and humidity. Since precipitation is not an input, it would be interesting to examine how the representation of ITCZs in the GCMs is unfolded in the RCMs. The method adopted in this study depends on an objective and automated algorithm developed and modified by earlier studies. The algorithm uses layer- and time-averaged winds in the lower troposphere (seven layers between 1000 and 850 hPa), in addition to wet-blub potential temperature, to automatically detect the centre latitude of the ITCZs. Furthermore, it uses GPCP or CMIP5 model precipitation to obtain the extents (i.e. boundaries) of the ITCZs and the precipitation intensities. From reanalysis datasets, the NH ITCZs are found near 8&amp;#176;N, while the Southern Hemisphere (SH) ITCZs are near 5&amp;#176;S. In CMIP5 models, the DITCZ is much stronger and more frequent, and it occurs year-round. Generally, the NH ITCZs are located between 8&amp;#176;N and 10&amp;#176;N while the SH ITCZs are located between 5&amp;#176;S and 10&amp;#176;S. Moreover, models overestimate the tropical precipitation mainly, the centre and full ITCZ intensities. Furthermore, it indicates more vigorous convection in the NH ITCZs than in the SH ITCZs. The study also found that the state of ITCZ in GCMs directly influences the bias in RCM monthly precipitation. However, it depends mainly on the RCM employed. The most affected nations by DITCZ bias are Ecuador and Peru. Quantitative in-depth analysis of precipitation of GCMs and RCMs is still &lt;span&gt;on&lt;/span&gt;going.&lt;/p&gt;


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