Rabbit haemorrhagic disease in New Zealand: field test of a disease - host model

2002 ◽  
Vol 29 (6) ◽  
pp. 649 ◽  
Author(s):  
N. D. Barlow ◽  
M. C. Barron ◽  
J. Parkes
Keyword(s):  
New Zealand ◽  
Qualitative Data ◽  
Virus Transmission ◽  
Transmission Mechanism ◽  
Free Living ◽  
Additional Control ◽  
Rabbit Haemorrhagic Disease ◽  
Haemorrhagic Disease ◽  
Antibody Levels

An earlier published model, parameterised from qualitative data from Europe and detailed observations of the first simple epidemic in Australia, gave a good fit to longer-term (3 year) data from New Zealand, without any re-tuning of parameters. Changing some of the unknown disease parameters further improved the model's fit, but two problems remained. Firstly, predicted proportions seropositive are too high if rabbit densities are as low as observed, and if the proportions seropositive are correct then the predicted densities are too high. Secondly, observed rabbit densities do not show obvious peaks of recruitment, as predicted by the model with and without RHD. Possible reasons for these discrepancies are suggested, and initial trials with the model suggested that a novel transmission mechanism involving both direct (rabbit to rabbit) and indirect (via free-living virus) transmission may help explain both high suppression and low antibody levels. The main conclusions from the original model remain unaffected by its testing against new data, namely: rabbit populations are likely to be suppressed in the long term by about 75%; the pattern of epidemics is determined largely by intrinsic disease behaviour rather than seasonality, though the latter may tune this to some extent; there tend to be yearly epidemics; percentages of rabbits infected at any one time are low (around 5%) but this does not imply low impact; maternal antibodies have little effect on RHD dynamics; RHD may persist in low-density as well as high-density populations but give less suppression; and additional control may eradicate disease, at least temporarily.

scholarly journals Timing and severity of immunizing diseases in rabbits is controlled by seasonal matching of host and pathogen dynamics

2015 ◽  
Vol 12 (103) ◽  
pp. 20141184 ◽  
Author(s):  
Konstans Wells ◽  
Barry W. Brook ◽  
Robert C. Lacy ◽  
Greg J. Mutze ◽  
David E. Peacock ◽  
...  
Keyword(s):  
Local Population ◽  
Disease Outbreaks ◽  
Maternal Antibodies ◽  
Timing Of Reproduction ◽  
Demographic Rates ◽  
Pathogen Dynamics ◽  
Rabbit Haemorrhagic Disease ◽  
Seasonal Epidemics ◽  
Haemorrhagic Disease

Infectious diseases can exert a strong influence on the dynamics of host populations, but it remains unclear why such disease-mediated control only occurs under particular environmental conditions. We used 16 years of detailed field data on invasive European rabbits ( Oryctolagus cuniculus ) in Australia, linked to individual-based stochastic models and Bayesian approximations, to test whether (i) mortality associated with rabbit haemorrhagic disease (RHD) is driven primarily by seasonal matches/mismatches between demographic rates and epidemiological dynamics and (ii) delayed infection (arising from insusceptibility and maternal antibodies in juveniles) are important factors in determining disease severity and local population persistence of rabbits. We found that both the timing of reproduction and exposure to viruses drove recurrent seasonal epidemics of RHD. Protection conferred by insusceptibility and maternal antibodies controlled seasonal disease outbreaks by delaying infection; this could have also allowed escape from disease. The persistence of local populations was a stochastic outcome of recovery rates from both RHD and myxomatosis. If susceptibility to RHD is delayed, myxomatosis will have a pronounced effect on population extirpation when the two viruses coexist. This has important implications for wildlife management, because it is likely that such seasonal interplay and disease dynamics has a strong effect on long-term population viability for many species.

Habitat factors related to wild rabbit population trends after the initial impact of rabbit haemorrhagic disease

2006 ◽  
Vol 33 (6) ◽  
pp. 467 ◽  
Author(s):  
Carlos Calvete ◽  
Enrique Pelayo ◽  
Javier Sampietro
Keyword(s):  
Habitat Quality ◽  
Population Trends ◽  
Wild Rabbit ◽  
Pest Species ◽  
Predator Species ◽  
Rabbit Population ◽  
Habitat Factors ◽  
Rabbit Haemorrhagic Disease ◽  
Haemorrhagic Disease

