scholarly journals Travel-time, bikes, and HIV elimination in Malawi: a geospatial modeling analysis

Author(s):  
Laurence Palk ◽  
Justin T Okano ◽  
Luckson Dullie ◽  
Sally Blower

Background: UNAIDS has prioritized Malawi and 21 other countries in sub-Saharan Africa (SSA) for "fast-tracking" the end of their HIV epidemics. To achieve elimination requires treating 90% of people living with HIV (PLHIV); coverage is already fairly high (70-75%). However, many individuals in SSA have to walk to access healthcare. We use data-based geospatial modeling to determine whether the need to travel long distances to access treatment and limited transportation in rural areas are barriers to HIV elimination in Malawi. Additionally, we evaluate the effect on treatment coverage of increasing the availability of bicycles in rural areas. Methods: We build a geospatial model that we use to estimate, for every PLHIV, their travel-time to access HIV treatment if driving, bicycling, or walking. We estimate the travel-times needed to achieve 70% or 90% coverage. Our model includes a spatial map of healthcare facilities (HCFs), the geographic coordinates of residencies for all PLHIV, and an "impedance" map. We quantify impedance using data on road/river networks, land cover, and topography. Findings: To cross an area of one km2 in Malawi takes from ~60 seconds (driving on main roads) to ~60 minutes (walking in mountainous areas); ~80% of PLHIV live in rural areas. At ~70% coverage, HCFs can be reached within: ~45 minutes if driving, ~65 minutes if bicycling, and ~85 minutes if walking. Increasing coverage above ~70% will become progressively more difficult. To achieve 90% coverage, the travel-time for many PLHIV (who have yet to initiate treatment) will be almost twice as long as those currently on treatment. Increasing bicycle availability in rural areas reduces round-trip travel-times by almost one hour (in comparison with walking), and could substantially increase coverage levels. Interpretation: Geographic inaccessibility to treatment coupled with limited transportation in rural areas are substantial barriers to reaching 90% coverage in Malawi. Increased bicycle availability could help eliminate HIV. Funding: National Institute of Allergy and Infectious Diseases

Author(s):  
Pascal Geldsetzer ◽  
Marcel Reinmuth ◽  
Paul O Ouma ◽  
Sven Lautenbach ◽  
Emelda A Okiro ◽  
...  

Background: SARS-CoV-2, the virus causing coronavirus disease 2019 (COVID-19), is rapidly spreading across sub-Saharan Africa (SSA). Hospital-based care for COVID-19 is particularly often needed among older adults. However, a key barrier to accessing hospital care in SSA is travel time. To inform the geographic targeting of additional healthcare resources, this study aimed to determine the estimated travel time at a 1km x 1km resolution to the nearest hospital and to the nearest healthcare facility of any type for adults aged 60 years and older in SSA. Methods: We assembled a unique dataset on healthcare facilities' geolocation, separately for hospitals and any type of healthcare facility (including primary care facilities) and including both private- and public-sector facilities, using data from the OpenStreetMap project and the KEMRI Wellcome Trust Programme. Population data at a 1km x 1km resolution was obtained from WorldPop. We estimated travel time to the nearest healthcare facility for each 1km x 1km raster using a cost-distance algorithm. Findings: 9.6% (95% CI: 5.2% - 16.9%) of adults aged 60 and older years had an estimated travel time to the nearest hospital of longer than six hours, varying from 0.0% (95% CI: 0.0% - 3.7%) in Burundi and The Gambia, to 40.9% (95% CI: 31.8% - 50.7%) in Sudan. 11.2% (95% CI: 6.4% - 18.9%) of adults aged 60 years and older had an estimated travel time to the nearest healthcare facility of any type (whether primary or secondary/tertiary care) of longer than three hours, with a range of 0.1% (95% CI: 0.0% - 3.8%) in Burundi to 55.5% (95% CI: 52.8% - 64.9%) in Sudan. Most countries in SSA contained populated areas in which adults aged 60 years and older had a travel time to the nearest hospital of more than 12 hours and to the nearest healthcare facility of any type of more than six hours. The median travel time to the nearest hospital for the fifth of adults aged 60 and older years with the longest travel times was 348 minutes (IQR: 240 - 576 minutes) for the entire SSA population, ranging from 41 minutes (IQR: 34 - 54 minutes) in Burundi to 1,655 minutes (IQR: 1065 - 2440 minutes) in Gabon. Interpretation: Our high-resolution maps of estimated travel times to both hospitals and healthcare facilities of any type can be used by policymakers and non-governmental organizations to help target additional healthcare resources, such as new make-shift hospitals or transport programs to existing healthcare facilities, to older adults with the least physical access to care. In addition, this analysis shows precisely where population groups are located that are particularly likely to under-report COVID-19 symptoms because of low physical access to healthcare facilities. Beyond the COVID-19 response, this study can inform countries' efforts to improve care for conditions that are common among older adults, such as chronic non-communicable diseases.


