scholarly journals Predictability of extreme daily returns and Preference for lottery-like stocks in an emerging market

Author(s):  
Muhammad Usman Khurram ◽  
Fahad Ali ◽  
Yuexiang Jiang ◽  
Wenwu Xie
2009 ◽  
Vol 4 (1) ◽  
pp. 107-112
Author(s):  
M. Kayali ◽  
Seyfettin Unal

Tracking Accuracy of Large and Small-CAP ETFS: an Empirical Analysis Of The Istanbul Stock ExchangeIn this study, we examine the tracking performance of two ETFs, namely DJIST and SMIST, both traded on the Istanbul Stock Exchange, with respect to their own indices. We carry out an analysis first to identify each ETF's tracking ability of underlying index, and second to explore whether any differences exist between the return of large-cap and the return of small-cap stock ETFs, and their indices. By employing a data set of calculated daily returns for the specified ETFs and their corresponding indices, t-tests and regression analyses are conducted. Our findings suggest that both DJIST and SMIST stocks performed well in tracking their own indices' returns. However, the mimicking ability of DJIST stock is better than that of SMIST. Possible explanations regarding this difference are that the SMIST's introduction into the market is relatively new compared to the DJIST, and that the SMIST represents small-cap stocks with considerable illiquidity problems, while the DJIST represents large-cap stocks. Despite the odds, against the SMIST, it still shows a tracking performance that should be acknowledged, given both its place in an emerging market and its strength within such a short period of time.


2020 ◽  
Vol 12 (2) ◽  
pp. 199-222
Author(s):  
Muhammad Naeem Shahid ◽  
Abdul Sattar ◽  
Faisal Aftab ◽  
Sumaira Aslam

This study enhances the existing literature on the Adaptive Market Hypothesis (AMH) and calendar anomalies. The study is a first attempt to link the Islamic and conventional Holidays’ effect with the Adaptive Market Hypothesis that allows the performance of well-known Holiday Effect to fluctuate over time. To fulfil the purpose of the study, the daily returns of 107 individual firms listed in Pakistan Stock Exchange over the period of 20 years (from January 1996 to December 2015) are observed. To explore the varying degree of return predictability of Holiday Effect, the research utilizes four different subsamples comprising an equal length of observations of five years each. It is found that the behavior of the Holiday Effect evolves over time as the performance of this effect varies occasionally and is consistent with AMH. Finally, the paper proposes that the Adaptive Market Hypothesis is a well elucidation of the behavior of the Holiday Effect than traditional Efficient Market Hypothesis (EMH).


2017 ◽  
pp. 114-127 ◽  
Author(s):  
V. Klinov

Causes of upheaval in the distribution of power among large advanced and emerging market economies in the XXI century, especially in industry output and international trade, are a topic of the paper. Problems of employment, financialization and income distribution inequality as consequences of globalization are identified as the most important. Causes of the depressed state of the EU and the eurozone are presented in a detailed review. In this content, PwC forecast of changes in the world economy by 2050, to the author’s view, optimistically provides for wise and diligent economic policy.


2005 ◽  
Vol 55 (2) ◽  
pp. 235-249
Author(s):  
Csilla Varga ◽  
György Lengyel ◽  
Viktória Vásáry

Grzegorz W. Kolodko: Emerging Market Economies: Globalization and Development (Aldershot and Burlington: Ashgate, 2003, 281 pp.) - Reviewed by Csilla Varga); Mihály Laki - Júlia Szalai: Vállalkozók vagy polgárok? A nagyvállalkozók gazdasági és társadalmi helyzetének ambivalenciái az ezredforduló Magyarországán (Entrepreneur or Citoyen? Ambivalences of the Economic and Social Position of Great Entrepreneurs at the Turn of the Millenium in Hungary) (Budapest: Osiris, 2004, 271 pp.) - Reviewed by György Lengyel; Guido van Huylenbroeck - Guy Durand (eds): Multifunctional Agriculture. A New Paradigm for European Agriculture and Rural Development (Hampshire, England: Ashgate Publishing Limited, 2003, 239 pp.) - Reviewed by Viktória Vásáry


2020 ◽  
Vol 8 (1) ◽  
pp. 11-21
Author(s):  
S. M. Yaroshko ◽  
◽  
M. V. Zabolotskyy ◽  
T. M. Zabolotskyy ◽  
◽  
...  

The paper is devoted to the investigation of statistical properties of the sample estimator of the beta coefficient in the case when the weights of benchmark portfolio are constant and for the target portfolio, the global minimum variance portfolio is taken. We provide the asymptotic distribution of the sample estimator of the beta coefficient assuming that the asset returns are multivariate normally distributed. Based on the asymptotic distribution we construct the confidence interval for the beta coefficient. We use the daily returns on the assets included in the DAX index for the period from 01.01.2018 to 30.09.2019 to compare empirical and asymptotic means, variances and densities of the standardized estimator for the beta coefficient. We obtain that the bias of the sample estimator converges to zero very slowly for a large number of assets in the portfolio. We present the adjusted estimator of the beta coefficient for which convergence of the empirical variances to the asymptotic ones is not significantly slower than for a sample estimator but the bias of the adjusted estimator is significantly smaller.


CFA Magazine ◽  
2005 ◽  
Vol 16 (2) ◽  
pp. 38-39
Author(s):  
Cynthia Harrington

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