scholarly journals Predictors of all-cause mortality among patients with implantable cardiac defibrillators for nonischemic heart failure with reduced ejection fraction

EP Europace ◽  
2021 ◽  
Vol 23 (Supplement_3) ◽  
Author(s):  
G Cinier ◽  
MI Hayiroglu ◽  
AC Yumurtas ◽  
Z Kolak ◽  
T Cetin ◽  
...  

Abstract Funding Acknowledgements Type of funding sources: None. Background Implantable cardiac defibrillators (ICD’s) are recommended in patients with heart failure with reduced ejection fraction (HFrEF) of nonischemic etiology. Determining patients who are at high risk despite ICD implantation is of clinical value. Methods Between 2009-2019 patients who were implanted ICD due to nonischemic HFrEF were included to the present analysis. Baseline characteristics, laboratory parameters and echocardiographic findings were obtained from the electronic database. The primary outcome was all-cause mortality. Appropriate and inappropriate device therapies were also extracted from the database and was confirmed with patients’ reports. Predictors for long term all-cause mortality was determined by using Cox regression analysis. Results Overall, 1199 patients were screened and 238 were eligible for the analysis. ICD’s were implanted for primary and secondary prevention in 68 (28.6%) and 170 (71.4%) of patients respectively. Multivariate analysis revealed that increased pro-BNP [Hazard ratio (HR): 1.001, 95% Confidence interval (CI): 1.000 – 1.001, p = 0.024] and reduced left ventricle ejection fraction (HR: 0.950, 95% CI: 0.907 – 0.994, p: 0.026) predicted all-cause mortality during long term follow up. Pro-BNP > 425 pg/ml has sensitivity and specificity of 74% for each in predicting all-cause mortality. Conclusion Among patients who were implanted ICD for HFrEF of nonischemic etiology, higher pro-BNP prior to the implantation and lower LVEF predicted all-cause mortality during long term follow up. Table 1Univariate analysisP valueHR (95% CI)Multivariate analysisP valueHR (95% CI)Diabetes mellitus0.0062.587 (1.315 - 5.090)Diabetes mellitus0.1441.837 (0.812 - 4.153)Atrial fibrillation0.0023.080 (1.531 - 6.195)Atrial fibrillation0.1811.738 (0.774 - 3.903)NYHA > 20.0172.394 (1.168 - 4.908)NYHA > 20.2531.642 (0.701 - 3.847)RDW0.0441.191 (1.005 - 1.412)RDW0.6461.046 (0.862 - 1.270)Lymphocytes0.0220.616 (0.408- 0.932)Lymphocytes0.1650.683 (0.399 - 1.170)Blood urea nitrogen0.0381.015 (1.001- 1.030)Blood urea nitrogen0.1521.015 (0.995 - 1.036)Pro-BNP<0.0011.001 (1.000 - 1.001)Pro-BNP0.0241.001 (1.000 - 1.001)Albumin<0.0010.252 (0.143 - 0.444)Albumin0.0790.525 (0.256 - 1.079)Ejection fraction<0.0010.921 (0.885 - 0.959)Ejection fraction0.0260.950 (0.907 - 0.994)LVEDD0.0011.408 (1.017 - 1.079)LVEDD0.1521.078 (0.973 - 1.194)LVESD0.0041.038 (1.012 - 1.065)LVESD0.2890.957 (0.883 - 1.038)Appropriate shock in follow-up0.0102.407 (1.237 - 4.684)Appropriate shock in follow-up0.1561.768 (0.805 - 3.883)Univariate and multivariate Cox regression analyses for long-term mortality after ICD implantation Abstract Figure 1

2021 ◽  
Author(s):  
Christina Strack ◽  
Susanne Bauer ◽  
Ute Hubauer ◽  
Ekrem Ücer ◽  
Christoph Birner ◽  
...  

Aim: The study focused on biomarkers of kidney injury as predictors of mortality in patients with chronic heart failure (CHF) in a long-term follow-up (median 104 months). Methods/results: KIM-1, NAG and NGAL were assessed from urine, NT-proBNP from blood samples. 149 patients (age 62 ± 12 years) with CHF (mean EF 30% [IQR 24–40%]) were enrolled. 79 (53%) patients died. Cox regression analysis revealed Log2NAG (HR: 1.46, CI: 1.12–1.89), Log2KIM-1 (HR: 1.23, CI: 1.02–1.49) and Log2NT-proBNP (HR: 1.50, CI: 1.32–1.72) as significant predictors of all-cause mortality as opposed to Log2NGAL (HR: 1.04, CI: 0.90–1.20). Log2NAG remained a significant predictor of all-cause mortality in a multivariate Cox regression model but lost its predictive value in combination with Log2NT-proBNP. Conclusion: The 10-year follow-up suggests NAG as a predictive tubular marker in CHF patients.


