scholarly journals Dynamics of 2013 Sudden Stratospheric Warming event and its impact on cold weather over Eurasia: Role of planetary wave reflection

2016 ◽  
Vol 6 (1) ◽  
Author(s):  
Debashis Nath ◽  
Wen Chen ◽  
Cai Zelin ◽  
Alexander Ivanovich Pogoreltsev ◽  
Ke Wei
2020 ◽  
Vol 33 (2) ◽  
pp. 527-545 ◽  
Author(s):  
Zhuozhuo Lü ◽  
Fei Li ◽  
Yvan J. Orsolini ◽  
Yongqi Gao ◽  
Shengping He

AbstractIt is unclear whether the Eurasian snow plays a role in the tropospheric driving of sudden stratospheric warming (SSW). The major SSW event of February 2018 is analyzed using reanalysis datasets. Characterized by predominant planetary waves of zonal wave 2, the SSW developed into a vortex split via wave–mean flow interaction. In the following two weeks, the downward migration of zonal-mean zonal wind anomalies was accompanied by a significant transition to the negative phase of the North Atlantic Oscillation, leading to extensive cold extremes across Europe. Here, we demonstrate that anomalous Siberian snow accumulation could have played an important role in the 2018 SSW occurrence. In the 2017/18 winter, snow depths over Siberia were much higher than normal. A lead–lag correlation analysis shows that the positive fluctuating snow depth anomalies, leading to intensified “cold domes” over eastern Siberia (i.e., in a region where the climatological upward planetary waves maximize), precede enhanced wave-2 pulses of meridional heat fluxes (100 hPa) by 7–8 days. The snow–SSW linkage over 2003–19 is further investigated, and some common traits among three split events are found. These include a time lag of about one week between the maximum anomalies of snow depth and wave-2 pulses (100 hPa), high sea level pressure favored by anomalous snowpack, and a ridge anchoring over Siberia as precursor of the splits. The role of tropospheric ridges over Alaska and the Urals in the wave-2 enhancement and the role of Arctic sea ice loss in Siberian snow accumulation are also discussed.


2014 ◽  
Vol 31 (4) ◽  
pp. 851-862 ◽  
Author(s):  
Debashis Nath ◽  
Wen Chen ◽  
Lin Wang ◽  
Yin Ma

2016 ◽  
Vol 144 (4) ◽  
pp. 1321-1339 ◽  
Author(s):  
Hannah E. Attard ◽  
Rosimar Rios-Berrios ◽  
Corey T. Guastini ◽  
Andrea L. Lang

Abstract This paper investigates the tropospheric and stratospheric precursors to a major sudden stratospheric warming (SSW) that began on 6 January 2013. Using the Climate Forecast System Reanalysis dataset, the analysis identified two distinct decelerations of the 10-hPa zonal mean zonal wind at 65°N in December in addition to the major SSW, which occurred on 6 January 2013 when the 10-hPa zonal mean zonal wind at 65°N reversed from westerly to easterly. The analysis shows that the two precursor events preconditioned the stratosphere for the SSW. Analysis of the tropospheric state in the days leading to the precursor events and the major SSW suggests that high-latitude tropospheric blocks occurred in the days prior to the two December deceleration events, but not in the days prior to the SSW. A detailed wave activity flux (WAF) analysis suggests that the tropospheric blocking prior to the two December deceleration events contributed to an anomalously positive 40-day-average 100-hPa zonal mean meridional eddy heat flux prior to the SSW. Analysis of the stratospheric structure in the days prior to the SSW reveals that the SSW was associated with enhanced WAF in the upper stratosphere, planetary wave breaking, and an upper-stratospheric/lower-mesospheric disturbance. These results suggest that preconditioning of the stratosphere occurred as a result of WAF initiated by tropospheric blocking associated with the two December deceleration events. The two December deceleration events occurred in the 40 days prior to the SSW and led to the amplification of wave activity in the upper stratosphere and wave resonance that caused the January 2013 SSW.


