Constructing climate change scenarios of urban heat island intensity and air quality

2008 ◽  
Vol 35 (5) ◽  
pp. 902-919 ◽  
Author(s):  
Robert L Wilby

Proceedings ◽  
2017 ◽  
Vol 1 (5) ◽  
pp. 106 ◽  
Author(s):  
Marcos Vinicius Bueno de Morais ◽  
Viviana Vanesa Urbina Guerrero ◽  
Leila Droprinchinski Martins ◽  
Jorge Alberto Martins


Author(s):  
Marcos Vinicius Bueno de Morais ◽  
Viviana Vanesa Urbina Guerrero ◽  
Anderson Paulo Rudke ◽  
Thais Fujita ◽  
Leila Droprinchinski Martins ◽  
...  

According to IPCC reports, global climate change is likely to be accompanied by a greater frequency, intensity, and duration of heat waves in urban areas. This is related to predicted and ongoing variation of atmospheric temperature and its association with the dynamical evolution of cities. Changes in the roughness pattern of the surface, wind intensity, soil available humidity and radiative properties compared to the natural surfaces characterize the formation of the Urban Heat Island (UHI). A dynamical downscaling of A2 and B1 SRES’s future scenarios from Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change were performed for Londrina, a medium-size city of Southern Brazil, using the Weather Research and Forecasting model. The main objective of this study is to investigate the impact of these scenarios on the UHI formation and intensity based on different input data, and its role and influence in the rural area. For this, an evaluation of the model and a comparison with the scenarios were done to mitigate the current trends. The results show a tendency in the current situation in following the pessimistic A2 scenario. Also, a drier rural area for the sustainable projection (B1) is found which implicates in a higher temperature and wind patterns modification for both sites, urban and rural region. Both future projections have a direct influence on the UHI intensity and formation, yielding effects in the agriculture and affecting conditions on human comfort over the region.



Atmosphere ◽  
2021 ◽  
Vol 12 (9) ◽  
pp. 1159
Author(s):  
Igor Žiberna ◽  
Nataša Pipenbaher ◽  
Daša Donša ◽  
Sonja Škornik ◽  
Mitja Kaligarič ◽  
...  

The human population is increasing. The ongoing urbanization process, in conjunction with climate change, is causing larger environmental footprints. Consequently, quality of life in urban systems worldwide is under immense pressure. Here, the seasonal characteristics of Maribor’s urban thermal environment were studied from the perspectives of surface urban heat island (SUHI) and urban heat island (UHI) A remote sensing thermal imagery time series and in-situ measurements (stationary and mobile) were combined with select geospatial predictor variables to model this atmospheric phenomenon in its most intensive season (summer). Finally, CMIP6 climate change scenarios and models were considered, to predict future UHI intensity. Results indicate that Maribor’s UHI intensity maximum shifted from winter to spring and summer. The implemented generalized additive model (GAM) underestimates UHI intensity in some built-up parts of the study area and overestimates UHI intensity in green vegetated areas. However, by the end of the century, UHI magnitude could increase by more than 60% in the southern industrial part of the city. Such studies are of particular concern, in regards to the increasing frequency of heat waves due to climate change, which further increases the (already present) heat stress in cities across the globe.



Author(s):  
Abduldaem S. Alqasemi ◽  
Mohamed E. Hereher ◽  
Gordana Kaplan ◽  
Ayad M. Fadhil Al-Quraishi ◽  
Hakim Saibi


Atmosphere ◽  
2021 ◽  
Vol 12 (5) ◽  
pp. 546
Author(s):  
Andreas Matzarakis

In the era of climate change, before developing and establishing mitigation and adaptation measures that counteract urban heat island (UHI) effects [...]



Urban Science ◽  
2021 ◽  
Vol 5 (1) ◽  
pp. 19
Author(s):  
Robert Dare

This article presents a customized system dynamics model to facilitate the informed development of policy for urban heat island mitigation within the context of future climate change, and with special emphasis on the reduction of heat-related mortality. The model incorporates a variety of components (incl.: the urban heat island effect; population dynamics; climate change impacts on temperature; and heat-related mortality) and is intended to provide urban planning and related professionals with: a facilitated means of understanding the risk of heat-related mortality within the urban heat island; and location-specific information to support the development of reasoned and targeted urban heat island mitigation policy.



Urban Climate ◽  
2021 ◽  
Vol 37 ◽  
pp. 100846
Author(s):  
Nada Badaro-Saliba ◽  
Jocelyne Adjizian-Gerard ◽  
Rita Zaarour ◽  
Georges Najjar




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