scholarly journals Clinical application of the novel 4S-AF scheme for the characterisation of patients with atrial fibrillation: a report from the ESC-EHRA EORP Atrial Fibrillation General Long-Term (AFGen LT) registry

2021 ◽  
Vol 42 (Supplement_1) ◽  
Author(s):  
W.Y Ding ◽  
M Proietti ◽  
G Boriani ◽  
F Marin ◽  
C Blomstrom-Lundqvist ◽  
...  
Keyword(s):  
Risk Factors ◽  
Atrial Fibrillation ◽  
Left Atrial ◽  
Thromboembolic Event ◽  
Stroke Risk ◽  
Cox Regression ◽  
Cox Regression Analysis ◽  
All Cause Mortality ◽  
Atrial Enlargement

Abstract Background Current classification systems recommended by major international guidelines are based on a single domain of atrial fibrillation (AF): temporal pattern, symptom severity or underlying comorbidity. Lack of integration between these various elements limits our approach to patients with AF and acts as a barrier against the delivery of better holistic care. The 4S-AF classification scheme was recently introduced as a means for the characterisation of patients with AF. It comprises of 4 domains: stroke risk (St), symptoms (Sy), severity of AF burden (Sb) and substrate (Su). We sought to examine the implementation of the 4S-AF scheme in the EORP-AF General Long-Term Registry and effects of individual domains on outcomes in AF. Methods Patients with AF from 250 centres across 27 participating European countries were included. All patients were over 18 years old and had electrocardiographic confirmation of AF within 12 months prior to enrolment. Data on demographics and comorbidities were collected at baseline. Individual domains of the 4S-AF scheme were assessed using the CHA2DS2-VASc score (St), European Heart Rhythm Association classification (Sy), temporal classification of AF (Sb), and cardiovascular risk factors and the degree of left atrial enlargement (Su). Each of these domains were used during multivariable cox regression analysis. Results A total of 6321 patients were included in the present analysis, corresponding to 57.0% of the original cohort of 11096 patients. The median age of patients was 70 (interquartile range [IQR] 62–77) years with 2615 (41.4%) females. Among these patients, 528 (8.4%) had low stroke risk (St=0), 3002 (47.5%) no or mild symptoms (Sy=0), 2558 (40.5%) newly diagnosed or paroxysmal AF (Sb=0), and 322 (5.1%) no cardiovascular risk factors or left atrial enlargement (Su=0). Median follow-up was 24 months. Using multivariable cox regression analysis, independent predictors of all-cause mortality were (St) (adjusted hazard ratio [aHR] 8.21 [95% CI, 2.60–25.9]), (Sb) (aHR 1.21 [95% CI, 1.08–1.35]) and (Su) (aHR 1.27 [95% CI, 1.14–1.41]). For cardiovascular mortality and any thromboembolic event, only (Su) (aHR 1.73 [95% CI, 1.45–2.06]) and (Sy) (aHR 1.29 [95% CI, 1.00–1.66]) were statistically important, respectively. None of the domains were independently linked to ischaemic stroke or major bleeding. Conclusion Overall, we demonstrated that the 4S-AF scheme may be used to provide clinical characterisation of patients with AF using routinely collected data, and each of the domains within the 4S-AF scheme were independently associated with adverse long-term outcomes of all-cause mortality, cardiovascular mortality and/or any thromboembolic event. FUNDunding Acknowledgement Type of funding sources: None.

P1885Cha2ds-2vasc score lacks of ability to predict mortality in patients attending the emergency department with atrial fibrillation in the presence of troponin i

2019 ◽  
Vol 40 (Supplement_1) ◽  
Author(s):  
M I Gonzalez Del Hoyo ◽  
G Cediel ◽  
A Carrasquer ◽  
G Bonet ◽  
K Vasquez-Nunez ◽  
...  
Keyword(s):  
Heart Failure ◽  
Atrial Fibrillation ◽  
Emergency Department ◽  
Regression Analysis ◽  
Troponin I ◽  
Cox Regression ◽  
Cox Regression Analysis ◽  
All Cause Mortality