2020 ◽  
Vol 54 (3) ◽  
pp. 186-196
Author(s):  
Kwasi Torpey ◽  
Adwoa Agyei-Nkansah ◽  
Lily Ogyiri ◽  
Audrey Forson ◽  
Margaret Lartey ◽  
...  

Tuberculosis (TB) and HIV are strongly linked. There is a 19 times increased risk of developing active TB in people living with HIV than in HIV-negative people with Sub-Saharan Africa being the hardest hit region. According to the WHO, 1.3 million people died from TB, and an additional 300,000 TB-related deaths among people living with HIV. Although some progress has been made in reducing TB-related deaths among people living with HIV due to the evolution of diagnostics, treatment and antiretroviral HIV treatment, multi drug resistant TB is becoming a source of worry. Though significant progress has been made at the national level, understanding the state of the evidence and the challenges will better inform the national response of the opportunities for improved patient outcomes.Keywords: Tuberculosis, management, HIV, MDR TB, GhanaFunding: None


2019 ◽  
Author(s):  
Reuben Granich ◽  
Somya Gupta

IntroductionThe World Health Organization now recommends dolutegravir (DTG) as part of the preferred first-line treatment for all adults living with HIV including women who may become pregnant. The new regimen with its high barrier to resistance, shortened time to suppression, superior side effects profile, and lower health sector and individual costs, represents a significant improvement. The recommendation removes an important obstacle to accessing dolutegravir as an essential element in controlling the epidemic. DiscussionTranslating science to policy to HIV service delivery is complex and vulnerable to significant delays. WHO, assuming a regulatory role, used preliminary Botswana Tsepamo study information regarding neural tube defects to issue a “safety signal” regarding DTG in May 2018. Regulatory evaluations of rare adverse reactions are complex, take time, and require considerable subject area specific expertise. After over a year, the WHO reversed its initial findings and issued revised treatment recommendations. However, the mixed messaging and confusion around dolutegravir’s safety profile has delayed national level adoption. The pace of national adoption of new WHO recommendations is measurable through published national guidelines and/or circulars available in the public domain. After 2015, published guidelines for 22 of 46 sub-Saharan countries (94% of 2018 regional HIV burden) showed that only three countries representing 4% of regional burden have adopted the new WHO preferred 1st line recommendations. ConclusionsMonitoring and evaluating the translation of science to service delivery is a critical element of successful disease control and elimination. The DTG false alarm and ongoing delayed access provides an opportunity to learn valuable lessons and implement corrective actions. However, lessons can only be learned by accurately describing and examining the timeline, processes, and impact of policy decisions that can adversely impact millions of people living with HIV. As with any successful global disease elimination effort or major project, it is important to establish a critical pathway for translation of science to service delivery and hold people and agencies accountable for their roles in accelerating and/or delaying progress.


Author(s):  
Thomas Mnzava ◽  
Eunice Mmari ◽  
Andres Berruti

Background: Patient costs pose a challenge in accessing antiretroviral therapy for people living with HIV in sub-Saharan Africa. The study aimed at identifying drivers for out-of-pocket (OOP) costs in Tanzania. Methods: In 2009, 500 adult patients who attended 10 HIV clinics across 7 regions of Tanzania were asked about time and resources consumed to access HIV services. Bivariate and multivariate median regression models were used to determine the main drivers for OOP costs. Results: Male and female patients have a median OOP costs of $40.37 and $28.01 per year, respectively ( P = .01). Males spend significantly more on travel ($26.51) than females ($19.68; P = .02). Living in rural areas and poor social economic status (SES) are associated with greater OOP costs ( P = .001) for both sexes. Conclusion: Poor SES and rural residence are main drivers of OOP costs. Patients are less likely to seek health care unless they are in dire need, leading to expensive services.


2021 ◽  
pp. 095646242110422
Author(s):  
Reuben Granich ◽  
Somya Gupta ◽  
Brian Williams

Human immunodeficiency virus (HIV) treatment prevents illness, death, and transmission. The 90-90-90 disease control target is only 73% of people living with HIV virally suppressed. For 2010 to 2019, we abstracted HIV funding data for 40 countries in sub-Saharan Africa (70% of global HIV burden and >99% of HIV burden in the region in 2018). During 2010–2019, there was ∼$52 billion funding for 40 countries (99% Africa HIV burden). Domestic funding ranged from $0 to $3.2 billion. PEPFAR funding was $32 billion (average $1.4 billion; range $0.089–4.3 billion) among 22 countries. Global Fund averaged $306 million ($1.9 million to $1.1 billion) for 40 countries. Among PLHIV, known HIV status averaged 80% (11% to 94%). ART coverage averaged 64% (9% to 90%). Viral suppression among PLHIV ranged from 8% to 87%. Of the 40 countries, 21 reported under 60% of PLHIV to be on treatment and 13 did not report viral suppression for 2018. Achieving 90-90-90 is feasible in challenging settings if resources are used efficiently. Despite the significant investment in the HIV response, many countries have not reached the 90-90-90 target. Greater attention to efficiency and prioritizing important targets will be required to end AIDS in Africa.


