scholarly journals The effect of including length structure in yield-per-recruit estimates for northeast Arctic cod

2007 ◽  
Vol 64 (2) ◽  
pp. 357-368 ◽  
Author(s):  
Cecilie Kvamme ◽  
Bjarte Bogstad

Abstract Kvamme, C., and Bogstad, B. 2007. The effect of including length structure in yield-per-recruit estimates for northeast Arctic cod. – ICES Journal of Marine Science, 64: 357–368. For northeast Arctic cod (Gadus morhua), traditional age-based estimates of yield per recruit (YPR) are compared with alternative, though comparable, YPR estimates calculated using an age–length-structured model. In the age–length-structured model, growth, fishing mortality, and natural mortality depend only on length, not on age. This model considers possible changes in size-at-age caused by, for example, a length-selective fishery, and therefore, by comparing the different YPR estimates, the importance of considering the stock's length structure can be evaluated. Length- and weight-at-age of stock and catches were influenced by exploitation pattern and pressure. Such changes are not considered in traditional estimates of YPR, for which weight-at-age is fixed and strictly speaking only representative for the current fishery. Consequently, traditional YPR estimates were somewhat higher than the age–length-based estimates for exploiting smaller fish than at present, and the other way round for exploiting larger fish. Both models indicated a gain in YPR for reducing just exploitation pressure (traditional YPR, 13%; alternative model, 20%) or both reducing exploitation pressure and postponing exploitation (traditional YPR, 23–31%; alternative model, 33–48%), compared with the current fishery.

2007 ◽  
Vol 64 (8) ◽  
pp. 1130-1142 ◽  
Author(s):  
Sondre Aanes ◽  
Steinar Engen ◽  
Bernt-Erik Sæther ◽  
Ronny Aanes

Models for fluctuations in size of fish stocks must include parameters that describe expected dynamics, as well as stochastic influences. In addition, reliable population projections also require assessments about the uncertainties in estimates of vital parameters. Here we develop an age-structured model of population dynamics based on catch-at-age data and indices of abundance in which the natural and fishing mortality are separated in a Bayesian state–space model. Markov chain Monte Carlo methods are used to fit the model to the data. The model is fitted to a data set of 19 years for Northeast Arctic cod (Gadus morhua). By simulations of the fitted model we show that the model captures the dynamical pattern of natural mortality adequately, whereas the absolute size of natural mortality is difficult to estimate. Access to long time series of high-quality data are necessary for obtaining precise estimates of all the parameters in the model, but some parameters cannot be estimated without including some prior information. Nevertheless, our model demonstrates that temporal variability in natural mortality strongly affects perceived variability in stock sizes. Thus, using estimation procedures that neglect temporal fluctuations in natural mortality may therefore give biased estimates of fluctuations in fish stock sizes.


2005 ◽  
Vol 62 (7) ◽  
pp. 1640-1650 ◽  
Author(s):  
Michael R Maxwell ◽  
Larry D Jacobson ◽  
Ramon J Conser

We develop a per-recruit model for the management of the California market squid (Loligo opalescens) fishery. Based on recent confirmation of determinate fecundity in this species, we describe how catch fecundity (i.e., eggs remaining in the reproductive tracts of harvested females) can be used to simultaneously infer fishing mortality rate along with management reference points such as yield-per-recruit, spawned eggs-per-recruit, and proportional egg escapement. Rates of mortality and egg laying have important effects on these reference points. Somewhat surprisingly, increasing the rate of natural mortality decreased spawned eggs-per-recruit while increasing proportional egg escapement. Increasing the rate of egg laying increased both spawned eggs-per-recruit and egg escapement. Other parameters, such as the maturation rate and gear vulnerability of immature females, affected the reference points. In actual practice, the influence of these parameters for immature squid may go undetected if immature squid are excluded from analysis of the catch. Application of this model to routine management is feasible but requires refinement of sampling procedures, biological assumptions, and model parameters. This model is useful because it is grounded on empirical data collected relatively inexpensively from catch samples (catch fecundity) while allowing for the simultaneous calculation of instantaneous fishing mortality rate and egg escapement.


