Loss Aversion and Market Liquidity in the Real Estate Market

2014 ◽  
Vol 22 (2) ◽  
pp. 223-249
Author(s):  
Sun Young Park
Keyword(s):  
Real Estate ◽  
Loss Aversion ◽  
Real Estate Market ◽  
Commercial Real Estate ◽  
Market Liquidity ◽  
The Real Estate ◽  
The Real Estate Market ◽  
Expectation Hypothesis ◽  
Property Sales ◽  
The Impact

The most commonly observed risk averse behavior in the commercial real estate market is loss aversion on the part of investors; i.e., investors are more sensitive to prospective losses than to prospective gains. This observation leads to the natural question : Does the market rationally anticipate investors' loss aversion? If not, then does loss aversion become stronger in a relatively illiquid market? The answer to these questions provides strategically important implications to institutional investors. We propose to explore the impact of loss aversion on the commercial real estate market by testing two competing hypotheses : (1) the rational market expectation hypothesis and (2) the liquidity spiral hypothesis. The rational market expectation hypothesis holds that the market rationally anticipates investors' behavioral loss aversion. As a result, the interaction between lagged market liquidity and loss aversion does not have an impact on the probability of property sales. On the other hand, the liquidity spiral hypothesis holds that the interaction between market liquidity and loss aversion has an impact on the probability of property sales due to the self-fulfilling feedback effect between loss aversion and market liquidity. In the context of REITs' property transactions, we find partial evidence for the liquidity spiral hypothesis : private market liquidity and stock market liquidity each has an additional impact on the sale probability of property.

scholarly journals ПОЛІТИКА ЧЕСЬКОГО НАЦІОНАЛЬНОГО БАНКУ ЩОДО РИНКУ НЕРУХОМОСТІ

2021 ◽  
pp. 70-75
Author(s):  
Олександр Володимирович Києвич
Keyword(s):  
Czech Republic ◽  
Real Estate ◽  
Real Estate Market ◽  
Safe Haven ◽  
The Czech Republic ◽  
The Real ◽  
The Real Estate ◽  
The Real Estate Market ◽  
The World ◽  
The Impact

Nowadays, when we still see the impact of COVID not only in the Czech Republic, but all over the world, when the value of money is constantly decreasing due to inflation and negative trends in the economy, people usually try to save their savings where they are confident that they will not lose value. The purpose of the article is to characterize the policy of the Czech National Bank in relation to the real estate market. Research hypothesis. The population of the Czech Republic now perceives housing as a safe haven and protects their savings by buying real estate. That is why, according to practicing economists, the great interest of Czechs in investing in real estate will continue in the coming years. Presentation of the main material. Wealthy people in the Czech Republic are now investing their money in apartments to protect their savings from inflation, which was largely fueled by covid restrictions. Rising inflation and volatility in world currencies is a serious blow to those who keep their savings in cash, so people want to own any asset that has any hope of going up. Originality and practical significance of the research. It has been proven that overheated markets sometimes collapse with dire consequences for a country's economy. And this is the responsibility of the regulators, who must anticipate and prevent such trends in the markets. Conclusions and prospects for further research. The current situation with the pandemic has not affected the real estate market, which is perhaps surprising. The population of the Czech Republic now perceives housing as a safe haven and protects their savings by buying real estate. The main task today of all financial market regulators, not only in the Czech Republic, but all over the world, is and will be the task of preventing a sharp collapse of the formed bubbles, including the real estate market.

scholarly journals Early effects of theCOVID_19 pandemic on the real estate market in Georgia

2021 ◽  
Vol 16 (02) ◽  
pp. 58-65
Author(s):  
Natia Terterashvili Natia Terterashvili
Keyword(s):  
Real Estate ◽  
Real Estate Market ◽  
State Regulation ◽  
Recent Experience ◽  
The Real ◽  
The Real Estate ◽  
Crisis Situation ◽  
The Real Estate Market ◽  
Early Effects ◽  
The Impact

The article analyzes the early effects of the COVID_19 pandemic on the Georgian real estate market. There are studies examining the impact of health deterioration and pandemic shocks on housing markets. Based on the analysis of the economic consequences caused by similar events in the past and the tools of state regulation in a crisis situation, parallels are drawn with the modern Covid pandemic. In studying the crisis situation in the real estate market, we also rely on the experience of the global financial crisis of 2007-2008, which is most often associated with the current situation. The research is mainly based on the data of the Georgian Public Registry on the real estate market, which is updated by months. The article also discusses the role and importance of government decision-making in the development business, which has helped the real estate market to some extent. Crises are particularly damaging to the construction and real estate sectors, but we also expect that the real estate market will recover rapidly with the lifting of restrictions. This is based on the recent experience of Georgia, in particular, our simultaneous analysis of the results of the first wave of the COVID_19 pandemic. The situation was different during the crisis of 2007-2008, which was accompanied by war with Russia. Then the turn over of the construction sector decreased by 12% per year and it took about three years for the market to fully recover. At the same time, before 2008, the prices in the real estate market were very high, which confirmed the existence of a real estate "bubble". In modern conditions, it is difficult to talk about the existence of a "bubble", because before the pandemic real estate prices were balanced and stable. This fact allows for additional optimism. The paper summarizes the main findings, identifies all the challenges the market are facing and also provides relevant recommendations for market participants. Keywords: COVID_19 pandemic, Real Estate, Crisis, development business, State regulations.

scholarly journals Methodology for making decisions in managing commercial real estate

2021 ◽  
Vol 244 ◽  
pp. 11013
Author(s):  
Denis Smirnov ◽  
Irina Alpackaya ◽  
Taisiya Ryabova ◽  
Valery Gusev
Keyword(s):  
Decision Making ◽  
Real Estate ◽  
Real Estate Market ◽  
Commercial Real Estate ◽  
The Real ◽  
The Real Estate ◽  
Theoretical Approaches ◽  
Current Trends ◽  
The Real Estate Market ◽  
Methodological Principles

The purpose of this paper is to develop guidelines for the formation and implementation of a decision-making mechanism for managing commercial real estate. As a result of the study, the current trends in the development of the real estate market are revealed, the methods and established practice of the activities of management companies are analyzed, the analysis of theoretical approaches to the management of commercial real estate is carried out. On the basis of theoretical and methodological principles and the specifics of the analyzed area of research, methodological recommendations are proposed for the formation of a mechanism for managing commercial real estate, including a method for assessing their investment attractiveness.

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