2021 ◽  
Vol 1 (11) ◽  
pp. e0000013
Author(s):  
Hana Kim ◽  
Godfrey N. Musuka ◽  
Zindoga Mukandavire ◽  
Adam Branscum ◽  
Diego F. Cuadros

Despite efforts to increase the proportion of individuals diagnosed with HIV who receive anti-retroviral therapy, 28% of people living with HIV (PLHIV) aged 15 years and older in eastern and southern Africa and 42% in western and central Africa were not receiving anti-retroviral therapy in 2019. Therefore, improving access to health care services is key to reduce HIV incidence and prevalence. The main aim of this study was to generate high-resolution maps of underserved areas where people cannot access the closest health care facilities within appropriate travel time in sub-Saharan Africa (SSA). Main sources of data for this study were the estimated number of PLHIV for adults aged 15–49 years in 47 countries in SSA and the global map of travel time to the nearest health care facility by motorized and non-motorized transportation. These data were used to estimate and map the number of PLHIV in underserved areas at a travel distance of 10, 30, and 60 minutes from the nearest healthcare facility. We identified and mapped more than 7 million PLHIV in the areas with a lack of access to health care within 10-minute travel time and 1.5 million PLHIV in the areas with a lack of access to health care within 60-minute travel time. The identified locations of underserved areas are an indicator of the challenge faced by PLHIV in accessing health services in SSA, a situation that is likely worsened by the COVID-19 pandemic. These findings can contribute to developing cost-effective geospatial policies for interventions aimed at underserved areas at a finer resolution for communities that have usually been identified in aggregated spatial areas. Further development and implementation of tailored intervention and treatment programs, especially in areas identified as underserved for PLHIV, should be explored. Geospatial analyses could complement the decision-making process with stakeholders to enhance healthcare access for PLHIV in SSA.


2019 ◽  
Author(s):  
Reuben Granich ◽  
Somya Gupta

IntroductionThe World Health Organization now recommends dolutegravir (DTG) as part of the preferred first-line treatment for all adults living with HIV including women who may become pregnant. The new regimen with its high barrier to resistance, shortened time to suppression, superior side effects profile, and lower health sector and individual costs, represents a significant improvement. The recommendation removes an important obstacle to accessing dolutegravir as an essential element in controlling the epidemic. DiscussionTranslating science to policy to HIV service delivery is complex and vulnerable to significant delays. WHO, assuming a regulatory role, used preliminary Botswana Tsepamo study information regarding neural tube defects to issue a “safety signal” regarding DTG in May 2018. Regulatory evaluations of rare adverse reactions are complex, take time, and require considerable subject area specific expertise. After over a year, the WHO reversed its initial findings and issued revised treatment recommendations. However, the mixed messaging and confusion around dolutegravir’s safety profile has delayed national level adoption. The pace of national adoption of new WHO recommendations is measurable through published national guidelines and/or circulars available in the public domain. After 2015, published guidelines for 22 of 46 sub-Saharan countries (94% of 2018 regional HIV burden) showed that only three countries representing 4% of regional burden have adopted the new WHO preferred 1st line recommendations. ConclusionsMonitoring and evaluating the translation of science to service delivery is a critical element of successful disease control and elimination. The DTG false alarm and ongoing delayed access provides an opportunity to learn valuable lessons and implement corrective actions. However, lessons can only be learned by accurately describing and examining the timeline, processes, and impact of policy decisions that can adversely impact millions of people living with HIV. As with any successful global disease elimination effort or major project, it is important to establish a critical pathway for translation of science to service delivery and hold people and agencies accountable for their roles in accelerating and/or delaying progress.


Author(s):  
Massimo Leone ◽  
Fausto Ciccacci ◽  
Stefano Orlando ◽  
Sandro Petrolati ◽  
Giovanni Guidotti ◽  
...  

Eighty percent of people with stroke live in low- to middle-income nations, particularly in sub-Saharan Africa (SSA) where stroke has increased by more than 100% in the last decades. More than one-third of all epilepsy−related deaths occur in SSA. HIV infection is a risk factor for neurological disorders, including stroke and epilepsy. The vast majority of the 38 million people living with HIV/AIDS are in SSA, and the burden of neurological disorders in SSA parallels that of HIV/AIDS. Local healthcare systems are weak. Many standalone HIV health centres have become a platform with combined treatment for both HIV and noncommunicable diseases (NCDs), as advised by the United Nations. The COVID-19 pandemic is overwhelming the fragile health systems in SSA, and it is feared it will provoke an upsurge of excess deaths due to the disruption of care for chronic diseases such as HIV, TB, hypertension, diabetes, and cerebrovascular disorders. Disease Relief through Excellent and Advanced Means (DREAM) is a health programme active since 2002 to prevent and treat HIV/AIDS and related disorders in 10 SSA countries. DREAM is scaling up management of NCDs, including neurologic disorders such as stroke and epilepsy. We described challenges and solutions to address disruption and excess deaths from these diseases during the ongoing COVID-19 pandemic.


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