1982 ◽  
Vol 39 (7) ◽  
pp. 1054-1058 ◽  
Author(s):  
R. B. Deriso

Fishing mortality constraints are derived for fishes harvested at the maximum sustainable yield (MSY) determined by a delay-difference population model. Those constraints depend upon rates of natural mortality and growth as well as a simple constraint placed on abundance of the exploited population. The results are generalized for a wider class of population models where it is shown that MSY fishing mortality is constrained often to be less than the fishing mortality which maximizes yield per recruit. Fishing mortality rates are lower in the delay difference model in comparison to MSY fishing rates in the logistic model, when a quadratic spawner–recruit curve is applied.Key words: delay-difference model, logistic model, fishing mortality, maximum sustainable yield, yield per recruit


1989 ◽  
Vol 46 (11) ◽  
pp. 1899-1903 ◽  
Author(s):  
John D. Neilson ◽  
W. R. Bowering

The effect of a minimum size regulation on yield and value per recruit in the Canadian Atlantic halibut fishery was examined. The model indicated that under most scenarios, the size limit would not result in increased yield per recruit. In general, yield per recruit was more sensitive to fishing mortality than age of first entry to the fishery. While reduced yields were usually associated with the minimum size limit, the value per recruit increased with increasing age at entry to the fishery until age 7. The changes in value per recruit reflected the size composition of landings following the imposition of the size limit and the different values associated with various size categories. Both yield and value per recruit were sensitive to the choice of the natural mortality rate.


2016 ◽  
Vol 73 (2) ◽  
pp. 246-256 ◽  
Author(s):  
Bjarte Bogstad ◽  
Natalia A. Yaragina ◽  
Richard D.M. Nash

Recruitment at age 3 of the Northeast Arctic cod (Gadus morhua) is highly variable. It has generally been believed that year-class strength for this stock is determined prior to settlement to the bottom after about 6 months. However, newer observations indicate that year-class strength may change considerably between settlement and recruitment at age 3. Our analyses cover the 1983–2009 year classes where comprehensive data from total egg production (TEP), surveys, and stock assessments were available for a thorough examination of these cohorts. On average, only 6 out of 1 million of a new generation at the TEP stage reaches the age of recruitment to the fishery. The between-cohort variability in abundance is greatest at the ages 0–1 stage. Although the mortality is highest during the first months of life, the year-class strength can also be affected considerably by processes taking place between the 0-group stage (∼6 months) and age 3. The mortality in this period of life seems to be strongly density-dependent, and cannibalism is an important source of mortality.


1995 ◽  
Vol 46 (3) ◽  
pp. 663 ◽  
Author(s):  
SA Shepherd ◽  
JL Baker ◽  
DW Johnson

The fecundity, size at sexual maturity, sex ratios and total mortality of Haliotis mariae on the Dhofar coast of the northern Arabian Sea were measured. These data, and estimates of the growth rate, were used for yield-per-recruit and egg-per-recruit analyses. Maximum yields occur at 3+ to 4+ years of age, depending on the natural mortality rate chosen. At the present age at first capture egg production levels are 2-29% of the unfished stock, depending on estimates of the fishing mortality rate and the natural mortality rate, and are considered to be far too low to maintain recruitment. At 40% egg production, of the maximum possible the age at first capture is 4 to 4.5 years, i.e. 105-115 mm shell length, depending on site.


2013 ◽  
Vol 19 (1) ◽  
pp. 1
Author(s):  
Zulkarnaen Fahmi ◽  
Syarifah Nurdawati ◽  
Freddy Supriyadi

Due to the economic importance of C. striata in Lubuk Lampam floodplains (Indonesia), this study is aimed to estimate the biological and population parameters required for proposing a future plan to sustain and manage this valuable fish resource. The growth, mortality and explotation ratio of <em>Channa striata</em> estimated by employing FiSATProgramme are reported. The parameters of Von Bertalanffy growth model of 1,529 sample fishes were estimated as K= 0.36/ year, L” = 72.98 cm and to = -0.52 year. The coefficients of total mortality (Z), natural mortality (M) and fishing mortality (F) were 1.72, 0.73 and 0.99 year-1 respectively. Relative yield per recruit analysis shows that the presentexploitation rate (E) was 0.58. Yield per recruit can be maximized at the exploitation ratio of 0.5 and Lc/Linf values of 0.3. The Yield per recruit and biomass per recruit models indicated that, the fisheries status of <em>C. striata</em> in Lubuk Lampam floodplains exceed the limit reference point (Fmax), thus stock of this species in Lubuk Lampam floodplains is indicated being driving down.Reduction in fishing effort and increase number of selective fishing gears are suggested to sustain the fishery of <em>Channa striata</em> in Lubuk Lampam floodplains.


