Flattening of the Phillips Curve with State-Dependent Prices and Wages

2021 ◽  
Author(s):  
James Costain ◽  
Anton Nakov ◽  
Borja Petit
Keyword(s):  
Phillips Curve ◽  
Decision Makers ◽  
Wage Rigidity ◽  
Monetary Transmission ◽  
Real Effects ◽  
State Dependent ◽  
Trend Inflation ◽  
Short Run ◽  
Money Shocks ◽  
Substantial Degree

Abstract We study monetary transmission in a model of state-dependent prices and wages based on ‘control costs’. Stickiness arises because precise choice is costly: decision-makers tolerate errors both in the timing of adjustments, and in the new level at which the price or wage is set. The model is calibrated to microdata on the size and frequency of price and wage changes. In our simulations, money shocks have less persistent real effects than in the Calvo framework; nonetheless, the model exhibits a substantial degree of non-neutrality, driven mainly by wage rigidity. State-dependent nominal stickiness implies a flatter Phillips curve as trend inflation declines, because price and wage adjustments become less frequent, making short-run inflation less reactive to shocks. Our model can explain almost half of the observed decline in the slope of the Phillips curve since 2000.

scholarly journals Non-linearities, state-dependent prices and the transmission mechanism of monetary policy

2021 ◽  
Author(s):  
Guido Ascari ◽  
Timo Haber
Keyword(s):  
Monetary Policy ◽  
Price Level ◽  
Transmission Mechanism ◽  
Monetary Policy Shocks ◽  
Real Effects ◽  
State Dependent ◽  
Trend Inflation ◽  
Policy Shocks ◽  
Linear Effects ◽  
State Dependent Pricing

Abstract A sticky price theory of the transmission mechanism of monetary policy shocks based on state-dependent pricing yields two testable implications, that do not hold in time-dependent models. First, large monetary policy shocks should yield proportionally larger initial responses of the price level. Second, in a high trend inflation regime, the response of the price level to monetary policy shocks should be larger and real effects smaller. Our analysis provides evidence supporting these non-linear effects in the response of the price level in aggregate US data, indicating state-dependent pricing as an important feature of the transmission mechanism of monetary policy.

scholarly journals Is Digitalization Driving Domestic Inflation?

2019 ◽  
Vol 19 (271) ◽  
Author(s):  
Balazs Csonto ◽  
Yuxuan Huang ◽  
Camilo Tovar Mora
Keyword(s):  
Economic Impact ◽  
Emerging Economies ◽  
Principal Components ◽  
Phillips Curve ◽  
Cointegration Analysis ◽  
Trend Inflation ◽  
Negative Effect ◽  
Short Run ◽  
Key Driver ◽  
Domestic Inflation

This paper examines the extent to which digitalization—measured by a new proxy based on IP addresses allocations per country—has influenced inflation dynamics in a sample of 36 advanced and emerging economies over 2000-2017. Phillips curve estimates show that digitalization has a statistically significant negative effect on inflation in the short run. Its economic impact is not large but has increased since 2012 and mainly operates through a cost/competition channel. Principal components and cointegration analysis further suggest digitalization is a key driver of lower trend inflation.

The Role of Different Channels in Transmitting Monetary Policy into Output and Price in Vietnam

2015 ◽  
pp. 20-40
Author(s):  
Vinh Nguyen Thi Thuy
Keyword(s):  
Monetary Policy ◽  
Exchange Rate ◽  
Interest Rate ◽  
Money Supply ◽  
Monetary Transmission ◽  
Impulse Response Functions ◽  
Short Run ◽  
The Exchange Rate ◽  
The Interest Rate ◽  
Interest Rate Channel

The paper investigates the mechanism of monetary transmission in Vietnam through different channels - namely the interest rate channel, the exchange rate channel, the asset channel and the credit channel for the period January 1995 - October 2009. This study applies VAR analysis to evaluate the monetary transmission mechanisms to output and price level. To compare the relative importance of different channels for transmitting monetary policy, the paper estimates the impulse response functions and variance decompositions of variables. The empirical results show that the changes in money supply have a significant impact on output rather than price in the short run. The impacts of money supply on price and output are stronger through the exchange rate and credit channels, but however, are weaker through the interest rate channel. The impacts of monetary policy on output and inflation may be erroneous through the equity price channel because of the lack of an established and well-functioning stock market.

The Real Effects of Military Spending on Security

2014 ◽  
Vol 20 (3) ◽  
pp. 377-393 ◽  
Author(s):  
Lloyd J. Dumas
Keyword(s):  
Military Spending ◽  
Well Being ◽  
Military Force ◽  
Physical Security ◽  
Dead Weight ◽  
Economic Relationships ◽  
Real Effects ◽  
Long Run ◽  
Short Run

AbstractThe indirect effects of military spending on security are stronger and more important than its direct effects, and its long run impact more telling than its short run impact. In the short run, military spending can be a source of both physical security and economic stimulus. In the long run, it can be counterproductive in terms of physical security and will be a dead weight on the economy. How a society’s productive resources are deployed, as between military spending and more economically productive activities, sets it on a long-term course with powerful implications for the ability of its economy to do what it is supposed to do – provide for the material well-being of the population as a whole. The mechanism by which the extensive and extended diversion of productive economic resources to economically unproductive military spending drags an economy down is analyzed. Furthermore, it is possible to use properly structured international and domestic economic relationships in place of threats or use of military force to increase national and international security, while at the same time enhancing, rather than degrading, economic wellbeing. Three principles for structuring such a “peacekeeping economy” are set forth.

How Does Innovation Affect Economic Growth? Evidence from G20 Countries

2021 ◽  
pp. 001946622110635
Author(s):  
Ajoy K Sarangi ◽  
Rudra P. Pradhan ◽  
Tamal Nath ◽  
Rana P. Maradana ◽  
Hiranmoy Roy
Keyword(s):  
Economic Growth ◽  
Causal Relationships ◽  
Jel Codes ◽  
The Real ◽  
Real Effects ◽  
Long Run ◽  
Short Run ◽  
Shed Light

We study the interactions between innovation and economic growth in G20 countries over 1961–2019. We establish whether there is a temporal causality between these two variables. Employing the autoregressive distributive lag framework, our results expose a grid of short-run and long-run causal relationships between innovation and growth, including long-run unidirectional causality from innovation to economic growth. Overall, our findings shed light on the real effects of innovation on economic growth. JEL Codes: O38, O31, O32

Sign in / Sign up

Export Citation Format

Share Document