Development of Population Pharmacokinetic Models and Optimal Sampling Times for Ibuprofen Tablet and Suspension Formulations in Children With Cystic Fibrosis

2002 ◽  
Vol 24 (2) ◽  
pp. 315-321 ◽  
Author(s):  
Paul Beringer ◽  
Amir Aminimanizani ◽  
Timothy Synold ◽  
Christy Scott
2019 ◽  
Vol 22 ◽  
pp. 112-121 ◽  
Author(s):  
Esther Oyaga-Iriarte ◽  
Asier Insausti ◽  
Lorea Bueno ◽  
Onintza Sayar ◽  
Azucena Aldaz

Purpose: The present study was performed to demonstrate that small amounts of routine clinical data allow to generate valuable knowledge. Concretely, the aims of this research were to build a joint population pharmacokinetic model for capecitabine and three of its metabolites (5-DFUR, 5-FU and 5-FUH2) and to determine optimal sampling times for therapeutic drug monitoring. Methods: We used data of 7 treatment cycles of capecitabine in patients with metastatic colorectal cancer. The population pharmacokinetic model was built as a multicompartmental model using NONMEM and was internally validated by visual predictive check. Optimal sampling times were estimated using PFIM 4.0 following D-optimality criterion. Results: The final model was a multicompartmental model which represented the sequential transformations from capecitabine to its metabolites 5-DFUR, 5-FU and 5-FUH2 and was correctly validated. The optimal sampling times were 0.546, 0.892, 1.562, 4.736 and 8 hours after the administration of the drug. For its correct implementation in clinical practice, the values were rounded to 0.5, 1, 1.5, 5 and 8 hours after the administration of the drug. Conclusions: Capecitabine, 5-DFUR, 5-FU and 5-FUH2 can be correctly described by the joint multicompartmental model presented in this work. The aforementioned times are optimal to maximize the information of samples. Useful knowledge can be obtained for clinical practice from small databases.


1996 ◽  
Vol 40 (8) ◽  
pp. 1860-1865 ◽  
Author(s):  
A D Kashuba ◽  
C H Ballow ◽  
A Forrest

Data were gathered during an activity-controlled trial in which seriously ill, elderly patients were randomized to receive intravenous ceftazidime or ciprofloxacin and for which adaptive feedback control of drug concentrations in plasma and activity profiles was prospectively performed. The adaptive feedback control algorithm for ceftazidime used an initial population model, a maximum a posteriori (MAP)-Bayesian pharmacokinetic parameter value estimator, and an optimal, sparse sampling strategy for ceftazidime that had been derived from data in the literature obtained from volunteers. Iterative two-stage population pharmacokinetic analysis was performed to develop an unbiased MAP-Bayesian estimator and updated optimal, sparse sampling strategies. The final median values of the population parameters were follows: the volume of distribution of the central compartment was equal to 0.249 liter/kg, the volume of distribution of the peripheral compartment was equal to 0.173 liter/kg, the distributional clearance between the central and peripheral compartments was equal to 0.2251 liter/h/kg, the slope of the total clearance (CL) versus the creatinine clearance (CLCR) was equal to 0.000736 liter/h/kg of CL/1 ml/min/1.73 m2 of CLCR, and nonrenal clearance was equal to + 0.00527 liter/h/kg. Optimal sampling times were dependent on CLCR; for CLCR of > or = 30 ml/min/1.73 m2, the optimal sampling times were 0.583, 3.0, 7.0, and 16.0 h and, for CLCR of < 30 ml/min/1.73 m2, optimal sampling times were 0.583, 4.15, 11.5, and 24.0 h. The study demonstrates that because pharmacokinetic information from volunteers may often not be reflective of specialty populations such as critically ill elderly individuals, iterative two-stage population pharmacokinetic analysis, MAP-Bayesian parameter estimation, and optimal, sparse sampling strategy can be important tools in characterizing their pharmacokinetics.


Pharmaceutics ◽  
2021 ◽  
Vol 13 (8) ◽  
pp. 1191
Author(s):  
Celine Konecki ◽  
Catherine Feliu ◽  
Yoann Cazaubon ◽  
Delphine Giusti ◽  
Marcelle Tonye-Libyh ◽  
...  

Despite the well-demonstrated efficacy of infliximab in inflammatory diseases, treatment failure remains frequent. Dose adjustment using Bayesian methods has shown in silico its interest in achieving target plasma concentrations. However, most of the published models have not been fully validated in accordance with the recommendations. This study aimed to submit these models to an external evaluation and verify their predictive capabilities. Eight models were selected for external evaluation, carried out on an independent database (409 concentrations from 157 patients). Each model was evaluated based on the following parameters: goodness-of-fit (comparison of predictions to observations), residual error model (population weighted residuals (PWRES), individual weighted residuals (IWRES), and normalized prediction distribution errors (NPDE)), and predictive performances (prediction-corrected visual predictive checks (pcVPC) and Bayesian simulations). The performances observed during this external evaluation varied greatly from one model to another. The eight evaluated models showed a significant bias in population predictions (from −7.19 to 7.38 mg/L). Individual predictions showed acceptable bias and precision for six of the eight models (mean error of −0.74 to −0.29 mg/L and mean percent error of −16.6 to −0.4%). Analysis of NPDE and pcVPC confirmed these results and revealed a problem with the inclusion of several covariates (weight, concomitant immunomodulatory treatment, presence of anti-drug antibodies). This external evaluation showed satisfactory results for some models, notably models A and B, and highlighted several prospects for improving the pharmacokinetic models of infliximab for clinical-biological application.


