scholarly journals International Financial Integration and Crisis Contagion

2019 ◽  
Vol 87 (3) ◽  
pp. 1174-1212 ◽  
Author(s):  
Michael B Devereux ◽  
Changhua Yu
Keyword(s):  
Financial Markets ◽  
Market Integration ◽  
Solution Method ◽  
Financial Integration ◽  
Trade Off ◽  
Developed Economies ◽  
International Financial Integration ◽  
State Of The Economy ◽  
Cross Country ◽  
The Impact

Abstract International financial integration helps to diversify risk but also may spread crises across countries. We provide a quantitative analysis of this trade-off in a two-country general equilibrium model with collateral-constrained borrowing using a global solution method. Borrowing constraints bind occasionally, depending upon the state of the economy and levels of inherited debt. We examine different degrees of international financial integration, moving from financial autarky, to bond and equity market integration. Financial integration leads to a significant increase in global leverage, substantially escalates the probability of crises for any one country, and dramatically increases the degree of “contagion” across countries. Outside of crises, the impact of financial integration on macroeconomic aggregates is relatively small. But the impact of a crisis with integrated international financial markets is much less severe than that under financial market autarky. Thus, a trade-off emerges between the probability of crises and the severity of crises. Using a large cross-country database of financial crises in developing and developed economies over a forty-year period, we find evidence in support of the model.

International Financial Integration, Investment and Economic Performance in Sub-Saharan African Countries

2011 ◽  
Vol 11 (4) ◽  
pp. 1850239 ◽  
Author(s):  
Abdullahi D. Ahmed
Keyword(s):  
Economic Growth ◽  
Financial Markets ◽  
Market Integration ◽  
Capital Investment ◽  
Financial Integration ◽  
Real Economy ◽  
African Countries ◽  
Financial Openness ◽  
International Financial Integration ◽  
The Impact

This paper examines the issues of international and regional financial integration and its impact taking a sample 25 SSA countries. The research tests both the direct and indirect channels through which the impact of financial integration works and is transmitted to the real economy. Directly, it is argued that financial openness affects economic growth through enabling access to foreign financial markets, increasing financial service efficiency and helping in diversification of risks and consumption smoothing. Thus while inducing additional capital investment, it also fosters macroeconomic discipline. Indirectly, the process of international financial integration facilitates the transfer of technological know-how, promotes trade and enhances specialization. While financial openness of recent years has laid a strong foundation to consolidate financial integration between regions and with international financial markets, we do not observe a robust link between financial openness and economic growth in SSA region. The empirical analysis considers the possibility of a positive indirect effect, and we report evidence in favour of the indirect transmission root. From our results, we observe a positive and statistically significant association between international financial integration and financial development under all its selected indicators. This finding suggests that financial capital market integration aids growth indirectly through promoting domestic financial markets. The study reports evidence suggesting that good institutions, higher level of human capital, and stable macroeconomic environment play an important role in mitigating the negative impacts of international financial openness.

scholarly journals Role of International Financial Integration on Financial Market Development of Euro Area Countries

2019 ◽  
pp. 91-100
Author(s):  
Irfan Alam
Keyword(s):  
Financial Market ◽  
Euro Area ◽  
Financial Integration ◽  
Price Volatility ◽  
Share Price ◽  
Market Development ◽  
International Financial Integration ◽  
Financial Market Development ◽  
The Impact

The aim of this paper is to investigate the role of international financial integration into financial market development of Euro area countries. Annual dataset from 1998 to 2014 by using multiple regression method. The study focuses on financial integration on determining the impact on financial market development. Overall results confirming the significant positive and negative effect of international financial integration (Stock traded& share price and stock turnover ratio, respectively) while insignificant positive andnegative effect of financial integration (financial assets and liabilities and share price volatility, respectively) on financial market development. The finding provides strong evidence of achieving higher financial market development due to the drivers of financial integration.

scholarly journals Volatility in Discretionary Public Spending and Economic Growth: A Cross Country Analysis

2020 ◽  
Vol 59 (1) ◽  
pp. 45-68
Author(s):  
Muhsin Ali ◽  
Karim Khan
Keyword(s):  
Economic Growth ◽  
Economic Performance ◽  
Developing Economies ◽  
Public Spending ◽  
Jel Classification ◽  
Developed Economies ◽  
Potential Control ◽  
Country Analysis ◽  
Cross Country ◽  
The Impact

