How do Islamic equities respond to monetary actions?

2019 ◽  
Vol 14 (4) ◽  
pp. 503-522 ◽  
Author(s):  
Zaheer Anwer ◽  
Wajahat Azmi ◽  
Shamsher Mohamad Ramadili Mohd
Keyword(s):  
Monetary Policy ◽  
Stock Returns ◽  
Strong Impact ◽  
Market Conditions ◽  
Firm Level ◽  
Content Type ◽  
Stock Indices ◽  
Level Data ◽  
Negative Effect ◽  
The Impact

Purpose The purpose of this paper is to appraise the effectiveness of monetary policy actions in variant market conditions for Islamic stocks. These stocks offer ground for a natural experiment as they have restrictions on the line of business and their distinguished capital structure does not allow them to combat the liquidity crisis through the use of leverage. Design/methodology/approach The paper uses the quantile regression approach for a multi-country sample of Islamic stock indices to assess the impact of domestic as well as US expansionary monetary policy on stock returns of Islamic indices at various locations of distribution of returns. Findings It is found that, at lower return levels, an expansionary monetary policy has a negative effect on the returns. In other cases, there is no significant impact of policy rate change on index returns. Research limitations/implications It is more appropriate to use firm level data of Islamic stocks instead of stock indices. However, the information regarding index constituents is not publicly available. Practical implications The paper offers useful information to investors and policy makers. It shows that central banks should improve their credibility for monetary policy to be effective and their policies must be designed keeping in view the strong impact of US rate on global monetary environment. Originality/value This paper provides first empirical evidence of the impact of discount rates on the returns of Islamic stocks in different market conditions.

Assessing the impact of dividend policy on the sustainability of distressed firms

2021 ◽  
Vol ahead-of-print (ahead-of-print) ◽  
Author(s):  
Mina Sami ◽  
Wael Abdallah
Keyword(s):  
Stock Returns ◽  
Dividend Policy ◽  
Dynamic Panel Data ◽  
Fiscal Year ◽  
Policy Management ◽  
Wealth Status ◽  
Firm Level ◽  
Content Type ◽  
Distressed Firms ◽  
The Impact

Purpose The paper uses firm level data for the top listed firms in New York exchange stock over the period 2000–2017. The analysis is mainly based on 237 firms that already experienced losses at the end of the fiscal year. The study aims to use the properties of the dynamic panel data, specifically the methodology proposed by Arenllo and Bond (1991), to fulfill the objectives of the paper. Design/methodology/approach This paper focuses on the dividend policy management of the firms when they experience a loss at the end of the fiscal year. The objective is to examine how such a policy management affects the sustainability of the firm (measured by the future sales and total factor productivity[TFP]) and the wealth of its shareholders (measured by the Stock Returns). Findings The results show that the distressed firms that distribute dividends at the end of the loss period are able to maintain sustainability and to reach more favorable wealth situation of their shareholders relative to the firms who abstain to pay; the dividend policy during periods of loss is still able to send positive signals about the firm in the market; and the dividend policy can be considered as a predictive indicator for a sustainable firm whose shareholders can also predict their capital gains. Originality/value Agreed upon the literature that the firms during the period of crisis are likely to change their dividend policy, this study offers robust evidence that the dividend policy of distressed firms affects their sustainability (measured by sales and TFP) and the wealth status of their shareholders (measured by the Stock Returns).

Stock returns and the US dollar: the importance of monetary policy

2015 ◽  
Vol 41 (10) ◽  
pp. 1046-1058 ◽  
Author(s):  
J. Christopher Hughen ◽  
Scott Beyer
Keyword(s):  
Economic Growth ◽  
Monetary Policy ◽  
Stock Returns ◽  
Foreign Exchange ◽  
Stock Prices ◽  
Factor Model ◽  
Consumer Spending ◽  
Content Type ◽  
The Us ◽  
The Impact