Author(s):  
Ya-qian Li ◽  
Kai-feng Chen ◽  
Jun-jie Ding ◽  
Hong-yi Tan ◽  
Nan Yang ◽  
...  

2007 ◽  
Vol 51 (12) ◽  
pp. 4351-4355 ◽  
Author(s):  
Paul G. Ambrose ◽  
Alan Forrest ◽  
William A. Craig ◽  
Chistopher M. Rubino ◽  
Sujata M. Bhavnani ◽  
...  

ABSTRACT We determined the pharmacokinetic-pharmacodynamic (PK-PD) measure most predictive of gatifloxacin efficacy and the magnitude of this measure necessary for survival in a murine Bacillus anthracis inhalation infection model. We then used population pharmacokinetic models for gatifloxacin and simulation to identify dosing regimens with high probabilities of attaining exposures likely to be efficacious in adults and children. In this work, 6- to 8-week-old nonneutropenic female BALB/c mice received aerosol challenges of 50 to 75 50% lethal doses of B. anthracis (Ames strain, for which the gatifloxacin MIC is 0.125 mg/liter). Gatifloxacin was administered at 6- or 8-h intervals beginning 24 h postchallenge for 21 days, and dosing was designed to produce profiles mimicking fractionated concentration-time profiles for humans. Mice were evaluated daily for survival. Hill-type models were fitted to survival data. To identify potentially effective dosing regimens, adult and pediatric population pharmacokinetic models for gatifloxacin and Monte Carlo simulation were used to generate 5,000 individual patient exposure estimates. The ratio of the area under the concentration-time curve from 0 to 24 h (AUC0-24) to the MIC of the drug for the organism (AUC0-24/MIC ratio) was the PK-PD measure most predictive of survival (R 2 = 0.96). The 50% effective dose (ED50) and the ED90 and ED99 corresponded to AUC0-24/MIC ratios of 11.5, 15.8, and 30, respectively, where the maximum effect was 97% survival. Simulation results indicate that a daily gatifloxacin dose of 400 mg for adults and 10 mg/kg of body weight for children gives a 100% probability of attaining the PK-PD target (ED99). Sensitivity analyses suggest that the probability of PK-PD target attainment in adults and children is not affected by increases in MICs for strains of B. anthracis to levels as high as 0.5 mg/liter.


2020 ◽  
Author(s):  
Sunae Ryu ◽  
Woo Jin Jung ◽  
Zheng Jiao ◽  
Jung Woo Chae ◽  
Hwi-yeol Yun

Aim: Several studies have reported population pharmacokinetic models for phenobarbital (PB), but the predictive performance of these models has not been well documented. This study aims to do external validation of the predictive performance in published pharmacokinetic models. Methods: Therapeutic drug monitoring data collected in neonates and young infants treated with PB for seizure control, was used for external validation. A literature review was conducted through PubMed to identify population pharmacokinetic models. Prediction- and simulation-based diagnostics, and Bayesian forecasting were performed for external validation. The incorporation of size or maturity functions into the published models was also tested for prediction improvement. Results: A total of 79 serum concentrations from 28 subjects were included in the external validation dataset. Seven population pharmacokinetic studies of PB were selected for evaluation. The model by Voller et al. [27] showed the best performance concerning prediction-based evaluation. In simulation-based analyses, the normalized prediction distribution error of two models (those of Shellhaas et al. [24] and Marsot et al. [25]) obeyed a normal distribution. Bayesian forecasting with more than one observation improved predictive capability. Incorporation of both allometric size scaling and maturation function generally enhanced the predictive performance, but with marked improvement for the adult pharmacokinetic model. Conclusion: The predictive performance of published pharmacokinetic models of PB was diverse, and validation may be necessary to extrapolate to different clinical settings. Our findings suggest that Bayesian forecasting improves the predictive capability of individual concentrations for pediatrics.


2015 ◽  
Vol 59 (8) ◽  
pp. 4907-4913 ◽  
Author(s):  
Marieke G. G. Sturkenboom ◽  
Leonie W. Mulder ◽  
Arthur de Jager ◽  
Richard van Altena ◽  
Rob E. Aarnoutse ◽  
...  

ABSTRACTRifampin, together with isoniazid, has been the backbone of the current first-line treatment of tuberculosis (TB). The ratio of the area under the concentration-time curve from 0 to 24 h (AUC0–24) to the MIC is the best predictive pharmacokinetic-pharmacodynamic parameter for determinations of efficacy. The objective of this study was to develop an optimal sampling procedure based on population pharmacokinetics to predict AUC0–24values. Patients received rifampin orally once daily as part of their anti-TB treatment. A one-compartmental pharmacokinetic population model with first-order absorption and lag time was developed using observed rifampin plasma concentrations from 55 patients. The population pharmacokinetic model was developed using an iterative two-stage Bayesian procedure and was cross-validated. Optimal sampling strategies were calculated using Monte Carlo simulation (n= 1,000). The geometric mean AUC0–24value was 41.5 (range, 13.5 to 117) mg · h/liter. The median time to maximum concentration of drug in serum (Tmax) was 2.2 h, ranging from 0.4 to 5.7 h. This wide range indicates that obtaining a concentration level at 2 h (C2) would not capture the peak concentration in a large proportion of the population. Optimal sampling using concentrations at 1, 3, and 8 h postdosing was considered clinically suitable with anr2value of 0.96, a root mean squared error value of 13.2%, and a prediction bias value of −0.4%. This study showed that the rifampin AUC0–24in TB patients can be predicted with acceptable accuracy and precision using the developed population pharmacokinetic model with optimal sampling at time points 1, 3, and 8 h.


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