Yingluck impeachment raises Thai political stakes

Significance Her impeachment is part of the junta's broader effort permanently to prevent the Shinawatra family from regaining power. The second step, Yingluck's arraignment before the Supreme Court on criminal charges also related to the rice scheme, will take place in February. In addition, the Election Commission has announced that it, too, may bring charges against Yingluck in coming weeks, allegedly for using government funds for her election campaign last February. Impacts The military can prevent any violent uprising by Thaksin supporters -- for the time being. Should the junta overplay its hand, the risk of an uprising would rise, potentially jeopardising foreign investment. The risk of tighter international sanctions against Thailand is minimal.

Subject The Pakistan military's influence on domestic politics. Significance Parliament last month passed legislation extending the tenure of the current chief of army staff, General Qamar Javed Bajwa, for another three years. This followed a November ruling by the Supreme Court striking down an extension granted by Prime Minister Imran Khan's government. While Pakistan struggles to ease its economic woes and secure diplomatic support for its position on Kashmir, over which it disputes sovereignty with India, the politically powerful military is orchestrating efforts to mediate peace in Afghanistan and consolidate relations with key partners. Impacts The military will ensure that Khan remains in power, as it regards him as a suitably acquiescent prime minister. Most political parties will toe the military's line. Bajwa's likely successor as army chief, Faiz Hameed, may lack the charisma to command the same loyalty from senior officers.


Significance There is an ongoing two-level push for further, wide-reaching foreign investment liberalisation. If successful, this would open significant and sensitive Philippine economic sectors to much greater foreign investment. Impacts The amendments and new FINL could quickly boost foreign investment in retail, finance, telecoms, education and power generation. The changes could boost the Duterte administration’s infrastructure-building programme. The changes could increase anger and protests from the political left against the Duterte administration. Challenges to the changes could be brought in the Supreme Court.


Subject Scenarios for the outcome of November 8 elections. Significance The Union Election Commission (UEC) will soon announce the results of its scrutiny of the applicants to be candidates for national and provincial parliamentary seats in November 8 elections. The formal election campaign begins on September 8. The ouster on August 13 by President Thein Sein's supporters of lower house parliamentary speaker Shwe Mann from his other post of Union Solidarity and Development Party (USDP) chairman leaves potential election outcomes in flux. Impacts Ties between the military and USDP will grow, but Shwe Mann could split the USDP after the election. The military will not intervene in the election, provided its political and economic interests are not challenged. Ethnic violence will mark the election campaign. Post-election coalition-building will slow legislation.


Subject Mounting corruption pressures. Significance The Supreme Court on October 11 dismissed a complaint against President Jimmy Morales, regarding undeclared monthly payments he was receiving from the military. The move comes in a month that has seen corruption investigations launched into Guatemala City Mayor and former President Alvaro Arzu (1996-2000), and the Foreign Ministry refuse a visa to the head of the UN-led International Commission against Impunity in Guatemala (CICIG), Ivan Velazquez -- an individual Morales has previously attempted to expel from the country. Impacts Efforts to renegotiate the CICIG’s mandate could lead to pointed rebuke by the UN. Perceived efforts to hinder investigations could weigh on international aid, some of which is conditional on anti-corruption progress. Attorney General Thelma Aldana will step down in May, removing one of CICIG’s strongest allies and undermining its effectiveness.


2019 ◽  
Vol 8 (1) ◽  
pp. 39
Author(s):  
Zulfia Hanum Alfi Syahr

The improvement of court’s quality has been done through various efforts, one of them is an accreditation program. Before the implementation of internal accreditation policies, the courts under the Supreme Court had used ISO standards to maintain the service quality. Along with the development of judiciary innovations especially the dream toward the great judiciary, the Supreme Court has developed special accreditation standards for each judicial environment. General Court (Badilum) has implemented the Quality Assurance Accreditation (APM) programme in 7 assessment areas. Afterward, the Religious Courts (Badilag) in addition to 7 APM areas as in Badilum also applied 9 other assessment standards. Furthermore, the Military and Administration Agency (Badilmiltun) has 7 different accreditation assessment areas with Badilum and Badilag. The problem that will be examined is how to determine the ideal criteria for assessing court accreditation. Given that the ideal accreditation standard is not only improving the quality of court services but also being able to meet the needs and expectations of justice seekers, as indicated by the community satisfaction index. The court accreditation standard used today is the adoption of the International Framework of Court excellent (IFCE) and is adapted to the area of Bureaucratic Reform and the oversight function of the Supreme Court. The method of determining accreditation criteria is done by comparing court accreditation standards that have been used with the SERVQUAL model. The SERVQUAL model is an initial model that appears to measure service quality. The results of the study found that a number of court accreditation assessment standards has been represented the dimensions of service quality at SERVQUAL.


Significance His departure is ostensibly a blow for Sudan’s military leaders and a symbolic victory for Sudanese calling for the military to leave power. However, the stand-off between the two groups remains fundamentally unchanged. Impacts If leaders cannot find enough civilians to form a cabinet, they may offer some posts to serving or retired military. Protests and possible strike action will continue but may have only limited impact, unless rising casualties trigger a new flashpoint. Significant new international sanctions are unlikely to materialise.


Significance This goal was implicitly a response to the previous three decades of foreign relations under ousted former President Omar al-Bashir, when Sudan struggled under international sanctions, isolation and fluctuating foreign policy fortunes. Impacts Contrasting foreign policy orientations among political factions may be a source of tension within the power-sharing government. Contradictory agreements with other countries will be a liability. Foreign investment inflows will remain muted, at least until economic and political uncertainty fades.


Author(s):  
Robert E. Mutch

The point of disclosure is to let voters see who is financing election campaigns. That was why the Supreme Court upheld the disclosure law in Buckley v. Valeo and Citizens United, and that was the purpose of the law when...


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