Purpose – In the increasingly globalized economy, foreign exchange fluctuations have multiple, conflicting effects on domestic stock prices. The purpose of this paper is to examine return data to determine the relation between the dollar’s value and stock prices as it relates to monetary policy. Design/methodology/approach – The authors examine US stock returns over a 40-year period, which is classified according to monetary policy and dollar trend. To better understand the impact of foreign exchange fluctuations, the authors estimate a model of stock returns using the three Fama-French factors and a momentum factor. Then the authors explore the underlying economic fundamentals that drive the sharp difference in annual returns between periods when the dollar is in an uptrend trend with loose monetary policy and periods when the dollar is in a downtrend with tight monetary policy. Findings – Over the last 40 years, US stock returns were 2.5 times higher when the dollar was trending up vs down. The factor model of returns shows that equity returns are positively associated with periods when the dollar appreciated. Returns were particularly high when the dollar was in an uptrend during accommodative monetary policy. During these periods, stocks in the consumer goods and services industries provided relatively high returns. This occurred with strong economic growth due to consumer spending. Stocks exhibited the lowest returns when the dollar was depreciating and the Federal Reserve was tightening. Originality/value – The key contribution of the research is that currency trends should be analyzed in the light of monetary policy. During periods of accommodative monetary policy and dollar appreciation, the US stock market provided average returns of 18.7 percent compared to −3.29 percent during a period of restrictive monetary policy and dollar depreciation. This result is driven by stronger economic growth, which is composed of consumer spending that more than offsets the dollar’s impact on net exports.

The impact of industry concentration on the market’s ability to anticipate future earnings

2016 ◽  
Vol 24 (4) ◽  
pp. 443-475 ◽  
Author(s):  
In-Mu Haw ◽  
Bingbing Hu ◽  
Jay Junghun Lee ◽  
Woody Wu
Keyword(s):  
Stock Returns ◽  
Market Power ◽  
Information Transfer ◽  
Positive Impact ◽  
Product Market ◽  
Industry Concentration ◽  
Firm Level ◽  
Content Type ◽  
Future Earnings ◽  
The Impact

Purpose The existing literature has established the importance of industry concentration in explaining firm performance and information environments. However, little is known about whether and how industry concentration affects investors’ ability to anticipate future earnings. This paper aims to investigate this query by identifying and testing two channels, product market power and intra-industry information transfer, through which industry concentration affects the informativeness of stock returns about future earnings. Design/methodology/approach The paper measures the informativeness of stock returns about future earnings by the future earnings response coefficient (FERC)). This study estimates the FERC using a firm-level sample from 38 economies. Findings The authors find that industry concentration significantly enhances investors’ ability to predict future earnings. Further tests show that both product market power and intra-industry information transfer contribute to explaining the positive association between industry concentration and the FERC, with the former playing a more salient role. Finally, the authors show that a country’s effective competition law attenuates the positive impact of industry concentration on the FERC by weakening the economic impact of the two underlying channels. Originality/value This study contributes to the growing literature on the price-leading-earnings relation, industry concentration and international corporate governance.

scholarly journals Foreign Direct Investment and the Survival of Domestic Private Firms in Viet Nam

2014 ◽  
Vol 31 (1) ◽  
pp. 53-91 ◽  
Author(s):  
Ari Kokko ◽  
Tran Toan Thang
Keyword(s):  
Foreign Direct Investment ◽  
Direct Investment ◽  
Private Firms ◽  
Viet Nam ◽  
Firm Level ◽  
Level Data ◽  
Vertical Fdi ◽  
Negative Effect ◽  
The Impact ◽  
Local Firms

Foreign direct investment (FDI) may benefit local firms in the host country through various kinds of spillovers, but it may also raise competition and result in the crowding out of domestic firms. Using detailed firm-level data for the period 2001–2008, this paper examines the aggregate effect of FDI on the survival of domestic private firms in Viet Nam. We estimate the impact of both horizontal and vertical FDI and explore how the presence of state-owned enterprises (SOEs) influences the exit hazard for private firms. The results suggest that horizontal and upstream FDI raise the exit hazard significantly, while downstream FDI may reduce the hazard. The presence of SOEs has a direct negative effect on the survival odds of local private firms in the same industry, but there is also an indirect impact on the exit hazard from FDI. Local firms are more vulnerable to foreign entry in sectors with high SOE shares. Looking at the net effects of FDI during the period 2001–2008, we find that results vary between sectors and over time but that the overall impact has been surprising small. The paper also discusses policy conclusions and implications for empirical analyses of spillovers from FDI.