Abstract Background CHA2DS2-VASc score has been used as a surrogate marker for predicting outcomes beyond thromboembolic risk in patients with atrial fibrillation (AF). Likewise, cardiac troponin I (cTnI) is a predictor of mortality in AF. Purpose This study aimed to investigate the association of cTnI and CHA2DS2-VASc score with long-term prognosis in patients admitted to the emergency department with AF. Methods A retrospective cohort study conducted between January 2012 and December 2013, enrolling patients admitted to the emergency department with AF and having documented cTnI measurements. CHA2DS2-VASc score was estimated. Primary endpoint was 5-year all-cause mortality, readmission for heart failure (HF), readmission for myocardial infarction (MI) and the composite end point of major adverse cardiac events defined as death, readmission for HF or readmission for MI (MACE). Results A total of 578 patients with AF were studied, of whom 252 patients had elevated levels of cTnI (43.6%) and 334 patients had CHA2DS2-VASc score >3 (57.8%). Patients with elevated cTnI tended to be oldercompared with those who did not have cTnI elevation and were more frequently comorbid and of higher ischemic risk, including hypertension, prior MI, prior HF, chronic renal failure and peripheral artery disease. The overall median CHA2DS2-VASc score was higher in those with cTnI elevation compared to those patients elevated cTnI levels (4.2 vs 3.3 points, p<0.001). Main diagnoses at hospital discharge were tachyarrhythmia 30.3%, followed by heart failure 17.7%, respiratory infections 9.5% and acute coronary syndrome 7.3%. At 5-year follow-up, all-cause death was significantly higher for patients with cTnI elevation compared with those who did not have cTnI elevation (56.4% vs. 27%; logrank test p<0.001). Specifically, for readmissions for HF and readmissions for MI there were no differences in between patients with or without cTnI elevation. In addition, MACE was reached in 165 patients (65.5%) with cTnI elevation, compare to 126 patients (38.7%) without cTnI elevation (p<0.001). On multivariable Cox regression analysis, cTnI elevation was an independent predictor of all-cause death (hazard ratio, 1.67, 95% confidence interval [CI]: 1.24–2.26, p=0.001) and of MACE (hazard ratio 1.47, 95% confidence interval 1.15–1.88; P=0.002), but it did not reach statistical significance for readmissions for MI and readmissions for HF. CHA2DS2-VASc score was a predictor on univariate Cox regression analysis for each endpoint, but it did not reach significance on multivariable Cox regression analysis for any endpoint. Conclusions cTnI is independently associated with long-term all-cause mortality in patients attending the emergency department with AF. cTnI compared to CHA2DS2-VASc score is thus a biomarker with predictive capacity for mortality in late follow-up, conferring utility in the risk stratification of patients with atrial fibrillation.

scholarly journals Digoxin vs. beta-blocker therapy in atrial fibrillation: analysis from the ESC-EHRA EORP Atrial Fibrillation General Long-Term (AFGen LT) Registry

2021 ◽  
Vol 42 (Supplement_1) ◽  
Author(s):  
W.Y Ding ◽  
M Proietti ◽  
G Boriani ◽  
F Marin ◽  
C Blomstrom-Lundqvist ◽  
...  
Keyword(s):  
Risk Factors ◽  
Atrial Fibrillation ◽  
Beta Blocker ◽  
Blocker Therapy ◽  
Cox Regression Analysis ◽  
Beta Blocker Therapy ◽  
All Cause Mortality ◽  
Related Hospitalisation