The European wild rabbit (Oryctolagus cuniculus) is an introduced pest species in Australia and New Zealand. Rabbits have a devastating negative impact on agricultural production and biodiversity in these countries, and Rabbit Haemorrhagic Disease (RHD) is currently included in control strategies for rabbit populations. On the other hand, the European wild rabbit is a key native prey species in the Iberian Peninsula. Since the arrival of RHD, however, rabbit populations have undergone dramatic decreases and several predator species at risk of extinction are currently dependent on the rabbit population density. Therefore, from the point of view of biodiversity conservation, evaluating habitat correlates and trends of rabbit populations after the first RHD epizootic is of great interest to improve the long-term control or promotion of wild rabbit populations. We estimated the relationship between habitat factors and long-term population trends as well as the relationships between habitat factors and rabbit abundance 2 and 14 years after the arrival of RHD in several Iberian rabbit populations. We observed that only 26% of surveyed populations seemed to experience an increase in rabbit abundance over the last 12 years and that this increase was higher in the low-rabbit-abundance areas of l992, leading to high rabbit abundance in 2004. Our results suggested that short- and long-term impacts of RHD were related to habitat quality. The initial impact of RHD was higher in more suitable habitats, but increasing long-term population trends were positively related to good habitat quality.

Diet of mammalian predators in braided river beds in the central South Island, New Zealand

2004 ◽  
Vol 31 (6) ◽  
pp. 631 ◽  
Author(s):  
Elaine C. Murphy ◽  
Rachel J. Keedwell ◽  
Kerry P. Brown ◽  
Ian Westbrooke
Keyword(s):  
New Zealand ◽  
Bird Species ◽  
Gut Contents ◽  
Frequency Of Occurrence ◽  
Braided River ◽  
Braided Rivers ◽  
Rabbit Haemorrhagic Disease ◽  
Mammalian Predators ◽  
Mustela Furo ◽  
Haemorrhagic Disease

In New Zealand, five of the six endemic bird species that breed primarily in South Island braided river beds are classed as threatened. A major cause of decline for these species is predation by introduced mammals, and predator-trapping programs are undertaken in the braided rivers of the Mackenzie Basin to protect them. Trapping programs carried out between September 1997 and April 2001 provided the opportunity to investigate predator diet from the gut contents of 375 cats (Felis catus), 371 ferrets (Mustela furo) and 86 stoats (Mustela erminea). As a percentage frequency of occurrence of the main prey items, cat diet consisted of lagomorphs (present in 70% of guts), birds (in 47%), lizards (30%) and invertebrates (36%). Ferret diet consisted of lagomorphs (69%) and birds (28%). Stoat diet consisted of lagomorphs (50%), birds (51%), lizards (21%) and invertebrates (23%). The frequency of occurrence of birds in all three predators was higher in the spring/summer of 1997 – immediately after rabbit haemorrhagic disease (RHD) was introduced – than in any other previous diet study on these braided rivers. This suggests that RHD did lead to increased predation pressure on birds, at least in the short term.

Seropositivity to rabbit haemorrhagic disease virus in non-target mammals during periods of viral activity in a population of wild rabbits in New Zealand

2006 ◽  
Vol 33 (4) ◽  
pp. 305 ◽  
Author(s):  
J. Henning ◽  
P. R. Davies ◽  
J. Meers
Keyword(s):  
New Zealand ◽  
Disease Virus ◽  
Small Sample ◽  
European Rabbit ◽  
Wild Rabbit ◽  
Rabbit Haemorrhagic Disease Virus ◽  
Target Species ◽  
Rabbit Population ◽  
Rabbit Haemorrhagic Disease ◽  
Haemorrhagic Disease

As part of a longitudinal study of the epidemiology of rabbit haemorrhagic disease virus (RHDV) in New Zealand, serum samples were obtained from trapped feral animals that may have consumed European rabbit (Oryctolagus cuniculus) carcasses (non-target species). During a 21-month period when RHDV infection was monitored in a defined wild rabbit population, 16 feral house cats (Felis catus), 11 stoats (Mustela erminea), four ferrets (Mustela furo) and 126 hedgehogs (Erinaceus europaeus) were incidentally captured in the rabbit traps. The proportions of samples that were seropositive to RHDV were 38% for cats, 18% for stoats, 25% for ferrets and 4% for hedgehogs. Seropositive non-target species were trapped in April 2000, in the absence of an overt epidemic of rabbit haemorrhagic disease (RHD) in the rabbit population, but evidence of recent infection in rabbits was shown. Seropositive non-target species were found up to 2.5 months before and 1 month after this RHDV activity in wild rabbits was detected. Seropositive predators were also trapped on the site between 1 and 4.5 months after a dramatic RHD epidemic in February 2001. This study has shown that high antibody titres can be found in non-target species when there is no overt evidence of RHDV infection in the rabbit population, although a temporal relationship could not be assessed statistically owning to the small sample sizes. Predators and scavengers might be able to contribute to localised spread of RHDV through their movements.

Sign in / Sign up

Export Citation Format

Share Document