Identifying Beliefs and Inferences

Author(s):  
Stephanie Dornschneider

This chapter analyzes direct speech to identify reasoning processes underlying participation in the Arab Spring protests. First, it introduces Corbin and Strauss’ qualitative open and axial coding procedures. The author introduces this coding scheme and explains how it was constructed. The chapter then presents numerous excerpts from interviews as well as Facebook entries and explains, line by line, how these coding procedures were applied to identify the main components of reasoning processes: beliefs, direct and indirect inferences, and decisions to join the uprisings or to stay at home instead. The chapter describes how emotions, which were central to protest decisions, were identified from direct speech by referring to the psychology literature on hope, courage, pride, and solidarity. It also elaborates on the analysis of quotes expressing safety considerations, which were central to decisions to stay at home.

Author(s):  
Stephanie Dornschneider

Why did people mobilize for the Arab Spring? While existing research has focused on the roles of authoritarian regimes, oppositional structures, and social grievances in the movement, these explanations fail to address differences in the behavior of individuals, overlooking the fact that even when millions mobilized for the Arab Spring, the majority of the population stayed at home. To investigate this puzzle, this book traces the reasoning processes by which individuals decided to join the uprisings or to refrain from doing so. Drawing from original ethnographic interviews with protestors and non-protestors in Egypt and Morocco, Dornschneider utilizes qualitative methods and computational modeling to identify the main components of reasoning processes: beliefs, inferences (directed connections between beliefs), and decisions. Bridging the psychology literature on reasoning and the political science literature on protest, this book systematically traces how decisions about participating in the Arab Spring were made. It shows that decisions to join the uprisings were “hot,” meaning they were based on positive emotions, while decisions to stay at home were “cool,” meaning they were based on safety considerations. Hot Contention, Cool Abstention adds to the extensive literature on political uprisings, offering insights on how and why movements start, stall, and evolve.


Author(s):  
Stephanie Dornschneider

This chapter presents the findings of the computational analysis. Confirming the literature on hot cognition and emotions in general, it shows that decisions to mobilize for the Arab Spring were primarily motivated by beliefs about positive emotions (solidarity, courage, hope, national pride). On the contrary, decisions to stay at home were not motivated by beliefs about emotions but instead were triggered by beliefs about living in safety, improving living conditions, and state approval. The author organizes the results around the particular findings related to protestors and non-protesters and the key antecedents of their decision to protest or stay at home.


2015 ◽  
Vol 2 (1-2) ◽  
pp. 119-134
Author(s):  
Imtiaz Ahmed

Arab Awakening or Arab Spring has caught the imagination of many and has been a subject of intense discussions both at home and abroad. But then what impact did it have outside the Arab world, indeed, in places which remains related to it theologically, economically, socially, gastronomically, through ideas and dogmas such as Bangladesh? Will the impact be limited to politics or will it include the religious discourses as well? Will it boost the economy or see a decline? What about the Bangladeshi diaspora in the Middle East-will it play a different role and contribute to the economic and social discourses back home now that the Arab world is on the way of experiencing greater freedom? Will it transform the religious discourses that have lately infected Bangladesh? Or, will the spirit of the Arab spring be used for narrow political goals? Answers, however, may not be as easy as the queries. The article will try to explain as to why that is the case.


Author(s):  
Necati Polat

This chapter reviews the government policies in Turkey in a host of long outstanding issue areas, mostly predating the AKP rule, such as the tension between piety and secularism, especially in exercises of free speech, with a freshly acquired zeal on the part of the judiciary towards ‘protecting religious values’, in effect cases of deemed ‘blasphemy’ against Islam; the basic Alevi rights towards a full recognition, which fell on deaf ears as before; gross impunity of the security forces in tackling the Kurdish insurgence, as in the Roboskî massacre of 2011; and the domestic debate on the ghastly fate of the Ottoman Armenians, traced here through the baffling mysteries of the Dink assassination in 2007. The chapter also comments on the purported government complicity in the jihadist bloodbath in the greater region following the Arab Spring and on the attendant allegations of its ‘international crimes’, especially in Syria.


Author(s):  
Stephanie Dornschneider

This chapter introduces the main research puzzle and the analytical framework of the book. To determine what motivated people to mobilize for the Arab Spring, the analysis applies belief systems and traces the reasoning processes of protesters and non-protesters. The chapter discusses what this application adds to the psychology literature on reasoning as well as the political science literature on contentious politics. The chapter outlines the main argument presented by the analysis—that mobilization for the uprisings was hot, meaning people decided to join the Arab Spring based on reasoning processes including emotions, whereas non-participation was cool, meaning people decided to refrain from joining the protests based on reasoning processes not including emotions.


Author(s):  
Efstratia Arampatzi ◽  
Martijn Burger ◽  
Elena Ianchovichina ◽  
Tina Röhricht ◽  
Ruut Veenhoven
Keyword(s):  

2019 ◽  
Vol 3 (6) ◽  
pp. 1
Author(s):  
Muhannad Al Janabi Al Janabi

Since late 2010 and early 2011, the Arab region has witnessed mass protests in Tunisia, Egypt, Libya, Syria, Yemen, Iraq, Bahrain and other countries that have been referred to in the political, media and other literature as the Arab Spring. These movements have had a profound effect on the stability of the regimes Which took place against it, as leaders took off and contributed to radical reforms in party structures and public freedoms and the transfer of power, but it also contributed to the occurrence of many countries in an internal spiral, which led to the erosion of the state from the inside until it became a prominent feature of the Arab) as is the case in Syria, Libya, Yemen and Iraq.


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