scholarly journals A review of interactions between ocean heat transport and Arctic sea ice

2021 ◽  
Author(s):  
David Docquier ◽  
Torben Königk
Keyword(s):  
Sea Ice ◽  
Heat Transport ◽  
Arctic Sea Ice ◽  
Ocean Heat Transport ◽  
Arctic Sea

scholarly journals Model resolution influence on simulated sea ice decline

2008 ◽  
Vol 2 (5) ◽  
pp. 759-776 ◽  
Author(s):  
J. O. Sewall
Keyword(s):  
Sea Ice ◽  
Heat Transport ◽  
Coupled Model ◽  
Ocean Model ◽  
Arctic Sea Ice ◽  
Model Resolution ◽  
Ocean Heat Transport ◽  
Sea Ice Decline ◽  
Arctic Sea ◽  
Model Predictions

Abstract. Satellite observations and model predictions of recent and future Arctic sea ice decline have raised concerns over the timing and potential impacts of a seasonally ice-free Arctic Ocean. Model predictions of seasonally ice-free Arctic conditions are, however, highly variable. Here I present results from fourteen climate system models from the World Climate Research Programme's (WCRP's) Coupled Model Intercomparison Project phase 3 (CMIP3) multi-model dataset that indicate modeled Arctic sea ice sensitivity to increased atmospheric CO2 forcing is strongly correlated with ice/ocean model horizontal resolution. Based on coupled model analyses and ice only simulations with the Los Alamos National Lab sea ice model (CICE), the correlation between declining Arctic sea ice cover and ice/ocean model resolution appears to depend largely on ocean model resolution and its influence on ocean heat transport into the Arctic basin. The correlation between model resolution, northward ocean heat transport, and the degree of Arctic ice loss is independent of ice model physics and complexity. This not only illustrates one difficulty in using numerical models to accurately predict the timing and magnitude of Arctic sea ice decline under increasing atmospheric greenhouse gas forcing, but also highlights one area where improved simulation (of northward ocean heat transport) could greatly decrease the uncertainties associated with predictions of future Arctic sea ice cover.

Atmospheric and oceanic drivers of regional Arctic winter sea-ice variability in present and future climates

2021 ◽  
Author(s):  
Jakob Dörr ◽  
Marius Årthun ◽  
Tor Eldevik ◽  
Erica Madonna
Keyword(s):  
Sea Ice ◽  
Arctic Ocean ◽  
Heat Transport ◽  
Barents Sea ◽  
Arctic Sea Ice ◽  
The Arctic ◽  
Ocean Heat Transport ◽  
The Pacific ◽  
Arctic Sea ◽  
The Arctic Ocean

<p>The recent retreat of Arctic sea ice area is overlaid by strong internal variability on all timescales. In winter, sea ice retreat and variability are currently dominated by the Barents Sea, primarily driven by variable ocean heat transport from the Atlantic. Climate models from the latest intercomparison project CMIP6 project that the future loss of winter Arctic sea ice spreads throughout the Arctic Ocean and, hence, that other regions of the Arctic Ocean will see increased sea-ice variability. It is, however, not known how the influence of ocean heat transport will change, and to what extent and in which regions other drivers, such as atmospheric circulation or river runoff into the Arctic Ocean, will become important. Using a combination of observations and simulations from the Community Earth System Model Large Ensemble (CESM-LE), we analyze and contrast the present and future regional drivers of the variability of the winter Arctic sea ice cover. We find that for the recent past, both observations and CESM-LE show that sea ice variability in the Atlantic and Pacific sector of the Arctic Ocean is influenced by ocean heat transport through the Barents Sea and Bering Strait, respectively. The two dominant modes of large-scale atmospheric variability – the Arctic Oscillation and the Pacific North American pattern – are only weakly related to recent regional sea ice variability. However, atmospheric circulation anomalies associated with regional sea ice variability show distinct patterns for the Atlantic and Pacific sectors consistent with heat and humidity transport from lower latitudes. In the future, under a high emission scenario, CESM-LE projects a gradual expansion of the footprint of the Pacific and Atlantic inflows, covering the whole Arctic Ocean by 2050-2079. This study highlights the combined importance of future Atlantification and Pacification of the Arctic Ocean and improves our understanding of internal climate variability which essential in order to predict future sea ice changes under anthropogenic warming.   </p><p> </p>

Interactions between ocean heat transport and Arctic sea ice

2020 ◽  
Author(s):  
David Docquier ◽  
Ramon Fuentes-Franco ◽  
Klaus Wyser ◽  
Torben Koenigk
Keyword(s):  
Sea Ice ◽  
Heat Transport ◽  
Climate Model ◽  
Global Climate ◽  
Global Climate Model ◽  
Arctic Sea Ice ◽  
Ocean Heat Transport ◽  
Arctic Sea ◽  
Fast Pace ◽  
Area And Volume