Volatility in discretionary public spending has diverse implications for the overall economic performance of economies. In this study, we examine the impact of volatile non�systematic discretionary public spending on economic growth. By employing cross-country data of 74 developed and developing economies, we find that volatility in non-systematic discretionary public spending has an adverse impact on economic growth. In particular, such impact is severe in the case of less developed economies. Our findings are robust to the problem of endogeneity. In order to ensure the accuracy of the results, we conduct sufficient sensitivity analysis by incorporating a bunch of potential control variables. In most of the cases, the results with regard to the policy volatility remain intact. This suggests that effective spending rules, i.e. permanent numerical limits, should be imposed on budgetary aggregates to restrain governments from the volatile use of discretionary spending. JEL Classification: H3; H5 Keywords: Volatility in Discretionary Public Spending, Economic Growth, Effective Spending Rule

scholarly journals Financial integration and macroeconomic volatility in Zimbabwe

2020 ◽  
Vol 22 (2) ◽  
pp. 229-248
Author(s):  
Richard Makoto
Keyword(s):  
Capital Flows ◽  
Financial Integration ◽  
Negative Impact ◽  
Content Type ◽  
Financial Repression ◽  
Macroeconomic Volatility ◽  
International Financial Integration ◽  
Negative Effect ◽  
Short Time ◽  
The Impact

PurposeMany developing countries are pursuing policies that foster international financial integration after decades of financial repression. Greater access to foreign financial markets may have both positive and negative impact on the performance of the economy. One of the concerns of international financial integration is macroeconomic volatility which may affect both monetary and real sectors. Zimbabwe has chosen to pursue a financial liberalization strategy in the form of imperfect financial integration following periods of excessive domestic shocks. An upsurge of capital flows since the epic of economic crisis in the 2000s has been observed with varying macroeconomic impacts. This study empirically examines the impact of partial international financial integration on the volatility of macroeconomic variables.Design/methodology/approachThe study utilized an ARDL Model suggested by Pesaran et al., (2003) which is appropriate for short time periods.FindingsThe results show that financial integration has a negative effect on output volatility while insignificant on consumption volatility.Practical implicationsThe study recommends that the country should gradually liberalize the capital account and properly sequence financial development reforms in order to minimize losses from global financial integration.Originality/valueThe study used time series for Zimbabwe during a period of external imbalance, repeated economic cycles, sudden stops in capital flows and limited scope of imperfect financial integration. Findings in such an economy will be a referral for policymakers in other economies that would want to pursue international financial integration.

institutional framework of the classical gold standard: examining the first historical wave of financial globalization

2013 ◽  
Vol 16 (1) ◽  
Author(s):  
Alexandre Ottoni Teatini Salles
Keyword(s):  
Financial Markets ◽  
Gold Standard ◽  
Financial Integration ◽  
Institutional Framework ◽  
Late Nineteenth Century ◽  
Extensive Literature ◽  
Financial Globalization ◽  
International Financial Integration ◽  
The First World War ◽  
First World

Economic historians have published an extensive literature discussing the reasons for the emergence of the global financial markets from the late nineteenth century until the beginning of the First World War. They have presented different interpretations and methods to deal with the complexity of the financial globalization period, however, many of them does not take into account two related aspects to the formation of global financial markets that are crucial for this article: 1) the role of institutions by institutional furniture to the international financial integration; and 2) the importance of the institutional framework evolution from a historical perspective for the emergence of the gold standard. The article examines the role played by the institutions in the process of global markets integration in the 1870-1914 period. Therefore, it deals with the economic policy that was implemented by core countries of the time, and with technological innovations that have led to financial integration, such as mechanical minting coinage, the telegraph and the telephone. The main conclusion is that the evolution of a dense network of historically specific institutions lies on the foundations of the classical gold regime. 