Author(s):  
Adelina Yafasova ◽  
Jawad H. Butt ◽  
Marie B. Elming ◽  
Jens C. Nielsen ◽  
Jens Haarbo ◽  
...  

Background: The Danish Study to Assess the Efficacy of Implantable Cardioverter-Defibrillators (ICDs) in Patients with Non-ischemic Systolic Heart Failure on Mortality (DANISH) found that primary-prevention ICD implantation was not associated with an overall survival benefit in patients with non-ischemic systolic heart failure during a median follow-up of 5.6 years, though there was a beneficial effect on all-cause mortality in patients ≤70 years. This study presents an additional four years of follow-up data from DANISH. Methods: In DANISH, 556 patients with non-ischemic systolic heart failure were randomized to receive an ICD and 560 to receive usual clinical care and followed until June 30, 2016. In this long-term follow-up study, patients were followed until May 18, 2020. Analyses were conducted for the overall population and according to age (≤70 and >70 years). Results: During a median follow-up of 9.5 years (25 th -75 th percentile, 7.9-10.9 years), 208/556 patients (37%) in the ICD group and 226/560 patients (40%) in the control group died. Compared with the control group, the ICD group did not have significantly lower all-cause mortality (HR 0.89 [95%CI,0.74-1.08]; P=0.24). In patients ≤70 years (n=829), all-cause mortality was lower in the ICD group than the control group (117/389 [30%] vs 158/440 [36%]; HR 0.78 [95%CI,0.61-0.99]; P=0.04), whereas in patients >70 years (n=287), all-cause mortality was not significantly different between the ICD and control group (91/167 [54%] vs 68/120 [57%]; HR 0.92 [95%CI,0.67-1.28]; P=0.75). Cardiovascular death showed similar trends (overall, 147/556 [26%] vs 164/560 [29%], HR 0.87 [95%CI,0,70-1.09], P=0.20; ≤70 years, 87/389 [22%] vs 122/440 [28%], HR 0.75 [95%CI,0.57-0.98], P=0.04; >70 years, 60/167 [36%] vs 42/120 [35%], HR 0.97 [95%CI,0.65-1.45], P=0.91). The ICD group had a significantly lower incidence of sudden cardiovascular death in the overall population (35/556 [6%] vs 57/560 [10%]; HR 0.60 [95%CI,0.40-0.92]; P=0.02) and in patients ≤70 years (19/389 [5%] vs 49/440 [11%]; HR 0.42 [95%CI,0.24-0.71]; P=0.0008), but not in patients >70 years (16/167 [10%] vs 8/120 [7%]; HR 1.34 [95%CI,0.56-3.19]; P=0.39). Conclusions: During a median follow-up of 9.5 years, ICD implantation did not provide an overall survival benefit in patients with non-ischemic systolic heart failure. In patients ≤70 years, ICD implantation was associated with a lower incidence of all-cause mortality, cardiovascular death, and sudden cardiovascular death. Clinical Trial Registration: URL: https://www.clinicaltrials.gov. Unique identifier: NCT00542945.


