Do not underestimate the blood urea nitrogen-to-creatinine ratio in heart failure
Abstract Funding Acknowledgements Type of funding sources: None. Introduction The blood urea nitrogen-to-creatinine ratio (BUN/SCr) has been proposed as a prognostic marker in heart failure (HF). We aimed to evaluate whether BUN/SCr predicts mortality outcomes in a real-world Southern European population with decompensated chronic HF. Methods We retrospectively studied 1057 patients with chronic HF admitted to our emergency department between November 2016 and December 2017 with acute decompensation. We excluded patients with a GFR <15mL/min/m2 or on dialysis. The incidence of cardiovascular (CV) and all-cause death was evaluated through multivariable logistic regression models and by Kaplan-Meyer survival curves. Results 1025 patients were included, median age 80 years (IQR 73-85), 52.4% male, mean LVEF 42.8 ± 12.7%, and mean GFR 57.2 ± 23.9 mL/min/m2. Mean BUN/SCr was 24.9 ± 8.2 and mean SBP was 139 ± 29mmHg (r=-0.17, p < 0.001). After a median follow-up of 5 months (IQR 3-11 months), CV and all-cause death occurred in 8.0% and 21.6%, respectively. Mean BUN/SCr was higher in patients with fatal outcomes both for CV (31.3 vs. 24.3, p < 0.001) and all-cause death (28.6 vs. 23.8, p < 0.001). BUN/Scr was grouped by terciles: T1 (<20.78), T2 (20.78-27.15), T3 (>27.15). In the T3 group, the multivariable-adjusted OR for CV and all-cause death was 5.43 (95% CI 2.20-13.37) and 2.72 (95% CI 1.66-4.46), respectively, compared to the T1 group. No significant differences between T1 and T2 groups. Conclusions BUN/SCr at admission predicts CV and all-cause death in patients with chronic HF after an episode of decompensation. BUN/SCr, as an easy-to-use tool, helps to identify those patients who benefit from tight monitoring both during hospitalization and after discharge. Abstract Figure_1