Abstract Background There is a long-standing and unresolved controversy over the effects of digoxin on mortality. Furthermore, there is scarce evidence comparing the use of digoxin to beta-blocker in the general population with atrial fibrillation (AF). In this study, we aimed to evaluate the effects of digoxin over beta-blocker therapy among patients with AF. Methods Patients from the EORP-AF General Long-Term Registry with AF who were treated with either digoxin or beta-blocker were included. All patients were over 18 years old and had documented evidence of AF within 12 months prior to enrolment. The outcomes of interest were all-cause mortality, cardiovascular (CV) mortality, non-CV mortality and number of patients with unplanned hospitalisation (total and AF-related). These were recorded until the last known follow-up available. Results Of 6377 patients, 549 (8.6%) and 5828 (91.4%) were treated with digoxin and beta-blockers, respectively. Patients in the digoxin group were older (73 vs. 71 years, p&lt;0.001) with reduced renal function (eGFR 65.4 vs. 68.7 mL/min/1.73m2, p=0.002), and had (in general) greater burden of comorbidities in terms of chronic kidney disease, chronic obstructive pulmonary disease, heart failure, hypertension and peripheral artery disease. Nonetheless, the use of anticoagulation therapy was comparable between both groups (p=0.112). Over 24 months follow-up, there were 550 (8.6%) all-cause mortality and 1304 (23.6%) patients with unplanned emergency hospitalisation. Digoxin use was associated with increased all-cause mortality (hazard ratio [HR] 1.90 [95% CI, 1.48–2.44]), both from CV and non-CV causes (CV: HR 2.21 [95% CI, 1.49–3.26]); non-CV: HR 1.70 [95% CI, 1.04–2.79]). There was no statistical difference in terms of unplanned emergency hospitalisation (HR 0.99 [95% CI, 0.80–1.21]) and AF-related hospitalisation (HR 0.78 [95% CI, 0.58–1.06]) between both groups. Using multivariable cox regression analysis, digoxin compared to beta-blocker therapy was independently linked to increased all-cause mortality (HR 1.52 [95% CI, 1.11–2.09]) and CV mortality (HR 1.82 [95% CI, 1.11–2.97]), but was not related to non-CV mortality (HR 1.31 [95% CI, 0.71–2.41]), emergency hospitalisation (HR 0.91 [95% CI, 0.71–1.16]) or AF-related hospitalisation (HR 0.88 [95% CI, 0.62–1.24]), after adjustment for known risk factors. Conclusion We demonstrated that the use of digoxin was independently associated with excess all-cause mortality, driven by CV death, but was non-inferior to beta-blocker in terms of preventing unplanned emergency or AF-related hospitalisation, after accounting for important risk factors. FUNDunding Acknowledgement Type of funding sources: None.

scholarly journals Mild Malnutrition Contributes the Greatest to the Poor Prognosis in Coronary Artery Disease With Well-Controlled Low-Density Lipoprotein Cholesterol Levels: A 4,863 Chinese Cohort Study

2021 ◽  
Vol 8 ◽  
Author(s):  
Bo Wang ◽  
Zhaodong Guo ◽  
Jin Liu ◽  
Huanqiang Li ◽  
Ziling Mai ◽  
...  
Keyword(s):  
Risk Factors ◽  
Atrial Fibrillation ◽  
Coronary Artery Disease ◽  
Coronary Artery ◽  
Hazard Ratio ◽  
Cox Regression Analysis ◽  
All Cause Mortality ◽  
Independent Risk Factors ◽  
Artery Disease

Background: Previous studies reported that patients with coronary artery disease (CAD) and well-controlled baseline LDL-C (&lt;1.8 mmol/L) still had higher long-term all-cause mortality. However, no study has been conducted to explore the independent risk factors for long-term mortality. In addition, there also was no study evaluating the population attributable risk (PAR) of independent risk factors in combination with their prevalence and relative risk. Therefore, we aimed to identify the independent risk factors and estimate their PAR in patients with CAD and well-controlled baseline LDL-C (&lt;1.8 mmol/L).Methods: We analyzed 4,863 consecutive CAD patients with well-controlled baseline LDL-C admitted to Guangdong Provincial People's Hospital in China from January 2007 to December 2018. Independent risk factors for long-term all-cause death were evaluated through stepwise approach and multivariable Cox regression analysis. PAR of independent risk factors was calculated with their hazard ratio and prevalence among our cohort.Results: The overall mortality was 16.00% (n = 778) over a median follow-up period of 5.93 years. Independent risk factors for all-cause death included malnutrition, age ≥75 years, congestive heart failure (CHF), chronic kidney disease (CKD) and atrial fibrillation. Among these risk factors of interest, the hazard ratio (HR) of severe malnutrition was the highest (HR 2.82, 95% CI: 1.86–4.26), and the PAR of mild malnutrition was the highest (19.49%, 95% CI: 0.65–36.01%).Conclusion: Malnutrition, age ≥75 years, CHF, CKD and atrial fibrillation were independent predictors for long-term all-cause mortality in CAD patients with well-controlled LDL-C levels. Considering prevalence of these risk factors, more attention should be paid to the occurrence of mild malnutrition for these patients.Clinical Trial Registration:ClinicalTrials.gov, identifier: NCT04407936.

