Modelling Urban Growth Patterns: A Multiscale Perspective

2003 ◽  
Vol 35 (4) ◽  
pp. 679-704 ◽  
Author(s):  
Jianquan Cheng ◽  
Ian Masser
Keyword(s):  
Urban Development ◽  
Urban Growth ◽  
Multiscale Analysis ◽  
Growth Patterns ◽  
Wuhan City ◽  
Development Patterns ◽  
Hierarchy Analysis ◽  
Exploratory Data ◽  
Strong Capacity

Urban development is a complex dynamic process involving various actors with different patterns of behaviour. Modelling urban development patterns is a prerequisite to understanding the process. This paper presents a preliminary multiscale perspective for such modelling based on spatial hierarchical theory and uses it for the analysis of a rapidly developing city. This framework starts with a conceptual model, which aims at linking planning hierarchy, analysis hierarchy, and data hierarchy. Analysis hierarchy is the focus of this paper. It is divided into three scales: probability of change (macro), density of change (meso), and intensity of change (micro). The multiscale analysis seeks to distinguish spatial determinants on each of the three scales, which are able to provide deeper insights into urban growth patterns shaped by spontaneous and self-organised spatial processes. A methodology is also presented to implement the framework, based on exploratory data analysis and spatial logistic regression. The combination of both is proven to have strong capacity of interpretation. This framework is tested by a case study of Wuhan City, China. The scale-dependent and scale-independent determinants are found significantly on two scales.

Modeling different urban growth patterns based on the evolution of urban form: A case study from Huangpi, Central China

2016 ◽  
Vol 66 ◽  
pp. 109-118 ◽  
Author(s):  
Yaolin Liu ◽  
Qingsong He ◽  
Ronghui Tan ◽  
Yanfang Liu ◽  
Chaohui Yin
Keyword(s):  
Urban Growth ◽  
Urban Form ◽  
Growth Patterns ◽  
Central China

scholarly journals Assessing Sustainable Urban Development Trends in a Dynamic Tourist Coastal Area Using 3D Spatial Indicators

Energies ◽  
2021 ◽  
Vol 14 (16) ◽  
pp. 5044
Author(s):  
Teresa Santos ◽  
Raquel Deus ◽  
Jorge Rocha ◽  
José António Tenedório
Keyword(s):  
Sustainable Development ◽  
Urban Development ◽  
Urban Growth ◽  
Coastal Area ◽  
Smart Cities ◽  
Growth Patterns ◽  
Local Economy ◽  
Sustainable Urban Development ◽  
2D And 3D ◽  
The Impact

In coastal areas, the tourism sector contributes to the local economy, generating income, employment, investments and tax revenues but the rapid urban expansion creates great pressure on local resources and infrastructures, with negative repercussions on the residents’ quality of life, but also compromising the visitor’s experience. These areas face problems such as the formation of meteorological effects known as heat islands, due to the soil sealing, and increased energy demand in the peak season. To evaluate the impact of urban growth spatial pattern and change, three strategic sustainable challenges—urban form, urban energy, and urban outdoor comfort—were selected. The progress towards sustainability was measured and analyzed in a tourist city in the Algarve region, Portugal, for the period 2007–2018, using geographic information. A set of 2D and 3D indicators was derived for the building and block scales. Then, a change assessment based on cluster analysis was performed, and three different trends of sustainable development were identified and mapped. Results allow detecting the urban growth patterns that lead to more sustainable urban areas. The study revealed that a high sustainable development was observed in 12% of the changed blocks in the study area. All indicators suggest that the growth pattern of the coastal area is in line with the studied sustainability dimensions. However, most of the blocks that changed between 2007 and 2018 (82%) followed a low sustainable development. These blocks had the lowest variation in the built volume and density, and consequently the lowest variations in the roof areas with good solar exposition. The urban development also privileged more detached and less compact buildings. This analysis will support the integration of 2D and 3D information into the planning process, assisting smart cities to comply with the sustainable development goals.

scholarly journals Impact of urban development on the risk of flooding: A case study of Wuhan City, China

2020 ◽  
Vol 39 (11) ◽  
pp. 1898-1908
Author(s):  
Liyuan ZHAO ◽  
Jialing WEI ◽  
Keyword(s):  
Urban Development ◽  
Wuhan City

scholarly journals Revealing the Driving Forces of Mid-Cities Urban Growth Patterns Using Spatial Modeling: a Case Study of Los Ángeles, Chile

2007 ◽  
Vol 12 (1) ◽  
Author(s):  
Mauricio I. Aguayo ◽  
Thorsten Wiegand ◽  
Gerardo D. Azócar ◽  
Kerstin Wiegand ◽  
Claudia E. Vega
Keyword(s):  
Los Angeles ◽  
Urban Growth ◽  
Spatial Modeling ◽  
Driving Forces ◽  
Growth Patterns

scholarly journals Growth and decline of metropolis: A perennial theme in urban research

Geografie ◽  
2007 ◽  
Vol 112 (3) ◽  
pp. 237-249
Author(s):  
Luděk Sýkora ◽  
Ivana Sýkorová
Keyword(s):  
Urban Development ◽  
Urban Growth ◽  
Metropolitan Areas ◽  
Uneven Development ◽  
Final Part ◽  
Development Patterns ◽  
Urban Research ◽  
Continuity And Change ◽  
Current Discussion ◽  
Social Polarization

The paper presents an overview of main themes and concepts that have shaped debates about urban growth and decline since 1920s. It begins with the growth of cities and metropolitan areas and their internal differentiation. In the further part, uneven development, deindustrialization, spatial divisions of labor and globalization are linked to social polarization, new urban cleavages and localities of growth and decline within contemporary cities. Final part touches upon current discussion about continuity and change and chaos or order in urban development patterns.

scholarly journals Evaluation of Economic Linkage between Urban Built-Up Areas in a Mid-Sized City of Uyo (Nigeria)

Land ◽  
2021 ◽  
Vol 10 (10) ◽  
pp. 1094
Author(s):  
Etido Essien ◽  
Cyrus Samimi
Keyword(s):  
Urban Growth ◽  
Household Income ◽  
Urban Expansion ◽  
Growth Patterns ◽  
Southeastern Nigeria ◽  
Suburban Areas ◽  
Living Space ◽  
Social Amenities ◽  
The Impact

Urban growth has transformed many mid-sized cities into metropolitan areas. One of the effects of this growth is a change in urban growth patterns, which are directly linked with household income. Hence, this paper aims to assess the effect of different economic variables that trigger urban built-up patterns, using economic indicators such as city administrative taxes, a socio-economic survey of living standards, household income and satellite data. The regression model was used and adapted, and a case study is presented for the mid-sized city of Uyo in southeastern Nigeria. The result shows sparse built-up growth patterns with numerous adverse effects. Although, there is awareness of the impact of unregulated sparse built-up growth patterns in the literature, little attention has been given to this growth pattern in Africa. The results also show that increases in federal allocation (27%), investment tax (22%), direct tax (52%) and indirect tax (26%) have led to urban expansion into vegetative land and have a causal correlation with different built-up areas. Hence, medium and high-income earners migrate to suburban areas for bigger living space and a lack of basic social amenities affects the land value in suburban areas. They also assist in the provision of social amenities in the neighborhood.

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