scholarly journals Modeling total crime and the affecting factors in Central Java using geographically weighted regression

2020 ◽  
Vol 1442 ◽  
pp. 012026 ◽  
Author(s):  
T Runadi ◽  
Y Widyaningsih ◽  
D Lestari
2017 ◽  
Vol 9 (2) ◽  
pp. 133
Author(s):  
Tiani Wahyu Utami ◽  
Abdul Rohman ◽  
Alan Prahutama

The problems in employment was the growing number of Open Unemployment Rate (OUR). The open unemployment rate is a number that indicates the number of unemployed to the 100 residents are included in the labor force. The purpose of this study is mapping the data OUR in Central Java and the suspect and identify linkages between factors that cause OUR in the District / City of Central Java in 2014. Factors that allegedly include population density (X1), Inflation (X2), the GDP value (X3), UMR Value (X4), the percentage of GDP growth rate (X5), Hope of the old school (X6), the percentage of the labor force by age (X7) and the percentage of employment (X8). Geographically Weighted Regression (GWR) is a method for modeling the response of the predictor variables, by including elements of the area (spatial) into the point-based model. This research resulted in the conclusion that the OLS regression models have poor performance because the residual variance is not homogeneous. There were no significant differences between GWR models with OLS model or in other words generally predictor variables did not affect the response variable (rate of unemployment in Central Java) spatially. However, GWR model could captured modelling in each region. Keywords: multiple linear regression, geographiically weighted regression, open unemployement rate in Central Java.


2021 ◽  
Vol 10 (2) ◽  
pp. 250-258
Author(s):  
Putri Fajar Utami ◽  
Agus Rusgiyono ◽  
Dwi Ispriyanti

Geographical and inter-regional differences have contributed to the diversity of child pneumonia cases in Central Java, so  a spatial regression modelling is formed that is called Geographically Weighted Regression (GWR). GWR is a development of linear regression by involving diverse factors geographical location, so that local parameters are produced.  Sometimes, there are non-local GWR parameters. To overcome some non-local parameters, Semiparametric Geographically Weighted Regression (SGWR) is formed to develop a GWR model with local and global influences simultaneously. SGWR Model is used to estimate the model of percentage of children with pneumonia in Central Java with population density, average temperature, percentage of children with severe malnutrition, percentage of children with under the red line weight, percentage of households behave in clean and healthy lives, and percentage of children who measles immunized. SGWR models on percentage of children with pneumonia in Central Java produce locally significant variables that is population density, average temperature, and percentage of households behave in clean and healthy lives. Variable that globally significant is percentage of children with severe malnutrition. Based on Akaike Information Criterion (AIC), SGWR is a better model to analize percentage of children with pneumonia in Central Java because of smallest AIC. Keywords: Akaike Information Criterion, Geographically Weighted Regression, Semiparametric Geographically Weighted Regression


2019 ◽  
Vol 1 (2) ◽  
pp. 101-109
Author(s):  
Rendra Erdkhadifa

East java has great position to become one of provience with predominance of the economic studies which has allotment of region with affects culture. Known as the mataraman based on culture that is inherited. Derived from the influence of ancient culture mataram which centered on central java and D.I Yogyakarta. The affect of great culture on mataraman region is viewed as one of characteristic that has ability on economic activities, with the result that cause differences on economic growth’s indicators as reflection of economic’s prosperity. This study looks at the factor which provide economic growth is based on mataraman characteristic by Government Expenditure, Gross Domestic Regional Product, Mataraman, Original Local Government Revenue and analyzed using regression and Geographically Weighted Regression to get best model economic growth in mataraman, east java. The conclusion of the study is every object has different factor to influence economic growth


2021 ◽  
Vol 21 (1) ◽  
Author(s):  
Seblewongel Tigabu ◽  
Alemneh Mekuriaw Liyew ◽  
Bisrat Misganaw Geremew

Abstract Background In developing countries, 20,000 under 18 children give birth every day. In Ethiopia, teenage pregnancy is high with Afar and Somalia regions having the largest share. Even though teenage pregnancy has bad maternal and child health consequences, to date there is limited evidence on its spatial distribution and driving factors. Therefore, this study is aimed to assess the spatial distribution and spatial determinates of teenage pregnancy in Ethiopia. Methods A secondary data analysis was conducted using 2016 EDHS data. A total weighted sample of 3381 teenagers was included. The spatial clustering of teenage pregnancy was priorly explored by using hotspot analysis and spatial scanning statistics to indicate geographical risk areas of teenage pregnancy. Besides spatial modeling was conducted by applying Ordinary least squares regression and geographically weighted regression to determine factors explaining the geographic variation of teenage pregnancy. Result Based on the findings of exploratory analysis the high-risk areas of teenage pregnancy were observed in the Somali, Afar, Oromia, and Hareri regions. Women with primary education, being in the household with a poorer wealth quintile using none of the contraceptive methods and using traditional contraceptive methods were significant spatial determinates of the spatial variation of teenage pregnancy in Ethiopia. Conclusion geographic areas where a high proportion of women didn’t use any type of contraceptive methods, use traditional contraceptive methods, and from households with poor wealth quintile had increased risk of teenage pregnancy. Whereas, those areas with a higher proportion of women with secondary education had a decreased risk of teenage pregnancy. The detailed maps of hotspots of teenage pregnancy and its predictors had supreme importance to policymakers for the design and implementation of adolescent targeted programs.


Author(s):  
Jin-Wei Yan ◽  
Fei Tao ◽  
Shuai-Qian Zhang ◽  
Shuang Lin ◽  
Tong Zhou

As part of one of the five major national development strategies, the Yangtze River Economic Belt (YREB), including the three national-level urban agglomerations (the Cheng-Yu urban agglomeration (CY-UA), the Yangtze River Middle-Reach urban agglomeration (YRMR-UA), and the Yangtze River Delta urban agglomeration (YRD-UA)), plays an important role in China’s urban development and economic construction. However, the rapid economic growth of the past decades has caused frequent regional air pollution incidents, as indicated by high levels of fine particulate matter (PM2.5). Therefore, a driving force factor analysis based on the PM2.5 of the whole area would provide more information. This paper focuses on the three urban agglomerations in the YREB and uses exploratory data analysis and geostatistics methods to describe the spatiotemporal distribution patterns of air quality based on long-term PM2.5 series data from 2015 to 2018. First, the main driving factor of the spatial stratified heterogeneity of PM2.5 was determined through the Geodetector model, and then the influence mechanism of the factors with strong explanatory power was extrapolated using the Multiscale Geographically Weighted Regression (MGWR) models. The results showed that the number of enterprises, social public vehicles, total precipitation, wind speed, and green coverage in the built-up area had the most significant impacts on the distribution of PM2.5. The regression by MGWR was found to be more efficient than that by traditional Geographically Weighted Regression (GWR), further showing that the main factors varied significantly among the three urban agglomerations in affecting the special and temporal features.


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