2020 ◽  
Vol 41 (Supplement_2) ◽  
Author(s):  
P Huang ◽  
C Liu

Abstract Background Lower systolic blood pressure (SBP) at admission or discharge was associated with poor outcomes in patients with heart failure and preserved ejection fraction (HFpEF). However, the optimal long-term SBP for HFpEF was less clear. Purpose To examine the association of long-term SBP and all-cause mortality among patients with HFpEF. Methods We analyzed participants from the Treatment of Preserved Cardiac Function Heart Failure with an Aldosterone Antagonist (TOPCAT) study. Participants had at least two SBP measurements of different times during the follow-up were included. Long-term SBP was defined as the average of all SBP measurements during the follow-up. We stratified participants into four groups according to long-term SBP: <120mmHg, ≥120mmHg and <130mmHg, ≥130mmHg and <140mmHg, ≥140mmHg. Multivariable adjusted Cox proportional hazards models were used to estimate hazard ratios (HRs) and 95% confidence intervals (CI) for all-cause mortality associated with SBP level. To assess for nonlinearity, we fitted restricted cubic spline models of long-term SBP. Sensitivity analyses were conducted by confining participants with history of hypertension or those with left ventricular ejection fraction≥50%. Results The 3338 participants had a mean (SD) age of 68.5 (9.6) years; 51.4% were women, and 89.3% were White. The median long-term SBP was 127.3 mmHg (IQR 121–134.2, range 77–180.7). Patients in the SBP of <120mmHg group were older age, less often female, less often current smoker, had higher estimated glomerular filtration rate, less often had history of hypertension, and more often had chronic obstructive pulmonary disease and atrial fibrillation. After multivariable adjustment, long-term SBP of 120–130mmHg and 130–140mmHg was associated with a lower risk of mortality during a mean follow-up of 3.3 years (HR 0.65, 95% CI: 0.49–0.85, P=0.001; HR 0.66, 95% CI 0.50–0.88, P=0.004, respectively); long-term SBP of <120mmHg had similar risk of mortality (HR 1.03, 95% CI: 0.78–1.36, P=0.836), compared with long-term SBP of ≥140mmHg. Findings from restricted cubic spline analysis demonstrate that there was J-shaped association between long-term SBP and all-cause mortality (P=0.02). These association was essentially unchanged in sensitivity analysis. Conclusions Among patients with HFpEF, long-term SBP showed a J-shaped pattern with all-cause mortality and a range of 120–140 mmHg was significantly associated with better outcomes. Future randomized controlled trials need to evaluate optimal long-term SBP goal in patients with HFpEF. Funding Acknowledgement Type of funding source: Foundation. Main funding source(s): China Postdoctoral Science Foundation Grant (2019M660229 and 2019TQ0380)


2019 ◽  
Vol 40 (Supplement_1) ◽  
Author(s):  
K Hu ◽  
D Liu ◽  
M Kirch ◽  
C Scheffold ◽  
F Liebner ◽  
...  

Abstract Background Right ventricular (RV) dysfunction is common in heart failure patients. In the present study, we determined the impact of echocardiography defined RV dysfunction on outcomes in heart failure patients with reduced ejection fraction (<40%, HFrEF) with and without chronic respiratory diseases (CRDs: asthma, chronic obstructive pulmonary disease, occupational lung diseases, sleep apnea syndrome). Methods A total of 1264 HFrEF patients (Mean age: 68±13 years; male: 76.3%) referred to our department between 2009 and 2017 were included. Baseline demographic and clinical data were obtained by reviewing the medical records. All patients subsequently completed a median clinical follow-up of 26 (12–40) months by medical record review or telephone interview. The primary endpoint was all-cause mortality or heart transplantation (HTx). Right heart morphology and function were assessed by multiple echocardiographic parameters, including right atrial area (RAA), RV mid diameter (RVD), tricuspid annular plane systolic excursion (TAPSE) and systolic pulmonary artery pressure (sPAP). Results The proportion of NYHA functional class III-IV was 42.2%. Mean LVEF was 29.4±7.0%. CRDs was identified in 276 (21.8%) patients, 399 (30.5%, without CRDs n=290, with CRDs n=109) patients died (n=386) or underwent HTx (n=13). All-cause mortality/HTx was significantly higher in HFrEF patients with CRDs than without CRDs (39.5% vs. 29.4%, P=0.001). Cox regression analysis showed that age, BMI, and other cardiac risk factors and comorbidities including diabetes, atrial fibrillation, coronary artery disease, kidney dysfunction, and anemia were associated with all-cause mortality/HTx (all P<0.05) besides CRDs. Multivariable Cox regression models showed that sPAP (HR 1.016, P<0.001), TAPSE (HR 0.964, P=0.003), RAA (HR 1.030, P<0.001), and RVD (HR 1.029, P<0.001) were independent determinants of all-cause mortality/HTx in HFrEF patients without CRDs, but not in HFrEF patients with CRDs after adjusted for above mentioned confounders. With the cut-off values (sPAP>40mmHg, TAPSE<12mm, RAA>25cm2, and RVD>36mm) derived from the 3rd quartiles, patients without CRDs were further grouped as normal RV function (all 4 parameters normal, n=427); mild to moderate RV dysfunction (1 or 2 parameters abnormal, n=467) and severe RV dysfunction (≥3 parameters abnormal, n=94). Risk of all-cause mortality/HTx was significantly higher in HFrEF patients with severe (51.1%) and mild to moderate RV dysfunction (34.7%) as compared to patients with normal RV function (18.7%, severe vs. normal: HR 1.616, 95% CI 1.232–2.119, P=0.001; mild to moderate vs. normal HR: 2.657, 95% CI 1.845–3.824, P<0.001). Conclusions RV dysfunction is significantly associated with increased all-cause mortality in HFrEF patients without CRDs. Increased sPAP, RAA, RVD and decreased TAPSE are independent determinants of worse outcomes in HFrEF patients without CRDs, but not in HFrEF patients with CRDs.