684 Cardiac troponins and adverse outcomes in European patients with atrial fibrillation: a report from the ESC-EHRA EORP atrial fibrillation general long-term registry

2021 ◽  
Vol 23 (Supplement_G) ◽  
Author(s):  
Marrco Vitolo ◽  
Vincenzo Livio Malavasi ◽  
Marco Proietti ◽  
Igor Diemberger ◽  
Laurent Fauchier ◽  
...  
Keyword(s):  
Atrial Fibrillation ◽  
Regression Analysis ◽  
Cox Regression ◽  
Adverse Outcomes ◽  
Cox Regression Analysis ◽  
Coronary Syndrome ◽  
Increased Risk ◽  
History Of ◽  
Cardiac Troponins

Abstract Aims Cardiac troponins (cTn) have been reported to be predictors for adverse outcomes in atrial fibrillation (AF), patients, but their actual use is still unclear. To assess the factors associated with cTn testing in routine clinical practice and to evaluate the association of elevated levels of cTn with adverse outcomes in a large contemporary cohort of European AF patients. Methods and results Patients enrolled in the ESC-EHRA EORP-AF General Long-Term Registry were stratified into three groups according to cTn levels as (i) cTn not tested, (ii) cTn in range (≤99th percentile), and (iii) cTn elevated (&gt;99th percentile). The composite outcome of any thromboembolism/any acute coronary syndrome (ACS)/cardiovascular (CV) death, defined as major adverse cardiovascular events (MACE) and all-cause death were the main endpoints. 10 445 (94.1%) AF patients were included in this analysis [median age 71 years, interquartile range (IQR): 63–77; males 59.7%]. cTn were tested in 2834 (27.1%). Overall, cTn was elevated in 904 (8.7%) and in-range in 1930 (18.5%) patients. Patients in whom cTn was tested tended to be younger (P &lt; 0.001) and more frequently presenting with first detected AF and atypical AF-related symptoms (i.e. chest pain, dyspnoea, or syncope) (P &lt; 0.001). On multivariable logistic regression analysis, female sex, in-hospital enrollment, first-detected AF, CV risk factors, history of coronary artery disease (CAD), and atypical AF symptoms were independently associated with cTn testing. After a median follow-up of 730 days (IQR: 692–749), 957 (9.7%) composite endpoints occurred while all-cause death was 9.5%. Kaplan–Meier analysis showed a higher cumulative risk for both outcomes in patients with elevated cTn levels (Figure) (Log Rank tests, P &lt; 0.001). On adjusted Cox regression analysis, elevated levels of cTn were independently associated with a higher risk for MACE [hazard ratio (HR): 1.74, 95% confidence interval (CI): 1.40–2.16] and all-cause death (HR 1.45, 95% CI: 1.21–1.74). Elevated levels of cTn were independently associated with a higher occurrence of MACE, all-cause death, any ACS, CV death and hospital readmission even after the exclusion of patients with history of CAD, diagnosis of ACS at discharge, those who underwent coronary revascularization during the admission and/or who were treated with oral anticoagulants plus antiplatelet therapy. Conclusions Elevated cTn levels were independently associated with an increased risk of all-cause mortality and adverse CV events, even after exclusion of CAD patients. Clinical factors that might enhance the need to rule out CAD were associated with cTn testing.