scholarly journals The Impact of Special Economic Zones on Exporting Behavior

2019 ◽  
Vol 11 (1) ◽  
pp. 145-174
Author(s):  
Roland B. Davies ◽  
Arman Mazhikeyev
Keyword(s):  
Special Economic Zone ◽  
Extensive Margin ◽  
Export Intensity ◽  
Firm Level ◽  
Closed Economies ◽  
Level Data ◽  
Firm Level Data ◽  
Negative Effect ◽  
Economic Zones ◽  
The Impact

Using firm level data from Africa and Asia, we estimate the impact of being in a special economic zone (SEZ) on a firm's probability of exporting, export intensity, and value of exports. At the extensive margin, we find that SEZ firms in open economies are 25% more likely to export than their non-SEZ counterparts, with a large negative effect in closed economies. At the intensive margin, we find that SEZs increase the value of exports, but only in countries with barriers to imports where the estimate increase is 3.6%. Thus, the estimated effect of introducing an SEZ can be meaningful, but is heavily contingent on the local economic environment.

The relationship between organizational slack and innovation: revisited

2014 ◽  
Vol 29 (1) ◽  
pp. 26-42 ◽  
Author(s):  
Fariss Terry Mousa ◽  
Jaideep Chowdhury
Keyword(s):  
Fixed Effect ◽  
Publicly Traded ◽  
Firm Level ◽  
Firm Innovation ◽  
Content Type ◽  
Financial Slack ◽  
Level Data ◽  
Economic Downturns ◽  
The Impact ◽  
The Relationship

Purpose – The slack-innovation relationship has interested scholars for years. The authors aim to delve into the impact of financial slack on firm innovation by replicating a classic study arguing that this relationship has an inverse U-shape. Design/methodology/approach – The sample consists of all US firms that were publicly traded between 1993 and 2011. The authors employ the standard econometrics methodology of panel regression with firm-fixed effect and time-fixed effect to estimate the regression equation of firm innovation on financial slack. Findings – The authors find that the relationship between financial slack and R&D investments is similar to that suggested by earlier authors, thus enhancing the generalizability of this important finding in management research. The authors also find that this relationship holds even during economic downturns. Originality/value – The authors replicate Nohria and Gulati's classic study by considering the impact of slack on innovation. The authors also move away from survey data, as used by Nohria and Gulati. The authors utilize actual firm-level data for a large sample of US publicly traded firms from 1993 to 2011, thus enhancing the generalizability of these findings.

The impact of training on productivity: evidence from a panel of Italian firms

2014 ◽  
Vol 35 (8) ◽  
pp. 1140-1158 ◽  
Author(s):  
Emilio Colombo ◽  
Luca Stanca
Keyword(s):  
Unobserved Heterogeneity ◽  
Occupational Groups ◽  
Firm Level ◽  
Data Set ◽  
Content Type ◽  
Training Activity ◽  
Blue Collar Workers ◽  
Level Data ◽  
Effective Training ◽  
The Impact

Purpose – The purpose of this paper is to investigate the effects of training activity on labor productivity in a panel of Italian firms. Design/methodology/approach – The use of a large panel data of individual firms allows the author to properly account for the possible endogeneity of training activity and avoid aggregation biases typical in industry-level data. Findings – The paper finds that training has a positive and significant impact on productivity. While unobserved heterogeneity leads to overestimate the impact of training, failing to account for the endogeneity of training leads to underestimate its effects on productivity. Within occupational groups, training has large and significant effects for blue-collar workers, while the effects for executives and clerks are relatively small. Finally, using a measure of effective training intensity the paper finds that failing to account for training duration may lead to underestimate the effect of training on productivity. Originality/value – Our data set is unique in terms of size and coverage and overcomes several limitations of previous research using firm-level data. Moreover, besides estimating the overall effect of training on productivity, the paper allows to address some more specific questions. Does the effect of training depend on the type of worker being trained? What is the relevance of effective participation to training activity?