2019 ◽  
Vol 40 (Supplement_1) ◽  
Author(s):  
M I Gonzalez Del Hoyo ◽  
G Cediel ◽  
A Carrasquer ◽  
G Bonet ◽  
K Vasquez-Nunez ◽  
...  

Abstract Background CHA2DS2-VASc score has been used as a surrogate marker for predicting outcomes beyond thromboembolic risk in patients with atrial fibrillation (AF). Likewise, cardiac troponin I (cTnI) is a predictor of mortality in AF. Purpose This study aimed to investigate the association of cTnI and CHA2DS2-VASc score with long-term prognosis in patients admitted to the emergency department with AF. Methods A retrospective cohort study conducted between January 2012 and December 2013, enrolling patients admitted to the emergency department with AF and having documented cTnI measurements. CHA2DS2-VASc score was estimated. Primary endpoint was 5-year all-cause mortality, readmission for heart failure (HF), readmission for myocardial infarction (MI) and the composite end point of major adverse cardiac events defined as death, readmission for HF or readmission for MI (MACE). Results A total of 578 patients with AF were studied, of whom 252 patients had elevated levels of cTnI (43.6%) and 334 patients had CHA2DS2-VASc score >3 (57.8%). Patients with elevated cTnI tended to be oldercompared with those who did not have cTnI elevation and were more frequently comorbid and of higher ischemic risk, including hypertension, prior MI, prior HF, chronic renal failure and peripheral artery disease. The overall median CHA2DS2-VASc score was higher in those with cTnI elevation compared to those patients elevated cTnI levels (4.2 vs 3.3 points, p<0.001). Main diagnoses at hospital discharge were tachyarrhythmia 30.3%, followed by heart failure 17.7%, respiratory infections 9.5% and acute coronary syndrome 7.3%. At 5-year follow-up, all-cause death was significantly higher for patients with cTnI elevation compared with those who did not have cTnI elevation (56.4% vs. 27%; logrank test p<0.001). Specifically, for readmissions for HF and readmissions for MI there were no differences in between patients with or without cTnI elevation. In addition, MACE was reached in 165 patients (65.5%) with cTnI elevation, compare to 126 patients (38.7%) without cTnI elevation (p<0.001). On multivariable Cox regression analysis, cTnI elevation was an independent predictor of all-cause death (hazard ratio, 1.67, 95% confidence interval [CI]: 1.24–2.26, p=0.001) and of MACE (hazard ratio 1.47, 95% confidence interval 1.15–1.88; P=0.002), but it did not reach statistical significance for readmissions for MI and readmissions for HF. CHA2DS2-VASc score was a predictor on univariate Cox regression analysis for each endpoint, but it did not reach significance on multivariable Cox regression analysis for any endpoint. Conclusions cTnI is independently associated with long-term all-cause mortality in patients attending the emergency department with AF. cTnI compared to CHA2DS2-VASc score is thus a biomarker with predictive capacity for mortality in late follow-up, conferring utility in the risk stratification of patients with atrial fibrillation.


2019 ◽  
Vol 40 (Supplement_1) ◽  
Author(s):  
S L Kristensen ◽  
R Roerth ◽  
P S Jhund ◽  
S Beggs ◽  
L Kober ◽  
...  