<p>Arctic sea ice has been retreating at fast pace in the last decades, with potential impacts on the weather and climate at mid and high latitudes, as well as the biosphere and society. Sea-ice loss is driven by anthropogenic global warming, atmospheric circulation changes, climate feedbacks, and ocean heat transport. To date, no clear consensus regarding the detailed impact of ocean heat transport on Arctic sea ice exists. Previous observational and modeling studies show that the poleward Atlantic Ocean heat transport and Arctic sea-ice area and volume are generally anti-correlated, suggesting a decrease in sea-ice area and volume with larger ocean heat transport. In turn, the changing sea ice may also affect ocean heat transport, but this effect has been much less studied. Our study explores the two-way interactions between ocean heat transport and Arctic sea ice. We use the EC-Earth global climate model, coupling the atmosphere and ocean, and perform different sensitivity experiments to gain insights into these interactions. The mechanisms by which ocean heat transport and Arctic sea ice interact are analyzed, and compared to observations. This study provides a way to better constrain model projections of Arctic sea ice, based on the relationships between ocean heat transport and Arctic sea ice.</p>

scholarly journals Ocean Heat Transport as a Cause for Model Uncertainty in Projected Arctic Warming

2011 ◽  
Vol 24 (5) ◽  
pp. 1451-1460 ◽  
Author(s):  
Irina Mahlstein ◽  
Reto Knutti
Keyword(s):  
Sea Ice ◽  
Heat Transport ◽  
General Circulation ◽  
General Circulation Models ◽  
Arctic Sea Ice ◽  
The Arctic ◽  
Ocean Heat Transport ◽  
Sea Ice Extent ◽  
Arctic Sea ◽  
Future Warming

Abstract The Arctic climate is governed by complex interactions and feedback mechanisms between the atmosphere, ocean, and solar radiation. One of its characteristic features, the Arctic sea ice, is very vulnerable to anthropogenically caused warming. Production and melting of sea ice is influenced by several physical processes. The authors show that the northward ocean heat transport is an important factor in the simulation of the sea ice extent in the current general circulation models. Those models that transport more energy to the Arctic show a stronger future warming, in the Arctic as well as globally. Larger heat transport to the Arctic, in particular in the Barents Sea, reduces the sea ice cover in this area. More radiation is then absorbed during summer months and is radiated back to the atmosphere in winter months. This process leads to an increase in the surface temperature and therefore to a stronger polar amplification. The models that show a larger global warming agree better with the observed sea ice extent in the Arctic. In general, these models also have a higher spatial resolution. These results suggest that higher resolution and greater complexity are beneficial in simulating the processes relevant in the Arctic and that future warming in the high northern latitudes is likely to be near the upper range of model projections, consistent with recent evidence that many climate models underestimate Arctic sea ice decline.

scholarly journals The Role of Ocean Heat Transport in the Global Climate Response to Projected Arctic Sea Ice Loss

2016 ◽  
Vol 29 (19) ◽  
pp. 6841-6859 ◽  
Author(s):  
Robert A. Tomas ◽  
Clara Deser ◽  
Lantao Sun
Keyword(s):  
Sea Ice ◽  
Heat Transport ◽  
Global Climate ◽  
Arctic Sea Ice ◽  
Climate System ◽  
Climate Response ◽  
Ocean Heat Transport ◽  
Dynamic Coupling ◽  
Arctic Sea ◽  
Arctic Sea Ice Loss

Abstract The purpose of this study is to elucidate the individual and combined roles of thermodynamic and dynamic ocean–atmosphere coupling in the equilibrium global climate response to projected Arctic sea ice loss using a suite of experiments conducted with Community Climate System Model, version 4, at 1° latitude–longitude spatial resolution. The results highlight the contrasting spatial structures and partially compensating effects of thermodynamic and dynamic coupling. In combination, thermodynamic and dynamic coupling produce a response pattern that is largely symmetric about the equator, whereas thermodynamic coupling alone yields an antisymmetric response. The latter is characterized by an interhemispheric sea surface temperature (SST) gradient, with maximum warming at high northern latitudes decreasing toward the equator, which displaces the intertropical convergence zone (ITCZ) and Hadley circulation northward. In contrast, the fully coupled response shows enhanced warming at high latitudes of both hemispheres and along the equator; the equatorial warming is driven by anomalous ocean heat transport convergence and is accompanied by a narrow equatorward intensification of the northern and southern branches of the ITCZ. In both cases, the tropical precipitation response to Arctic sea ice loss feeds back onto the atmospheric circulation at midlatitudes via Rossby wave dynamics, highlighting the global interconnectivity of the coupled climate system. This study demonstrates the importance of ocean dynamics in mediating the equilibrium global climate response to Arctic sea ice loss.