Abstract 15237: Serum Galectin-3 Level Predicts Late Recurrence Following Cryoballoon-based Pulmonary Vein Isolation in Lone Atrial Fibrillation Patients

Circulation ◽  
2014 ◽  
Vol 130 (suppl_2) ◽  
Author(s):  
Kadri M Gurses ◽  
Muhammed U Yalcin ◽  
Duygu Kocyigit ◽  
Hande Canpinar ◽  
Banu Evranos ◽  
...  
Keyword(s):  
Atrial Fibrillation ◽  
Left Atrial ◽  
Cardiac Fibrosis ◽  
Cox Regression ◽  
Independent Predictor ◽  
Interstitial Fibrosis ◽  
Early Recurrence ◽  
Cox Regression Analysis ◽  
Galectin 3 ◽  
Af Recurrence

BACKGROUND: Left atrial(LA) interstitial fibrosis is known to be a key contributor to atrial fibrillation(AF) development and maintenance. The role of galectin-3 in the pathogenesis of cardiac fibrosis has been demonstrated in previous studies. We aimed to determine whether serum galectin-3 level is an independent predictor for the late AF recurrence in patients with lone AF who underwent cryoballoon- based pulmonary ven isolation(PVI). METHODS: 100 patients (43.80% male, 56.95± 11.36 years) with lone AF who underwent cryoballoon-based PVI were included in the study. Pre-procedural galectin-3 levels were measured with ELISA. RESULTS: At a follow-up of 12 months, 76 (76%) patients were free of late AF recurrence. Body mass index(BMI) ( 25.04± 1.54 vs. 23.93± 2.08 kg/m2, p=0.002), AF duration [7 (3- 20) vs. 5 (1- 24) months, p=0.024], serum galectine-3 levels [11.10 (4.20- 33.80) vs. 5.70 (2.60- 12.40) ng/mL, p<0.001], left atrial diameter(LAD) (4.30± 0.40 vs.3.79± 0.42 cm, p<0.001) and incidence of early recurrence (60 vs 2%, p<0.001) were found to be significantly higher in patients with late AF recurrence. Serum galectin-3 levels (HR: 1.16, p<0.001), LAD (HR: 3.38, p= 0.042) and early recurrence (HR: 10.92, p<0.001) were found to be independent predictors of late AF recurrence in the multivariate Cox regression analysis. A cut-off level for serum galectin-3 level of 7.9 ng/mL predicted late AF recurrence in lone AF patients with a sensitivity of 93.33% and specificity of 87.76% (AUC: 0.910, p<0.001). CONCLUSION: Pre-procedural serum galectin-3 level is an independent predictor of late AF recurrence following cryoballoon-based PVI in patients with lone AF. Galectin-3 may serve as a novel biomarker to identify patients with high recurrence risk following AF ablation.

P3759Comparison of equations for renal function assessment and major adverse outcomes in atrial fibrillation: an analysis from the EORP-AF long-term general registry

2019 ◽  
Vol 40 (Supplement_1) ◽  
Author(s):  
G Boriani ◽  
M Proietti ◽  
C Laroche ◽  
E Fantecchi ◽  
M Popescu ◽  
...  
Keyword(s):  
Atrial Fibrillation ◽  
Renal Function ◽  
Regression Analysis ◽  
Creatinine Clearance ◽  
Cox Regression ◽  
Weighted Kappa ◽  
Adverse Outcomes ◽  
The Other ◽  
Cox Regression Analysis

