PHAD: a PHAse-oriented disruption prediction strategy for avoidance, prevention and mitigation in JET

2021 ◽  
Author(s):  
G A Ratta ◽  
Jesus Vega ◽  
Andrea Murari ◽  
Dhaval Gadariya
Keyword(s):  
Author(s):  
K Gwirtz ◽  
M Morzfeld ◽  
A Fournier ◽  
G Hulot

Summary We study predictions of reversals of Earth’s axial magnetic dipole field that are based solely on the dipole’s intensity. The prediction strategy is, roughly, that once the dipole intensity drops below a threshold, then the field will continue to decrease and a reversal (or a major excursion) will occur. We first present a rigorous definition of an intensity threshold-based prediction strategy and then describe a mathematical and numerical framework to investigate its validity and robustness in view of the data being limited. We apply threshold-based predictions to a hierarchy of numerical models, ranging from simple scalar models to 3D geodynamos. We find that the skill of threshold-based predictions varies across the model hierarchy. The differences in skill can be explained by differences in how reversals occur: if the field decreases towards a reversal slowly (in a sense made precise in this paper), the skill is high, and if the field decreases quickly, the skill is low. Such a property could be used as an additional criterion to identify which models qualify as Earth-like. Applying threshold-based predictions to Virtual Axial Dipole Moment (VADM) paleomagnetic reconstructions (PADM2M and Sint-2000) covering the last two million years, reveals a moderate skill of threshold-based predictions for Earth’s dynamo. Besides all of their limitations, threshold-based predictions suggests that no reversal is to be expected within the next 10 kyr. Most importantly, however, we show that considering an intensity threshold for identifying upcoming reversals is intrinsically limited by the dynamic behavior of Earth’s magnetic field.


Author(s):  
Nansu Zong ◽  
Rachael Sze Nga Wong ◽  
Yue Yu ◽  
Andrew Wen ◽  
Ming Huang ◽  
...  

Abstract To enable modularization for network-based prediction, we conducted a review of known methods conducting the various subtasks corresponding to the creation of a drug–target prediction framework and associated benchmarking to determine the highest-performing approaches. Accordingly, our contributions are as follows: (i) from a network perspective, we benchmarked the association-mining performance of 32 distinct subnetwork permutations, arranging based on a comprehensive heterogeneous biomedical network derived from 12 repositories; (ii) from a methodological perspective, we identified the best prediction strategy based on a review of combinations of the components with off-the-shelf classification, inference methods and graph embedding methods. Our benchmarking strategy consisted of two series of experiments, totaling six distinct tasks from the two perspectives, to determine the best prediction. We demonstrated that the proposed method outperformed the existing network-based methods as well as how combinatorial networks and methodologies can influence the prediction. In addition, we conducted disease-specific prediction tasks for 20 distinct diseases and showed the reliability of the strategy in predicting 75 novel drug–target associations as shown by a validation utilizing DrugBank 5.1.0. In particular, we revealed a connection of the network topology with the biological explanations for predicting the diseases, ‘Asthma’ ‘Hypertension’, and ‘Dementia’. The results of our benchmarking produced knowledge on a network-based prediction framework with the modularization of the feature selection and association prediction, which can be easily adapted and extended to other feature sources or machine learning algorithms as well as a performed baseline to comprehensively evaluate the utility of incorporating varying data sources.


2021 ◽  
Vol 2021 ◽  
pp. 1-13
Author(s):  
Yongqiang Zhu ◽  
Junru Zhu ◽  
Pingxia Zhang

A multiaxle wheeled robot is difficult to be controlled due to its long body and a large number of axles, especially for obstacle avoidance and steering in narrow space. To solve this problem, a multisteering mode control strategy based on front and rear virtual wheels is proposed, and the driving trajectory prediction of the multiaxle wheeled robot is analyzed. On this basis, an obstacle avoidance control strategy based on trajectory prediction is proposed. By calculating the relationship between the lidar points of the obstacle and the trajectory coverage area, the iterative calculation of the obstacle avoidance scheme for the proposed steering is carried out, and the feasible obstacle avoidance scheme is obtained. The mechanical structure, hardware, and software control system of a five-axle wheeled robot are designed. Finally, to verify the effectiveness of the obstacle avoidance strategy, a Z-shaped obstacle avoidance experiment was carried out. The results confirm the effectiveness of the proposed control strategy.


2021 ◽  
Author(s):  
Zuofa Liu ◽  
Xi Wang ◽  
Wenjie Feng ◽  
Jie Zhou ◽  
Zhiyuan Qu ◽  
...  

Abstract Due to the complex metal flow in the cold extrusion of sun gear, the teeth accuracy of formed sun gear is poor. In order to improve the accuracy of the extruded sun gear, a novel precision finishing method with different tools was proposed in this study. Finite element simulations were performed using DEFORM, and a new finite element (FE) prediction strategy was developed to obtain an in-depth understanding of the deviation distribution laws of the finished sun gear. Then, the influences of different finishing tools on tooth deformation, tool stress, forming load and tooth accuracy were examined. The investigation results show that the profile accuracy of external gear can be improved from ninth to seventh class, lead accuracy can be enhanced from tenth to eighth class, and total M value deviation of internal spline is reduced to 72.3 μm by the precision finishing method with interference mandrel. Therefore, the interference mandrel is recommended as the optimal reshaping tool for commercial production of sun gears. The simulation results are well agreed with the experimental results, which verifies the feasibility of the precision finishing method and the reliability of the FE prediction strategy.


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