2016 ◽  
Vol 73 (3) ◽  
pp. 349-357 ◽  
Author(s):  
Christopher M. Legault ◽  
Michael C. Palmer

Traditionally, the natural mortality rate (M) in a stock assessment is assumed to be constant. When M increases within an assessment, the question arises how to change the fishing mortality rate target (FTarget). Per recruit considerations lead to an increase in FTarget, while limiting total mortality leads to a decrease in FTarget. Application of either approach can result in nonsensical results. Short-term gains in yield associated with high FTarget values should be considered in light of potential losses in future yield if the high total mortality rate leads to a decrease in recruitment. Examples using yellowtail flounder (Limanda ferruginea) and Atlantic cod (Gadus morhua) are used to demonstrate that FTarget can change when M increases within an assessment and to illustrate the consequences of different FTarget values. When a change in M within an assessment is contemplated, first consider the amount and strength of empirical evidence to support the change. When the empirical evidence is not strong, we recommend using a constant M. If strong empirical evidence exists, we recommend estimating FTarget for a range of stock–recruitment relationships and evaluating the trade-offs between risk of overfishing and forgone yield.


2014 ◽  
Vol 74 (1) ◽  
pp. 226-230 ◽  
Author(s):  
CP Campos ◽  
CEC Freitas

We evaluated the stock of peacock bass Cichla monoculus caught by a small-scale fishing fleet in Lago Grande at Manacapuru. The database was constructed by monthly samplings of 200 fish between February 2007 and January 2008. We measured the total length (cm) and total weight (gr) of each fish. We employed previously estimated growth parameters to run a yield per recruit model and analyse scenarios changing the values of the age of the first catch (Tc), natural mortality (M), and fishing mortality (F). Our model indicated an occurrence of overfishing because the fishing effort applied to catch peacock in Lago Grande at Manacapuru is greater than that associated with the maximum sustainable yield. In addition, the actual size of the first catch is almost half of the estimated value. Although there are difficulties in enforcing a minimum size of the catch, our results show that an increase in the size of the first catch to at least 25 cm would be a good strategy for management of this fishery.


2015 ◽  
Vol 73 (4) ◽  
pp. 1062-1073 ◽  
Author(s):  
Samuel B. Truesdell ◽  
Deborah R. Hart ◽  
Yong Chen

Abstract Conventional yield-per-recruit (Y/R) and spawning-stock biomass-per-recruit (SSB/R) models make no allowance for spatial heterogeneity in fishing mortality, natural mortality, or growth across the stock area, although variability in these processes can affect model results. For example, areas with higher growth and/or lower natural mortality rates should be fished at a lower rate to maximize Y/R; however, these areas may be especially attractive to fishers and are often fished harder. Here, Y/R and SSB/R models are developed that simultaneously account for spatial heterogeneity in growth and fishing effort. These models are applied to the US Atlantic sea scallop (Placopecten magellanicus) fishery. The spatial variability in growth uses depth-integrated models from the literature and variability in effort is based on, alternatively, uniform, observed, and relative-optimal spatial harvesting distributions. The observed effort patterns are derived from vessel monitoring system positions, and illustrate one application for these widely collected but underutilized spatial data. In this example, the distribution of observed fishing effort reduces Y/R compared with the relative-optimal, or the uniform effort distribution implicitly assumed by conventional Y/R analysis. SSB/R was in some cases considerably higher under the relative-optimal distribution of effort than when calculated using observed or uniform effort patterns. Such more realistic spatially integrated Y/R and SSB/R models can help to evaluate the impact of effort patterns on fishery yield and stock egg production. These models demonstrate that the spatial distribution of effort can be as important as the overall average fishing mortality when managing fisheries to optimize Y/R, SSB/R, and yield.


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