Abstract Background Several equations exist to estimate creatinine clearance according to serum creatinine values and baseline characteristics. The CKD-EPI equation is usually recommended in general population, while the Cockroft-Gault (CG) equation has been used in atrial fibrillation (AF) clinical trials. Purpose To perform a comparison between 6 different equations for evaluation of renal function in AF patients. Methods We calculated CKD-EPI, CG, body surface area adjusted CG (CG BSA), MDRD, BIS1 and FAS equations in AF patients enrolled in the EORP-AF Long-Term General Registry. Outcomes at 1-year follow-up were considered. Results Renal equations were calculated in 7725 patients. According to CKD-EPI mean (SD) creatinine clearance was 69.14 (21.06) mL/min/1.73 m2. Taking CKD-EPI as reference, the MDRD equation showed the highest agreement (weighted kappa [95% CI]: 0.843 [0.833–0.852]), while CK showed the lowest agreement (weighted kappa [95% CI]: 0.593 [0.580–0.606]. The remaining equations showed moderate agreement. Cox regression analysis showed that all equations were inversely associated with all major adverse outcomes [Figure]. The CKD-EPI equation showed modest predictive ability for the three outcomes (c-statistics: any TE/ACS/CV Death: 0.63379; CV Death: 0.68512; All-Cause Death: 0.67183), with all other equations reporting higher c-statistics (delta-c statistic ranging from +0.01497 for FAS equation for any TE/ACS/CV Death to +0.04547 for CG BSA for all-cause death) for all outcomes (all p<0.0001, for any equation for any outcome). Compared to CKD-EPI, all the other equations showed an improvement in prediction of outcomes, according to IDI and NRI, with the exception of FAS equation for any TE/ACS/CV Death. CG BSA equation showed the greatest improvement in prediction of outcomes compared to CKD-EPI (relative IDI: 21.9% for any TE/ACS/CV Death, 28.8% for CV Death, 34.4% for All-Cause Death). Cox Regression Analysis Conclusions Compared to CKD-EPI equation, all the other equations for creatine clearance has stronger associations with adverse outcomes, with the CG BSA reporting the higher yield for all the outcomes considered.

scholarly journals CHA2DS2-VASc score, left atrial size and atrial fibrillation as stroke risk factors in the Tromsø Study

Open Heart ◽  
2016 ◽  
Vol 3 (2) ◽  
pp. e000439 ◽  
Author(s):  
Sweta Tiwari ◽  
Maja-Lisa Løchen ◽  
Bjarne K Jacobsen ◽  
Laila A Hopstock ◽  
Audhild Nyrnes ◽  
...  
Keyword(s):  
Risk Factors ◽  
Atrial Fibrillation ◽  
Left Atrial ◽  
Stroke Risk ◽  
Left Atrial Size ◽  
Stroke Risk Factors ◽  
Atrial Size

Sepsis associated new onset atrial fibrillation; risk factors and long term outcomes

2020 ◽  
Vol 41 (Supplement_2) ◽  
Author(s):  
V Moosavi ◽  
M Paymard ◽  
R Ebrahimi ◽  
T Harvey ◽  
N Parkes ◽  
...  
Keyword(s):  
Risk Factors ◽  
Atrial Fibrillation ◽  
Ischaemic Stroke ◽  
Major Bleeding ◽  
Rate Control ◽  
Statistical Significance ◽  
Significant Difference ◽  
All Cause Mortality ◽  
New Onset