Abstract Background Cardiac resynchronization therapy (CRT) improves survival in patients with heart failure, reduced ejection fraction (HFrEF) and left bundle branch block (LBBB). However, little is known about the incidence of LBBB in HFrEF and the risk factors for developing this. We addressed these questions in the PARADIGM-HF and ATMOSPHERE trials. Methods We identified 7703 patients with a non-paced rhythm on their baseline ECG, a QRS<130 ms, and at least one follow-up ECG (done at annual visits and end of study). Patients were stratified by baseline QRS duration (≤100 ms - reference; 101–115 ms and 116–129 ms) and followed until development of QRS duration ≥130 ms with a LBBB configuration or latest available ECG. The crude LBBB incidence rate per 100 person-years (py) was identified in the three QRS duration subgroups. Additionally, we examined risk of the primary composite outcome of cardiovascular death or HF hospitalization, and all-cause mortality, in patients with incident LBBB vs. no incident LBBB. Results Overall, 313 of 7703 patients (4%) developed LBBB during a mean follow-up of 2.7 years, yielding an incidence rate of 1.5 per 100 py. The rate ranged from 0.9 in those with QRS ≤100 ms to 4.0 per 100 py in patients with QRS 116–129 ms. Other predictors of incident LBBB included male sex, age, lower LVEF, HF duration and absence of AF. The risk of the primary composite endpoint was higher among those who developed incident LBBB vs no incident LBBB; event rates 13.5 vs 10.0 per 100 py, yielding an adjusted HR of 1.43 (1.05–1.96). For all-cause mortality the corresponding rates were 12.6 vs 7.3 per 100 py; HR 1.55 (1.16–2.07) (Table 1). Table 1. Risk of outcomes according to incident LBBB during follow-up No. events Crude rate per 100py Adjusted* HR (95% CI) HF hospitalization or CV death   No incident LBBB 2145 10.0 (9.6–10.4) 1.00 (ref.)   Incident LBBB 43 13.5 (10.0–18.2) 1.43 (1.05–1.96) All-cause mortality   No incident LBBB 1662 7.3 (6.9–7.6) 1.00 (ref.)   Incident LBBB 48 12.6 (9.5–16.7) 1.55 (1.16–2.07) Conclusion Among patients with HFrEF, the annual incidence of new-onset LBBB (and a potential indication for CRT), was around 1.5%, ranging from 1% in those with QRS duration below 100 ms to 4% in those with QRS 116–129 ms. Incident LBBB was associated with a much higher risk of adverse outcomes, highlighting the importance of repeat ECG monitoring in patients with HFrEF. Acknowledgement/Funding Novartis


2019 ◽  
Vol 40 (Supplement_1) ◽  
Author(s):  
B Muk ◽  
M Vamos ◽  
P Bogyi ◽  
Z S Majoros ◽  
D Vagany ◽  
...  

Abstract The angiotensin-converting enzyme inhibitors (ACEi) as cornerstone of neurohormonal drug regime reduce mortality and morbidity in heart failure with reduced ejection fraction (HFrEF) hence these drugs are recommended for every HFrEF patients without presence of contraindication or intolerance. However, there are controversial results regarding the incremental survival benefit of higher doses of these drugs used in HFrEF. In addition, achieving the highest doses (TD1) (20 mg < enalapril daily dose≤40 mg, or dose equivalent ACEi/ARB), of these drugs often accompanies side effects related to the uptitration, which may make it impossible to start other therapies proven to result in undoubtful mortality benefit (i.e. sacubitril/valsartan). Aim To assess the effect of TD1 of ACEi/ARB on mortality of HFrEF patients followed at a heart failure outpatient clinic (HFOC). Methods Data of 579 consecutive HFrEF patients, who hadn't been treated with an ACEi/ARB or were receiving ≤50% of doses equivalent with 20mg enalapril daily (TD2) at the time of initiation of care (NYHA: 3.1±0.8; LVEF: 27.5±6.6%; age: 61.1±13.0 years; male: 76.1%; ischemic: 46.8%; atrial fibrillation: 27.6%; diabetes: 34.9%; hypertension: 72.5%), followed at our HFOC was analysed. After therapy optimization (TO) ACEis/ARBs were applied in 96.5% and at least TD2 was reached in 55.9% of the total cohort, while TD1 of an ACEi/ARB was applied in 111 patients (19.2% of total cohort). BBs in 88.4%, target doses of BBs in 46.8%, MRAs in 57.0% of total cohort were used. To adjust for possible confounders, patients were matched based on the ACEi/ARB doses reached during TO applying propensity score matching (PSM) using the nearest neighbor matching (caliper: 0.2). All-cause mortality (ACM) was assessed using the Kaplan-Meier method and compared with the Cox proportional hazard model. Results After 7.1±4.7 years follow-up ACM of patients treated with TD1 of ACEis/ARBs was significantly lower than those treated with lower doses in the total cohort (HR=0.67; 95% CI=0.50–0.89; p=0.005). Applying multivariate Cox regression analysis the use of TD1 of an ACEi/ARB didn't remain independent predictor of survival; creatinine, NYHA f.c., age, sex, ischemic etiology were proved to be significant predictor of mortality. After PSM the survival of patients receiving TD1 of an ACEi/ARB didn't differ from those treated with lower doses (HR=0.84; 95% CI=0.61–1.14; p=0.27). Conclusions The current ESC guidelines recommend the use of target doses or maximal tolerated doses of ACEis or ARBs in HFrEF. In a real-world patient cohort whom all the effort was made to reach the target doses, ACM of patients treated with TD1 of an ACEi/ARB was significantly lower than those treated with lower doses, however this result wasn't independent from the patient characteristics. Beside that, after PSM the survival of patients treated with TD1 or with lower doses of an ACEi/ARB did not differ significantly.


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