2017 ◽  
Author(s):  
Sheng-Yang Gu ◽  
Xiankang Dou ◽  
Dora Pancheva

Abstract. The quasi-two day wave (QTDW) during austral summer period usually coincides with sudden stratospheric warming (SSW) event in the winter hemisphere, while the influences of SSW on QTDW are not totally understood. In this work, the anomalous QTDW activities during the major SSW period of January 2006 are further investigated on the basis of hourly Navy Operational Global Atmospheric Prediction System-Advanced Level Physics High Altitude (NOGAPS-ALPHA) reanalysis dataset. Strong westward QTDW with zonal wave number 2 (W2) is identified besides the conventionally dominant mode of zonal wave number 3 (W3). Meanwhile, the W3 peaks with an extremely short period of ~ 42 hours. Compared with January 2005 with no evident SSW, we found that the zonal mean zonal wind in the summer mesosphere is enhanced during 2006. The enhanced summer easterly sustains critical layers for W2 and short-period W3 QTDWs with larger phase speed, which facilitate their amplification through wave-mean flow interaction. The stronger summer easterly also provides stronger barotropic/baroclinic instabilities and thus larger forcing for the amplification of QTDW. The inter-hemispheric coupling induced by strong winter stratospheric planetary wave activities during SSW period is most likely responsible for the enhancement of summer easterly. Besides, we found that the nonlinear interaction between W3 QTDW and the wave number 1 stationary planetary wave (SPW1) may also contribute to the source of W2 at middle and low latitudes in the mesosphere.


2020 ◽  
pp. 241-254
Author(s):  
A.I. Pogoreltsev ◽  
O.G. Aniskina ◽  
A.Y. Kanukhina ◽  
T.S. Ermakova ◽  
A.I. Ugryumov ◽  
...  

Analysis of the dynamical regime changes in the stratosphere during different phases of the Sudden Stratospheric Warming (SSW) that has been observed in January 2013 is presented. The different mechanisms of SSW influence on the tropospheric circulation through the stationary planetary waves (SPWs) reflection and/or increase in SPWs activity due to nonlinear interaction with the mean flow and their subsequent propagation into the troposphere are discussed. Three-dimensional wave activity flux and its divergence are determined using the UK Met Office data; the synoptic situation and its changes during the SSW events are analyzed. The wave activity penetrates downward from stratosphere into the troposphere and can affect weather processes during the SSW and right afterwards. It is this time that polar anticyclones can be formed at high latitudes, which quickly go southward along meridional directions and then deviate to the East at middle latitudes. Interestingly, the locations of polar anticyclone formations and subsequent displacements correspond to the regions of maximal horizontal wave activity fluxes connected with stratospheric processes. The results obtained allow us to suggest that accounting of stratospheric processes and their influence on the troposphere in winter season can improve the middle-range forecast of anticyclone formation and cold weather events at middle latitudes.


2012 ◽  
Vol 12 (3) ◽  
pp. 7243-7271 ◽  
Author(s):  
J. Kuttippurath ◽  
G. Nikulin

Abstract. The Arctic winter 2009/10 was moderately cold in December. A minor warming occurred around mid-December due to a wave 2 amplification split the lower stratospheric vortex into two lobes. The vortices merged again and formed a relatively large vortex in a few days. The temperatures began to rise by mid-January and triggered a major sudden stratospheric warming (SSW) by the reversal of westerlies in late (24–26) January, driven by a planetary wave 1 with a peak amplitude of about 100 m2 s−2 at 60° N/10 hPa. The momentum flux associated with this warming showed the largest value in the recent winters, about 450 m2 s−2 at 60° N/10 hPa. The associated vortex split confined to altitudes below 10 hPa and hence, the major warming (MW) was a vortex displacement event. Large amounts of Eliassen-Palm (EP) and wave 2 EP fluxes (3.9 ×105 kg s−2) are found shortly before the MW event at 100 hPa over 45–75° N, suggesting a tropospheric preconditioning of the MW event. We observe an increase in SSWs in the Arctic in recent years, as there were 6 MWs in 6 out of the 7 winters of 2003/04–2009/10, which confirms the conclusions of previous studies on the SSWs in winters prior to 2003/04. Each MW event was unique as far as its evolution and related polar processes were concerned. As compared to the MWs in the recent Arctic winters, the strongest MW was observed in 2008/09 and was initiated by a wave 2 event. A detailed diagnosis of ozone loss during the past fifteen years shows that the loss is inversely proportional to the intensity and timing of SSWs in each winter, where early MWs lead to minimal loss. The ozone loss shows a good correlation with the zonal mean amplitude of zonal winds in January over 60–90° N, suggesting a proxy for MWs in the Arctic winters.


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