Abstract Background Atrial fibrillation (AF) is commonly encountered in the setting of systemic inflammation or infection. The optimal management of AF in this cohort and their long-term AF-related clinical outcome are unknown. Purpose The aims of our study were to evaluate the traditional and non-traditional AF risk factors and long-term AF-related clinical outcomes in patients who were diagnosed with new onset AF in the setting of sepsis. Methods In this retrospective cohort study, we used the medical records to identify patients who were diagnosed with the new onset AF during hospitalization for sepsis at our centre between 2013 and 2017. The primary clinical outcomes included 24-month risk of ischaemic stroke, major bleeding (gastrointestinal or intracranial bleeding), the recurrence of AF and the all-cause mortality. The patients with known AF or those who died during the index admission were excluded from the analysis. Results 5598 patients were admitted to our hospital between 2013 and 2017 with sepsis. Of this cohort, 126 patients (mean age 69.7 years, 62.7% male) developed new onset AF during the index hospital admission (72.2% required ICU admission). 38 patients (30.1%) died during the initial hospitalisation while 88 patients (69.9%) were discharged from hospital (32% anticoagulated). 14 patients (16%) died within 24 months. Hypertension (59%), CKD (30%), diabetes (21%), and CCF (17%) were the most common risk factors. Mean CHA2DS2VASC score was 2.56±1.4 and mean HAS BLED score was 2.5±1.3. Mean CRP and WCC were 228±119 and 12.3±9.1 respectively. Comparing risk factors, only HASBLED score showed statistical significance on 24 months mortality (p=0.036, 95% CI 0.43–1.52). The composite incidence of all-cause mortality and ischaemic stroke was three times lower in anticoagulated patients compared with those who did not receive anticoagulation even though this did not reach statistical significance (7.1% v 21.6% respectively, p=0.07; RR=0.32; 95% CI=0.79–1.36). There was no statistically significant difference between the two groups for major bleeding events (3.5% v 3.3% respectively, p=0.68; RR=1.07; 95% CI=0.10–11.3). Rhythm and rate control therapies showed no significant difference on the composite outcome of all-cause mortality, ischaemic stroke and recurrence of AF (28.0% v 28.9%, p=0.92; RR=0.96, 95% CI=0.49–1.88), however, there was a trend towards less recurrence of AF in patients who received rate or rhythm control therapies (12% vs 18% respectively p=0.44; RR=0.67; 95% CI=0.24–1.85). Conclusions Our study suggests that anticoagulation therapy in patients with sepsis associated new onset AF may decrease composite of all-cause mortality and ischaemic stroke without increasing major bleeding risk. Rhythm and rate control strategies did not decrease all-cause mortality, ischaemic stroke or risk of recurrence of AF. These findings can provide benchmarks for design of randomized control trials. Funding Acknowledgement Type of funding source: None

Predictive value of ankle–brachial index for long-term events of ischemic stroke in hemodialysis patients

Vascular ◽  
2020 ◽  
pp. 170853812092595
Author(s):  
Kai-Ni Lee ◽  
Li-Ping Chou ◽  
Chi-Chu Liu ◽  
Tsang-Shan Chen ◽  
Eric Kim-Tai Lui ◽  
...  
Keyword(s):  
Risk Factors ◽  
Regression Analysis ◽  
Ischemic Stroke ◽  
Cox Regression ◽  
Ankle Brachial Index ◽  
Hemodialysis Patients ◽  
Serum Phosphate ◽  
Cox Regression Analysis

Objectives The ankle–brachial index is a noninvasive modality to evaluate atherosclerosis and is a predictive role for future cardiovascular events and mortality. However, few studies have evaluated its relation to long-term future ischemic stroke in hemodialysis patients. Therefore, we examined the relationship between ankle–brachial index and ischemic stroke events among hemodialysis patients in a seven-year follow-up. Methods A total of 84 patients were enrolled. Ankle–brachial index was assessed in January 2009. Primary outcomes included ischemic stroke. An ankle–brachial index < 0.9 was considered abnormal and 1.4 ≥ ankle–brachial index ≥ 0.9 to be normal ankle–brachial index. Results Mean values for ankle–brachial index were 0.98 ± 0.21at study entrance. In addition, 28 patients encountered ischemic stroke in the seven-year follow-up. In univariate Cox regression analysis, old age (hazard ratio (HR): 1.065, 95% confidence interval (CI): 1.030–1.102, p < 0.001), low seven-year averaged serum phosphate levels (HR: 0.473, 95% CI: 0.306–0.730, p = 0.001), and abnormal ankle–brachial index (HR: 0.035, 95% CI: 0.009–0.145, p < 0.001) were risk factors for ischemic stroke. In multivariate Cox regression analysis for significant variables in univariate analysis, abnormal ankle–brachial index (HR: 0.058, 95% CI: 0.012–0.279, p < 0.001) and low seven-year averaged serum phosphate levels (HR: 0.625, 95% CI: 0.404–0.968, p = 0.035) remained the risk factors for ischemic stroke. The risk of ischemic stroke was 3.783-fold in patients with abnormal ankle–brachial index compared with patients with normal ankle–brachial index (HR: 3.783, 95% CI: 1.731–8.269, p = 0.001). Conclusions These findings suggest that ankle–brachial index is an impressive predictor of future ischemic stroke among hemodialysis patients.

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