[OP.6B.09] AMONG ALL DATA FROM 24-H BLOOD PRESSURE, NIGHTTIME SYSTOLIC BLOOD PRESSURE HAS THE HIGHEST PREDICTIVE VALUE OF CV EVENTS, STOKE AND HEART ATTACKS IN A PORTUGUESE SAMPLE OF TREATED HYPERTENSIVES PATIENTS FOLLOWED FOR 11,8 ± 5,1 YEARS

2016 ◽  
Vol 34 ◽  
pp. e71
Author(s):  
J. Bastos ◽  
J. Pires ◽  
J. Pinto ◽  
A. Araújo ◽  
P. Almeida ◽  
...  
2005 ◽  
Vol 288 (5) ◽  
pp. R1339-R1346 ◽  
Author(s):  
Brian E. Hunt ◽  
William B. Farquhar

To determine whether an approach such as the modified Oxford technique can consistently produce data that reveal the nonlinear nature of the cardiovagal baroreflex and to ascertain whether the model parameters provide unique insight into baroreflex function, we retrospectively examined 91 baroreflex trials (38 subjects, 27 men and 11 women, ages 22–72 yr). The modified Oxford technique (bolus sodium nitroprusside followed by bolus phenylephrine) was used to perturb blood pressure, and the resulting systolic blood pressure-R-R interval responses were plotted and modeled using a linear, a four-parameter symmetric, and a five-parameter asymmetric model. Several issues, such as the effect of data averaging, various approaches to gain estimation, and the predictive value of model parameters, were examined during reflex modeling. Sigmoid models accounted for a greater amount of the variance than did the linear model: linear r2 = 0.81 ± 0.01, four-parameter r2 = 0.90 ± 0.08, and five-parameter r2 = 0.90 ± 0.08 ( P < 0.05, linear vs. sigmoid models). Data averaging did not affect model fits. Although the four gain estimates (linear remodel, 1st derivative, peak, and set point) were statistically related, the set point gain was significantly lower than other estimates ( P < 0.05). Subgroup comparisons between young and older healthy subjects revealed differences in all indexes of cardiovagal baroreflex gain, as well as R-R interval operating range and curvature parameters. In conclusion, the modified Oxford technique consistently reveals the nonlinear nature of the human cardiovagal baroreflex. Moreover, of the parameters produced by the symmetric sigmoid model, only the response range provides unique information beyond that of reflex gain.


2020 ◽  
Vol 2 (4) ◽  
pp. 1-9
Author(s):  
Samsul Maarif ◽  
Teguh Wahju Sardjono ◽  
Yuliani Wiji Utami

In Hospital Cardiac Arrest (IHCA) is fairly common occurrence, although it can be prevented. Physiological status monitoring at Emergency Departement (ED) is crucial for early detection of potential IHCA incidence. National Early Warning Score (NEWS) is a scoring system to assess deterioration of patient's condition, but it is not yet known which parameters that have predictive value for IHCA incidence. Examine NEWS parameters of the patients while at the ED that have predictive value of IHCA incidence. This study was conducted retrospectively on inpatient medical records. The NEWS parameters examined were respiration rate score, oxygen saturation score, body temperature score, systolic blood pressure score, pulse rate score and level of consciousness score. Logistic regression analysis was used to test the predictive ability of NEWS parameters. Total score NEWS proved to be correlated with IHCA incidence (p=0.000; r=0.434). Parameters that have predictive value are systolic blood pressure score (p=0.001; OR=14.730), respiration rate score (p=0.000; OR=14.483) and level of consciousness score (p=0.000; OR=6.920). The NEWS parameter when the patients will be transferred from ED to the wards that have predictive value for IHCA incidence are systolic blood pressure score, respiration rate score and level of consciousness score.


2017 ◽  
Vol 106 (3) ◽  
pp. 261-268 ◽  
Author(s):  
D.L. Clarke ◽  
P. Brysiewicz ◽  
B. Sartorius ◽  
J.L. Bruce ◽  
G.L. Laing

Introduction: This study used data from a prospectively maintained trauma database to assess the level of systolic blood pressure at which mortality rates for trauma begin to increase and to compare systolic blood pressure with base deficit as a predictor of outcome. Methodology: The Pietermaritzburg Metropolitan Trauma Service maintains a prospective digital trauma registry. All trauma patients admitted to the service for the period January 2012–January 2015 were included. Analysis was performed on systolic blood pressure relative to a number of selected markers of outcome and a variety of physiological parameters. Results: Out of an original data set of 2974 trauma patients, a total of 169 elective patients, 799 patients with isolated traumatic brain injury, and 27 patients with incomplete data were excluded to leave a sample size of 2148 patients. Of these, 1830 (85.2%) were males and 318 (14.8%) were females. The mean age (standard deviation) was 31.8 (12.0) years. The median age (interquartile range) was 29 (23–37) years. There were 89 deaths in this cohort (4.1%). The median systolic blood pressure (interquartile range) was 123 (112–136) mmHg. The median base deficit was −1.4 (interquartile range: −4.5 to 1). The inflection curves below with fitted non-linear curve clearly show the upward change in mortality frequency around a systolic blood pressure of ⩽110 mmHg as well for a base deficit below −5. A cutoff of <110 for systolic blood pressure yields a high sensitivity and very high positive predictive value of 82% (95% confidence interval: 81–84) and 98% (95% confidence interval: 97–98), but low specificity (56%) and negative predictive value (12%), respectively. Similar optimal cutoff analysis for base deficit versus mortality suggests base deficit >4.8 as a good predictor area under the curve (0.82; 95% confidence interval: 0.75–0.88). This cutoff yields a high sensitivity of 80% (95% confidence interval: 78–82), moderate specificity of 75% (95% confidence interval: 62–85), very high positive predictive value of 98% (95% confidence interval: 97–99) but low negative predictive value of 17% (15–28). Conclusion: The data suggest that traumatic shock starts to become manifest at a systolic blood pressure of 110 mmHg and that a systolic blood pressure reading of 90 mmHg represents an advanced state of shock. Systolic blood pressure by itself is a poor predictor of mortality and outcome. Base deficit appears to be a far better predictor of mortality than systolic blood pressure. Future models to categorize shock will have to combine vital signs with biochemical markers of hypoperfusion.


Circulation ◽  
1983 ◽  
Vol 68 (3) ◽  
pp. 467-469 ◽  
Author(s):  
P Froom ◽  
M Bar-David ◽  
J Ribak ◽  
D Van Dyk ◽  
B Kallner ◽  
...  

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