In the preface to the first part of the first volume of the “Observations on days of unusual Magnetic Disturbance at the British Colonial Observatories,” published in 1843, and in the introductory comments prefixed to the first volume of the “Observations at the Toronto Observatory,” published in 1845, I stated the reasons which induced me to believe that the magnetic disturbances of large amount and occasional occurrence, designated in the Report of the Committee of Physics of the Royal Society as the “irregular variations,” and perhaps more commonly known by the name of magnetic storms or shocks, would be found, when studied in their
mean effects
on the local magnetic direction and force extending over a sufficient period of time, to have a character of
periodcity
, which if established, would leave no doubt as to the class of magnetic phenomena to which they should be considered to belong. The opinion thus expressed resulted from an examination to which I had subjected the series of two-hourly observations of the Declination in 1841, made simultaneously at Toronto and at Hobarton, and those of 1842 at Toronto; (the corresponding observations for 1842 at Hobarton not having reached England in sufficient time to be included in the examination). Short as this period was, the evidence of the existence of laws of periodical action, connecting the effects of causes operating for the most part simultaneously at distant parts of the globe with the seasons of the year and the hours of the day at particular stations, was sufficiently systematic to induce me to regard this branch of inquiry as a most hopeful one, but as requiring for its prosecution a longer continuance of observations than had been at that time provided for. At Toronto and the other observatories under the Ordnance Department, hourly observations were substituted in 1842 for the two-hourly series previously adopted. It had appeared desirable at the commencement of these establishments not to overcharge them with work; but as it became obvious that whenever a physical theory should be brought forward to explain the phenomena which were the subjects of observation, such as, for example, those of the
diurnal variation
, there would be an immediate demand for the variation observed
at least
at
every
hour, arrangements were made, in the
spirit
of the Royal Society’s Instructions, to secure a better provision for the requirements of theory than had been contemplated by the
letter
of those Instructions, and with this view observations at every hour were substituted for observations at every two hours. The series at Hobarton (under the Admiralty) had been made hourly from its commencement, the personal establishment left by Sir James Clark Ross having been calculated with that view*. Having lately examined the hourly simultaneous observations of the Declination at Toronto and Hobarton for the years 1843, 1844 and 1845, in the course of their preparation for the press, I have had great satisfaction in finding that they confirm in a remarkable degree the anticipations which I had formed. The general evidence of periodicity, connected with the seasons of the year and the hours of the day in the mean effects at these two distant stations, of causes which yet operate for the most part simultaneously at both, thus furnished by a series of hourly observations continued for three years, is far too systematic, and rests on a basis of too long duration to make it probable that it will be otherwise than confirmed by the continuation of the series in the subsequent years; although the exact periods, and the mean numerical values of the effects produced, or their proportions to each other in the different seasons and at the different hours may, and doubtless will, receive modifications. The term “irregular” can therefore no longer be considered as correctly applied to this remarkable branch of the magnetic phenomena, which studied in their effects must now be regarded as included in the class of “periodical variations.” However (apparently) irregular may be the times of their occurrence, as general phenomena affecting contemporaneously parts of the globe most distant from each other, their
effects
at those stations are found to be subject to periodical laws connected with local seasons and local time, indicating a relation directly or indirectly to the sun's place in the ecliptic, and to the earth’s diurnal rotation on its axis, and producing a sensible mean effect on the magnetic direction in conformity with their own peculiar laws.