Firms’ reaction to threats from informal firms: exploring the roles of institutional quality and technical gap

2020 ◽  
Vol 35 (11) ◽  
pp. 1887-1899
Author(s):  
Guoyou Qi ◽  
Hailiang Zou ◽  
Xie X.M. ◽  
Saixing Zeng
Keyword(s):  
Organizational Innovation ◽  
Institutional Quality ◽  
Firm Level ◽  
Content Type ◽  
Innovative Strategies ◽  
Innovation Activities ◽  
Top Managers ◽  
Level Data ◽  
Technical Capability ◽  
The Impact

Purpose Threats from the informal sector have become an important concern among formal firms. As a response to these threats, formal firms can adopt product innovation (PI) and marketing innovation (MI) strategies to differentiate themselves. The purpose of this paper is to examine how firm-level technical capability and external institutional quality affect firms’ reactions to the threats from informal firms by adopting innovative activities. Design/methodology/approach Based on attention-based view (ABV), an empirical study is conducted by using firm-level data from the World Bank Enterprise Survey in 2013. Findings The findings indicate that when faced with competition from informal firms, formal firms will intensify their innovation activities in both MI and PI, and their technical capability mitigates the competitive threats from informal sectors and thus weakens the impact of informal competitors on the level of product and marketing innovations. Moreover, it is found that the improvement of institutional quality reduces formal firms’ urgency to introduce new products when facing informal competitors. However, this improvement strengthens the impact of informal rivalry on formal firms’ innovation in marketing methods. Originality/value Previous studies that investigate the influence of informal threats are focused on technological innovation (e.g., PI and process innovation) strategies, but little knowledge is provided on non-technological innovative strategies, such as marketing strategies (e.g., MI and organizational innovation). This study contributes to the innovation literature by delving into the circumstances under which PI and/or MI is adopted to counter informal rivals. The findings enrich ABV by investigating how inter-firm resource similarity and marketing commonality strengthen top managers' attention to competition from informal firms.

scholarly journals Pandemics and Firms

2020 ◽  
Vol 20 (276) ◽  
Author(s):  
Serhan Cevik ◽  
Fedor Miryugin
Keyword(s):  
Global Economy ◽  
Corporate Performance ◽  
Probability Of Failure ◽  
Firm Level ◽  
Policy Responses ◽  
Level Data ◽  
Firm Level Data ◽  
Negative Effect ◽  
The Impact ◽  
Nonfinancial Firms

The global economy is in the midst of an unprecedented slump caused by the COVID-19 pandemic. To assess the likely evolution of nonfinancial corporate performance going forward, this paper investigates empirically the impact of past pandemics using firm-level data on more than 537,000 companies from 14 developing countries during the period 1998–2018. The analysis indicates that the prevalence of infectious diseases has an economically and statistically significant negative effect on nonfinancial corporate performance. This adverse impact is particularly pronounced on smaller and younger firms, compared to larger and more established corporations. We also find that a higher number of infectious-disease cases in population increases the probability of failure among nonfinancial firms, particularly for small and young firms. In the case of COVID-19, the magnitude of these effects will be much greater, given the unprecedented scale of the outbreak and strict policy responses to contain its spread.

scholarly journals The effects of internal and external innovation strategies on process innovation in Vietnamese firms

2021 ◽  
Vol ahead-of-print (ahead-of-print) ◽  
Author(s):  
Thuy Minh Thu Phung ◽  
Dat Tho Tran ◽  
Patrick Alexander Maria Vermeulen ◽  
Joris Knoben
Keyword(s):  
Process Innovation ◽  
Innovation Strategy ◽  
Firm Level ◽  
Content Type ◽  
Logistic Regression Models ◽  
Institutional Settings ◽  
Level Data ◽  
Institutional Contexts ◽  
Innovation Strategies ◽  
The Impact

Purpose This paper aims to investigate the antecedents of process innovation to provide more alternates for Vietnamese firms as they are still struggling to find an appropriate innovation strategy. Design/methodology/approach The research analyzes the separate impacts of each innovation strategy on process innovation using logistic regression models. Data were collected using a stratified random sampling method. Findings The results show that having an innovation strategy is good for innovation, regardless of whether the strategy is internal or external. Internal and external strategies are proved not complements but substitutes. However, the internal strategy seems to be most beneficial. Weak institutional settings further strengthen the importance of internal strategies, whereas strong institutional settings favor external strategies. Originality/value This paper analyzes the impact of different innovation strategies on process innovation in Vietnamese firms using firm-level data. The findings strongly recommend that in weak institutional settings such as Vietnam, firms should focus on an internal strategy because the emphasis on external innovation strategies might be a western bias stemming from research in mostly strong institutional contexts.

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