Estimation of Wind Turbine Energy Production Value by Using Machine Learning Algorithms and Development of Implementation Program

Author(s):  
Bekir Aksoy ◽  
Reşat Selbaş
2017 ◽  
Vol 139 (6) ◽  
Author(s):  
Taylor Regan ◽  
Christopher Beale ◽  
Murat Inalpolat

Wind turbine blades undergo high operational loads, experience variable environmental conditions, and are susceptible to failure due to defects, fatigue, and weather-induced damage. These large-scale composite structures are fundamentally enclosed acoustic cavities and currently have limited, if any, structural health monitoring (SHM) in place. A novel acoustics-based structural sensing and health monitoring technique is developed, requiring efficient algorithms for operational damage detection of cavity structures. This paper describes the selection of a set of statistical features for acoustics-based damage detection of enclosed cavities, such as wind turbine blades, as well as a systematic approach used in the identification of competent machine learning algorithms. Logistic regression (LR) and support vector machine (SVM) methods are identified and used with optimal feature selection for decision-making via binary classification algorithms. A laboratory-scale wind turbine with hollow composite blades was built for damage detection studies. This test rig allows for testing of stationary or rotating blades, of which time and frequency domain information can be collected to establish baseline characteristics. The test rig can then be used to observe any deviations from the baseline characteristics. An external microphone attached to the tower will be utilized to monitor blade health while blades are internally ensonified by wireless speakers. An initial test campaign with healthy and damaged blade specimens is carried out to arrive at several conclusions on the detectability and feature extraction capabilities required for damage detection.


2022 ◽  
Author(s):  
C. Bosch

Abstract. Early fault detection in wind turbines is key to reduce both costs and uncertainty in the generation of energy and operation of these structures. The isolation of many wind farms, especially those offshore, makes scheduled maintenance very costly and on many occasions inefficient. In addition, the downtime of these structures is typically long and a predictive solution is much needed to 1) help prepare for the maintenance procedure beforehand, for instance to avoid delays when waiting for the required resources and components for maintenance to be available and, 2) avoid the possibility of more destructive system failures. Predicting failures in such complex systems requires modeling of multiple components in isolation and as a whole. Physics-based and data-based models are used for this purpose, which have been proven useful in this regard. Specifically, Machine Learning algorithms are proven to be a valuable resource in a wide range of problems in this industry, however a solution capable of accurately predicting the range of faults of a particular type of wind turbine is still a challenge. In this paper, we will introduce the capabilities of machine learning for wind turbine fault prediction, as well as a technique to predict different types of faults. We will compare the performance of two well established machine learning algorithms (namely K-Nearest Neighbour and Random Forest classifiers) on real wind turbine data which have produced great levels of prediction accuracy. We also propose data augmentation methods to help enhance the training of ML models when wind turbine data is scarce by merging data from turbines of the same type.


2020 ◽  
Vol 39 (5) ◽  
pp. 6579-6590
Author(s):  
Sandy Çağlıyor ◽  
Başar Öztayşi ◽  
Selime Sezgin

The motion picture industry is one of the largest industries worldwide and has significant importance in the global economy. Considering the high stakes and high risks in the industry, forecast models and decision support systems are gaining importance. Several attempts have been made to estimate the theatrical performance of a movie before or at the early stages of its release. Nevertheless, these models are mostly used for predicting domestic performances and the industry still struggles to predict box office performances in overseas markets. In this study, the aim is to design a forecast model using different machine learning algorithms to estimate the theatrical success of US movies in Turkey. From various sources, a dataset of 1559 movies is constructed. Firstly, independent variables are grouped as pre-release, distributor type, and international distribution based on their characteristic. The number of attendances is discretized into three classes. Four popular machine learning algorithms, artificial neural networks, decision tree regression and gradient boosting tree and random forest are employed, and the impact of each group is observed by compared by the performance models. Then the number of target classes is increased into five and eight and results are compared with the previously developed models in the literature.


2020 ◽  
pp. 1-11
Author(s):  
Jie Liu ◽  
Lin Lin ◽  
Xiufang Liang

The online English teaching system has certain requirements for the intelligent scoring system, and the most difficult stage of intelligent scoring in the English test is to score the English composition through the intelligent model. In order to improve the intelligence of English composition scoring, based on machine learning algorithms, this study combines intelligent image recognition technology to improve machine learning algorithms, and proposes an improved MSER-based character candidate region extraction algorithm and a convolutional neural network-based pseudo-character region filtering algorithm. In addition, in order to verify whether the algorithm model proposed in this paper meets the requirements of the group text, that is, to verify the feasibility of the algorithm, the performance of the model proposed in this study is analyzed through design experiments. Moreover, the basic conditions for composition scoring are input into the model as a constraint model. The research results show that the algorithm proposed in this paper has a certain practical effect, and it can be applied to the English assessment system and the online assessment system of the homework evaluation system algorithm system.


2019 ◽  
Vol 1 (2) ◽  
pp. 78-80
Author(s):  
Eric Holloway

Detecting some patterns is a simple task for humans, but nearly impossible for current machine learning algorithms.  Here, the "checkerboard" pattern is examined, where human prediction nears 100% and machine prediction drops significantly below 50%.


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