P6188Predicting type 2 diabetes mellitus: combining a genetic risk score with traditional risk factors

Background: In a previous survey, an elevated fasting glucose level (FG) and/or known type 2 diabetes mellitus (T2DM) were significantly more frequent in the Roma population than in the Hungarian general population. We assessed whether the distribution of 16 single nucleotide polymorphisms (SNPs) with unequivocal effects on the development of T2DM contributes to this higher prevalence. Methods: Genetic risk scores, unweighted (GRS) and weighted (wGRS), were computed and compared between the study populations. Associations between GRSs and FG levels and T2DM status were investigated in separate and combined study populations. Results: The Hungarian general population carried a greater genetic risk for the development of T2DM (GRSGeneral = 15.38 ± 2.70 vs. GRSRoma = 14.80 ± 2.68, p < 0.001; wGRSGeneral = 1.41 ± 0.32 vs. wGRSRoma = 1.36 ± 0.31, p < 0.001). In the combined population models, GRSs and wGRSs showed significant associations with elevated FG (p < 0.001) and T2DM (p < 0.001) after adjusting for ethnicity, age, sex, body mass index (BMI), high-density Lipoprotein Cholesterol (HDL-C), and triglyceride (TG). In these models, the effect of ethnicity was relatively strong on both outcomes (FG levels: βethnicity = 0.918, p < 0.001; T2DM status: ORethnicity = 2.484, p < 0.001). Conclusions: The higher prevalence of elevated FG and/or T2DM among Roma does not seem to be directly linked to their increased genetic load but rather to their environmental/cultural attributes. Interventions targeting T2DM prevention among Roma should focus on harmful environmental exposures related to their unhealthy lifestyle.

Download Full-text

Diabetes risk score in the United Arab Emirates: a screening tool for the early detection of type 2 diabetes mellitus

BMJ Open Diabetes Research & Care ◽

10.1136/bmjdrc-2017-000489 ◽

2018 ◽

Vol 6 (1) ◽

pp. e000489 ◽

Cited By ~ 15

Author(s):

Nabil Sulaiman ◽

Ibrahim Mahmoud ◽

Amal Hussein ◽

Salah Elbadawi ◽

Salah Abusnana ◽

...

Keyword(s):

Diabetes Mellitus ◽

Risk Factors ◽

Type 2 Diabetes ◽

Type 2 Diabetes Mellitus ◽

High Risk ◽

United Arab Emirates ◽

Risk Score ◽

Family History Of Diabetes ◽

Non Invasive

ObjectiveThe objective of this study was to develop a simple non-invasive risk score, specific to the United Arab Emirates (UAE) citizens, to identify individuals at increased risk of having undiagnosed type 2 diabetes mellitus.Research design and methodsA retrospective analysis of the UAE National Diabetes and Lifestyle data was conducted. The data included demographic and anthropometric measurements, and fasting blood glucose. Univariate analyses were used to identify the risk factors for diabetes. The risk score was developed for UAE citizens using a stepwise forward regression model.ResultsA total of 872 UAE citizens were studied. The overall prevalence of diabetes in the UAE adult citizens in the Northern Emirates was 25.1%. The significant risk factors identified for diabetes were age (≥35 years), a family history of diabetes mellitus, hypertension, body mass index ≥30.0 and waist-to-hip ratio ≥0.90 for males and ≥0.85 for females. The performance of the model was moderate in terms of sensitivity (75.4%, 95% CI 68.3 to 81.7) and specificity (70%, 95% CI 65.8 to 73.9). The area under the receiver-operator characteristic curve was 0.82 (95% CI 0.78 to 0.86).ConclusionsA simple, non-invasive risk score model was developed to help to identify those at high risk of having diabetes among UAE citizens. This score could contribute to the efficient and less expensive earlier detection of diabetes in this high-risk population.

Download Full-text