scholarly journals Impact of model resolution on Arctic sea ice and North Atlantic Ocean heat transport

2019 ◽  
Vol 53 (7-8) ◽  
pp. 4989-5017 ◽  
Author(s):  
David Docquier ◽  
Jeremy P. Grist ◽  
Malcolm J. Roberts ◽  
Christopher D. Roberts ◽  
Tido Semmler ◽  
...  
Keyword(s):  
Atlantic Ocean ◽  
Sea Ice ◽  
Heat Transport ◽  
North Atlantic ◽  
North Atlantic Ocean ◽  
Arctic Sea Ice ◽  
Model Resolution ◽  
Ocean Heat Transport ◽  
Arctic Sea

scholarly journals Mechanisms for low-frequency variability of summer Arctic sea ice extent

2015 ◽  
Vol 112 (15) ◽  
pp. 4570-4575 ◽  
Author(s):  
Rong Zhang
Keyword(s):  
Sea Ice ◽  
Heat Transport ◽  
Low Frequency ◽  
Arctic Sea Ice ◽  
The Arctic ◽  
Sea Ice Extent ◽  
Low Frequency Variability ◽  
Sea Ice Decline ◽  
Arctic Sea ◽  
Arctic Sea Ice Extent

Satellite observations reveal a substantial decline in September Arctic sea ice extent since 1979, which has played a leading role in the observed recent Arctic surface warming and has often been attributed, in large part, to the increase in greenhouse gases. However, the most rapid decline occurred during the recent global warming hiatus period. Previous studies are often focused on a single mechanism for changes and variations of summer Arctic sea ice extent, and many are based on short observational records. The key players for summer Arctic sea ice extent variability at multidecadal/centennial time scales and their contributions to the observed summer Arctic sea ice decline are not well understood. Here a multiple regression model is developed for the first time, to the author’s knowledge, to provide a framework to quantify the contributions of three key predictors (Atlantic/Pacific heat transport into the Arctic, and Arctic Dipole) to the internal low-frequency variability of Summer Arctic sea ice extent, using a 3,600-y-long control climate model simulation. The results suggest that changes in these key predictors could have contributed substantially to the observed summer Arctic sea ice decline. If the ocean heat transport into the Arctic were to weaken in the near future due to internal variability, there might be a hiatus in the decline of September Arctic sea ice. The modeling results also suggest that at multidecadal/centennial time scales, variations in the atmosphere heat transport across the Arctic Circle are forced by anticorrelated variations in the Atlantic heat transport into the Arctic.

scholarly journals Comparison of Mechanisms for Low-Frequency Variability of Summer Arctic Sea Ice in Three Coupled Models

2018 ◽  
Vol 31 (3) ◽  
pp. 1205-1226 ◽  
Author(s):  
Dawei Li ◽  
Rong Zhang ◽  
Thomas Knutson
Keyword(s):  
Sea Ice ◽  
Heat Transport ◽  
Low Frequency ◽  
Arctic Sea Ice ◽  
The Arctic ◽  
Coupled Models ◽  
Surface Warming ◽  
Low Frequency Variability ◽  
Sea Ice Decline ◽  
Arctic Sea

Abstract In this study the mechanisms for low-frequency variability of summer Arctic sea ice are analyzed using long control simulations from three coupled models (GFDL CM2.1, GFDL CM3, and NCAR CESM). Despite different Arctic sea ice mean states, there are many robust features in the response of low-frequency summer Arctic sea ice variability to the three key predictors (Atlantic and Pacific oceanic heat transport into the Arctic and the Arctic dipole) across all three models. In all three models, an enhanced Atlantic (Pacific) heat transport into the Arctic induces summer Arctic sea ice decline and surface warming, especially over the Atlantic (Pacific) sector of the Arctic. A positive phase of the Arctic dipole induces summer Arctic sea ice decline and surface warming on the Pacific side, and opposite changes on the Atlantic side. There is robust Bjerknes compensation at low frequency, so the northward atmospheric heat transport provides a negative feedback to summer Arctic sea ice variations. The influence of the Arctic dipole on summer Arctic sea ice extent is more (less) effective in simulations with less (excessive) climatological summer sea ice in the Atlantic sector. The response of Arctic sea ice thickness to the three key predictors is stronger in models that have thicker climatological Arctic sea ice.

Sign in / Sign up

Export Citation Format

Share Document