FINANCIAL MARKET INTEGRATION OF ASEAN-5 WITH CHINA: AN ECONOPHYSICS APPROACH

2020 ◽  
Author(s):  
Rui Dias ◽  
◽  
Paula Heliodoro ◽  
Paulo Alexandre ◽  
Cristina Vasco ◽  
...  
Keyword(s):  
Stock Market ◽  
Financial Markets ◽  
Market Integration ◽  
Open Space ◽  
Financial Integration ◽  
Weak Form ◽  
International Markets ◽  
Portfolio Diversification ◽  
Stock Market Crash ◽  
Regional Markets

The main objective of this research is to estimate whether portfolio diversification is feasible in the financial markets of Indonesia, Malaysia, Philippines, Singapore and Thailand (ASEAN-5), and the market of China, in the context of the stock market crash in China in 2015. The purpose is to answer two questions, namely whether: (i) has the stock market crash in China increased financial integration in the ASEAN-5 financial markets and China? (ii) If the presence of long memories may put in question the diversification of portfolios? The results suggest that these markets are segmented, except for Malaysia/Singapore, bi-directional, and China/Filipinas, pre-crash. However, when analysing the stock market crash period, the results indicate 16 integrated market pairs with structure breakdown (in 30 possible). When compared with the previous sub-period it was found that during the stock market crash the level of financial integration increased significantly (533%). In the post-crash period, there were right integrated market pairs with broken structure. When compared to the crash period, the level of integration decreased in 50%. In addition, we observed that during the stock market crash these Asian markets did not have long memories, except for the Malaysian market, which reveals some predictability, that is, the increase in integration does not lead to persistence in these Asian markets. In conclusion, the ASEAN-5 markets and China mostly exhibit strong signs of efficiency in their weak form. The authors consider that the implementation of portfolio diversification strategies is beneficial for investors. These conclusions also open space for market regulators to take action to ensure better information between these regional markets and international markets.

scholarly journals Social Media’s Impact on the Global Mergers and Acquisitions Market

2021 ◽  
Vol 14 (4) ◽  
pp. 157
Author(s):  
Dulani Jayasuriya ◽  
Ben O’Neill
Keyword(s):  
Social Media ◽  
Mergers And Acquisitions ◽  
Financial Markets ◽  
Public Information ◽  
The Internet ◽  
Media Influence ◽  
Sample Period ◽  
Cross Country ◽  
The Impact

This study analyses the impact of social media popularity on the global mergers and acquisitions (M&A) market using a sample of 66,905 M&A transactions across 50 countries for the sample period from 2011 to 2017. Social media influence on M&A transactions is tested using competing bids and proportion of cash paid in the transaction deal characteristics. We find that social media popularity has increased the probability of competing bids by 7.7% across countries and the proportion of cash paid in transactions decreased by 2.5% across countries. The results of additional analyses using the introduction of the internet are consistent with the conclusion that technologies that enhance the transmission of public information have an effect on the M&A variables tested. We test the robustness of our results using subsample analysis and placebo tests. This study is distinct from existing literature due to its globally diverse M&A dataset, unique social media and internet data, and cross-country approach to social media’s influence on financial markets.

scholarly journals INVESTIGATING ABNORMAL VOLATILITY TRANSMISSION PATTERNS BETWEEN EMERGING AND DEVELOPED STOCK MARKETS: A CASE STUDY

2020 ◽  
Vol 21 (6) ◽  
pp. 1561-1592
Author(s):  
Cristi Spulbar ◽  
Jatin Trivedi ◽  
Ramona Birau
Keyword(s):  
Stock Market ◽  
Financial Markets ◽  
Stock Markets ◽  
Financial Integration ◽  
Global Financial Crisis ◽  
Spillover Effects ◽  
Garch Models ◽  
Asymmetric Garch ◽  
Developed Stock Markets ◽  
The Impact

The main aim of this paper is to investigate volatility spillover effects, the impact of past volatility on present market movements, the reaction to positive and negative news, among selected financial markets. The sample stock markets are geographically dispersed on different continents, respectively North America, Europe and Asia. We also investigate whether selected emerging stock markets capture the volatility patterns of developed stock markets located in the same region. The empirical analysis is focused on seven developed stock market indices, i.e. IBEX35 (Spain), DJIA (USA), FTSE100 (UK), TSX Composite (Canada), NIKKEI225 (Japan), DAX (Germany), CAC40 (France) and five emerging stock market indices, i.e. BET (Romania), WIG20 (Poland), BSE (India), SSE Composite (China) and BUX (Hungary) from January 2000 to June 2018. The econometric framework includes symmetric and asymmetric GARCH models i.e. EGARCH and GJR which are performed in order to capture asymmetric volatility clustering, interdependence, correlations, financial integration and leptokurtosis. Symmetric and asymmetric GARCH models revealed that all selected financial markets are highly volatile, including the presence of leverage effect. The stock markets in Hungary, USA, Germany, India and Canada exhibit high positive volatility after global financial crisis.

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